Changement climatique, agriculture et croissance économique :Une modélisation VAR

Zouabi, Oussama (2012): Changement climatique, agriculture et croissance économique :Une modélisation VAR.

Abstract

The present study is to show the impact of precipitation and temperature on economic growth through agriculture in Tunisia. Agriculture is considered a key sector is of great importance in the Tunisian economy. Furthermore, the presence of climate change in developing countries in the Mediterranean region has been regarded as a place of transition between two major climatic units, becomes a certainty and is an ecological, economic and social threat. This analysis was made on the basis of tests of stationarity and a VAR model. The findings of the study that there is a long-term relationship between temperature and rainfall. In addition, temperature has a direct negative effect on economic growth in Tunisia.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Climate Change, Agriculture and Economic Growth: A VAR modeling
• Language: French
• Keywords: climate change, agricultural, GDP and VAR.
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models ; Multiple Variables > C32 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes ; State Space Models; Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q1 - Agriculture; Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q5 - Environmental Economics > Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters and Their Management ; Global Warming

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