Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Analogy Making, Option Prices, and Implied Volatility

Siddiqi, Hammad (2013): Analogy Making, Option Prices, and Implied Volatility.

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Abstract

We put forward a new option pricing formula based on the notion that people tend to think by analogies and comparisons. The new formula differs from the Black Scholes formula due to the appearance of a parameter in the formula that captures the risk premium on the underlying. The new formula, called the analogy option pricing formula, provides an explanation for the implied volatility skew puzzle in equity options. We also discuss the key empirical predictions of the analogy formula.

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