Munich Personal RePEc Archive

A Preliminary Analysis of the Presidential Approval Rating

Cebula, Richard (2004): A Preliminary Analysis of the Presidential Approval Rating. Published in: The Elgar Companion to Public Economics: Empirical Public Economics (17 May 2006): pp. 274-281.

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This study empirically investigates whether the performance of the S&P 500 stock index, whose performance is treated as a surrogate for the performance of domestic stock/equity markets generally, influences the Presidential approval rating. After allowing for a variety of political factors and economic factors in addition to the S&P 500 stock index, it is found that the Presidential approval rating is indeed significantly enhanced by increasing values for this indicator of equity performance.

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