Colla De-Robertis, Esteban (2014): Information aggregation for timing decision making.
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Abstract
In this paper I consider the issue of optimal information aggregation for timing decision making. In each period, a decision maker may choose an action which delivers an uncertain payoff, or wait until the next period, in when new information will arrive. The information is provided by a committee of experts. Each member in each period receives a signal correlated to the state. I obtain an optimal rule for aggregating information for each period.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Information aggregation for timing decision making. |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Information aggregation. Timing decision making. Experts. |
Subjects: | D - Microeconomics > D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty > D81 - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty |
Item ID: | 59836 |
Depositing User: | Esteban Colla De-Robertis |
Date Deposited: | 12 Nov 2014 02:29 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 16:32 |
References: | Ben-Yashar R, Nitzan S (1997) The optimal decision rule for fixed-size committees in dichotomous choice situations: the general result. International Economic Review 38(1) Bertsekas DP (1995) Dynamic Programming and Optimal Control. Athena Scientific Degroot MH (2004) Optimal Statistical Decisions (Wiley Classics Library). Wiley-Interscience McLennan A (1998) Consequences of the condorcet jury theorem for beneficial information aggregation by rational agents. The American Political Science Review 92(2):413–418 Smallwood RD, Sondik EJ (1973) The optimal control of partially observable processes over a finite horizon. Operations Research 21:1071–1088 |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/59836 |