Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Communicating uncertainty - a fan chart for HICP projections

Gatt, William (2014): Communicating uncertainty - a fan chart for HICP projections. Published in: Central Bank of Malta Quarterly Review 2014:2 (September 2014): pp. 40-44.

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Abstract

A short article which motivates the use of a fan chart in the communication of forecasts, with special emphasis on inflation forecasts. A fan chart for Maltese HICP inflation projections is built, using the history of forecast errors.

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