Lúcio Godeiro, Lucas (2011): Impact of calendar effects in the volatility of vale shares.
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Abstract
The paper aims to estimate the impact of calendar effects in volatility of the preferred and ordinary shares of Vale. The data researched were the stocks prices Vale between January 2, 1995 and October 26, 2011. The Stochastic Volatility Model was the Model and the Structural Model was the estimation method used. The results indicate that the privatization and the public offer of the stocks of Vale changed the behavior of volatility of the shares. The calendar effects have effect in volatility. The calendar effects had a greater explanatory power over the ordinary shares.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Impact of calendar effects in the volatility of vale shares |
English Title: | Impact of Calendar Effects in the Volatility of Vale Shares |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Stochastic Volatility Model, Kalman Filter, Vale. |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C1 - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C22 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes D - Microeconomics > D5 - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium > D53 - Financial Markets |
Item ID: | 45993 |
Depositing User: | Professor Lucas Lúcio Godeiro |
Date Deposited: | 09 Apr 2013 14:25 |
Last Modified: | 04 Oct 2019 17:06 |
References: | HAMILTON, J.D. Time Series Analisys. Princeton University Press, 1994. Harvey, A.C. Diagnostic Checking of Unobserved-Components Time Series Models. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, October 1992, Vol.10, No. 4. Harvey, A.C.. Forecasting Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter.Cambridge University Press, 1989. MORAIS, I.A.C & PORTUGAL, M.S.. Modelagem e Previsão de Volatilidade Determinística e Estocástica para a Série do Ibovespa. Estudos Econômicos., São Paulo, V.29, N.3, P. 303-341, Julho-Setembro 1999. SOBRINHO, N.F.S. Extração da volatilidade do Ibovespa, Resenha BM&F n.144, 2001. Disponível em:< http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/15571/1/MPRA_paper_15571.pdf> Acesso. 27. Out. 2011. VALLS PEREIRA, P.L. Filtro de Kalman. Notas de aula. EESP-FGV. São Paulo, 2011 ZIEGELMANN, F.A & VALLS PEREIRA, P.L. Modelos de Volatilidade Estocástica com deformação temporal: um estudo empírico para o índice Ibovespa. Pesquisa e Planejamento Econômico, v.27, n.2, p353-376, 1997. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/45993 |