Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Unveiling the House Price Movements and Financial Development

Akcay, Belgin and Yucel, Eray (2014): Unveiling the House Price Movements and Financial Development.

There is a more recent version of this item available.
[thumbnail of MPRA_paper_59377.pdf]

Download (1MB) | Preview


Today, it is widely recognized that housing price boom-bust cycles lay at the heart of the latest global financial crisis. A housing boom is commonly defined as a period in which a housing price exceeds its fundamental value. Like most of the European Union member countries, many economies experienced the housing boom during the period of 2000–2006. Moreover, housing booms turned into busts in many countries at about the same period, causing a deep crisis. Our aim in this paper is to look for the determinants of housing price cycles and to investigate the relationship between housing boom-bust cycles and indicators of housing development. For this, we first detect the turning points of housing prices and identify housing price boom-bust cycles for 27 European countries and the US from 1995 to 2013 using quarterly data and a judgmentally augmented version of the dating procedure due to Ball (1994). Having obtained a categorization of boom versus boom-bust countries, in the second step, we reveal the relationships between housing cycles, macroeconomic factors and financial development by means of panel probit analysis.

Available Versions of this Item

Atom RSS 1.0 RSS 2.0

Contact us: mpra@ub.uni-muenchen.de

This repository has been built using EPrints software.

MPRA is a RePEc service hosted by Logo of the University Library LMU Munich.