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Comovement of East and West Stock Market Indexes

Yusoff, Yuzlizawati and Masih, Mansur (2014): Comovement of East and West Stock Market Indexes.

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Abstract

Determination of diversification strategies by investors depends on the nature and magnitude of the relationships existing between different stock markets. Therefore, it is important for international investors to understand the relationship among various markets in order to diversify risk and derive high return. In a co-movement analysis a consideration that is being looked upon is the distinction between the short and the long term investor, who have different term objectives. Wavelets were used to assess the comovement and interactions of East and West stock index, namely; FBKLCI (Malaysia), FSSTI (Singapore), INDU (Indonesia), HIS (Hong Kong) and JCI (New York). The findings suggest that most of the indexes investigated in this study through the wavelet coherency shows that high coherency exists among them on the daily time scale of 32 to 512 days band. A negative correlation between them was also found among the markets, which shows a tendency in the correlation coefficients to move downwards with the timescale, except for the very long-run. In addition, it is also observed that there exists a linear relationship between the wavelet variance and wavelet timescale. The variance for most of the indexes decreases as the wavelet timescale increases. The cross correlation analysis showed that the short and medium term fluctuations for the indexes are more closely related compared to those over the long term.

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