Aydemir, Abdurrahman and Murat, Kirdar (2013): Estimates of the Return to Schooling in a Developing Country: Evidence from a Major Policy Reform in Turkey.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_51938.pdf Download (267kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper uses a major change in the compulsory schooling policy in Turkey – which increased the mandatory duration from five to eight years -- to estimate the causal effect of education on earnings. The policy reform brought about a substantial rise in schooling attainment due to the high dropout rates at the end of compulsory schooling, the duration of extension, as well as the spillover effects of the policy on non-compulsory schooling years. Our results show that the 2SLS estimates of the returns to education are much larger estimates than the OLS estimates. These results also constitute the first causal estimates of the returns to education in the Turkish context and one of the few in developing country contexts.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Estimates of the Return to Schooling in a Developing Country: Evidence from a Major Policy Reform in Turkey |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | returns to schooling; compulsory schooling |
Subjects: | I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I2 - Education and Research Institutions > I21 - Analysis of Education J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J3 - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs |
Item ID: | 51938 |
Depositing User: | Murat Kirdar |
Date Deposited: | 09 Dec 2013 00:10 |
Last Modified: | 27 Sep 2019 01:00 |
References: | Acemoğlu, D. and J. Angrist. "How Large are Human-Capital Externalities? Evidence from Compulsory Schooling Laws," in Ben S. Bernanke and K. Rogoff, eds, NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2001, pp. 9-59. Angrist, J. and A. Krueger (1991) "Does Compulsory School Attendance Affect Schooling and Earnings?" Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106: 979-1014. Angrist J.D. and V. Lavy. (1999) “Using Maimonides’ Rule to Estimate the Effect of Class Size on Scholastic Achievement.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114: 533-75. Angrist J.D., Imbens G.W. and D.B. Rubin. (1996) “Identification of Causal Effects Using Instrumental Variables.” Journal of the American Statistical Association (91): 444-455. Becker, G. (1964), Human Capital: a theoretical and empirical analysis, with special reference to education (Columbia University Press, New York). Bound, J., and D.A. Jaeger. (1996). “On the validity of season of birth as an instrument in wage equations: a comment on Angrist and Krueger’s ‘Does compulsory school attendance affect schooling and earnings?”. Working paper no. 5835. (NBER, Cambridge, MA). Bound, J., Jaeger, D., and R. Baker. (1995). “Problems with instrumental variables estimation when the correlation between the instruments and the endogenous explanatory variables is weak.” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 90: 443-450. Card, D. (1995). “Using geographic variation in college proximity to estimate the return to schooling.” In: Louis N. Christofides, E. Kenneth Grant and Robert Swidinsky, eds, Aspects of labour market behaviour: essays in honour of John Vanderkamp (University of Toronto Press, Toronto, Canada) pp. 201-222. Card, D. (1999) “The causal effect of education on earnings”, in: O. Ashenfelter and D. Card, ed., Handbook of Labor Economics, Vol. 3 (Elsevier). Card, D. (2001). “Estimating the Return to Schooling: Progress on Some Persistent Econometric Problems.” Econometrica, 69(5): 1127-60. Carneiro, Pedro and James J. Heckman. (2002). “The Evidence on Credit Constraints in Post-Secondary Schooling.” Economic Journal 112(482): 705-34. Conneely, Karen and Roope Uusitalo. (1997). “Estimating heterogenous treatment effects in the Becker schooling model.” Unpublished discussion paper (Industrial Relations Section, Princeton University). Devereux, P. J., & Hart, R. A. (2010, December). Forced to be rich? Returns to compulsory schooling in Britain. Economic Journal. Duflo, Esther. (2001). “Schooling and labor market consequences of school construction in Indonesia: evidence from an unusual policy experiment.” American Economic Review, 91(4): 795-813. Griliches, Zvi (1970), “Notes on the role of education in production functions and growth accounting”, in: W. Lee Hansen, ed., Studies in income and wealth, Vol. 35 (Columbia University Press, New York). Griliches, Zvi (1977) "Estimating the Returns to Schooling--Some Econometric Problems," Econometrica 45: 1-22. Hahn J., Todd P.E., and V. van der Klauuw. (2001) “Identification and Estimation of Treatment Effects with a Regression-Discontinuity Design”. Econometrica, 69: 201-9. Harmon, C. and I. Walker. (1995). “Estimates of the economic return to schooling for the United Kingdom.” American Economic Review 85: 1278-1286. Imbens, Guido W., and Joshua D. Angrist. (1994) “Identification and Estimation of Local Average Treatment Effects.” Econometrica, 62(2): 467-75. Kane, Thomas and Cecilia E. Rouse. (1995). “Labor market returns to two- and four-year colleges: is a credit a credit and do degrees matter?” American Economic Review, 85(3): 600-14. Kane, T., Rouse, C., and D. Staiger. (1997). “Estimating returns to education when schooling is misreported.” Unpublished discussion paper (Industrial Relations Section, Princeton University). Kirdar, M.G, Dayioglu, M. and I. Koc (2013). “Does Longer Compulsory Education Equalize Schooling by Gender and Rural/Urban Residence?” mimeo. Lee D.S. and T. Lemieux. (2010) “Regression Discontinuity Designs in Economics.” Journal of Economic Literature, 48(2): 281-355. Lochner, Lance and Moretti, Enrico. (2004). “The Effect of Education on Crime: Evidence from Prison Inmates, Arrests, and Self-Reports.” American Economic Review, 94(1): 155-89. Lleras-Muney, Adriana. (2005). “The Relationship between Education and Adult Mortality in the United States.” Review of Economic Studies 72(1): 189-221. Maluccio, John (1997). “Endogeneity of schooling in the wage function.” Unplished manuscript (Department of Economics, Yale University). Oreopoulos P. (2006) "Estimating Average and Local Average Treatment Effects of Education When Compulsory Schooling Laws Really Matter," American Economic Review 96: 152-175. Patrinos, H. A. and G. Psacharopoulos (2010), Returns to Education in Developing Countries, in Economics of Education (eds. D. J. Brewer and P. J. McEwan), p. 44-51, Elsevier, San Diego. Pischke, J.-S., & von Wachter, T. (2008, August). Zero returns to compulsory schooling in Germany: Evidence and interpretation. Review of Economics and Statistics, 90(3), 592–598. Rosenzweig, M.R. and K.I. Wolpin, (2000). “ Natural ‘Natural Experiments’ in Economics,” Journal of Economic Literature 38: 827-874. Staiger, Douglas, and James H. Stock. (1997) “Instrumental Variables Regression with Weak Instruments.” Econometrica, 65: 557-586. Tansel A. (1994) "Wage Employment, Earnings, and Returns to Schooling for Men and Women in Turkey," Economics of Education Review, 13: 305-320. Tansel, A. (1996). “Self-Employment, Wage Employment Choice and Returns to Education for Urban Men and Women in Turkey” in T. Bulutay (ed.) Education and the Labor Markets in Turkey, Ankara: State Institute of Statistics. Van der Klauuw, W. (2002) “Estimating the Effect of Financial Aid Offers on College Enrollment: A Regression-Discontinuity Approach.” International Economic Review (43): 1249-1287. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/51938 |