Millennium development goals affecting child mortality in Bangladesh: A Vector Error Correction model

Kundu, Nobinkhor and Chowdhury, J.M. Adeeb Salman and Sikdar, Asaduzzaman (2013): Millennium development goals affecting child mortality in Bangladesh: A Vector Error Correction model. Published in: The Journal of Comilla University , Vol. 2, No. 1 (25 December 2013): pp. 95-108.

Abstract

This paper investigates over the last two decades across states a can be attributed to achieve the Millennium Development Goals for target reducing the under-5 mortality by two-thirds of Bangladesh. The paper analysis is able to condition upon a number of socio-economic and demographic variables, under-five child mortality determining by the asymmetric effects of female literacy rate, per capita gross national income and millennium development goal as a dummy variable. Using the time-series data, 1991-2012 period, and applying unit root test, cointegration test and by estimating a vector error correction model. The results find a single cointegrating equation showing a long-run stable relationship between the child mortality and the explanatory variables in the model. And also find that achieved Millennium Development Goals has a significant impact on the child mortality in Bangladesh, convergence of the short-run dynamics towards the long-run equilibrium, but sustainable level of child mortality is expected to be an important prerequisite for ensure future generation of Bangladesh.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: Child Mortality, Millennium development goal, Bangladesh
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling; I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I1 - Health > I18 - Government Policy ; Regulation ; Public Health; J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J1 - Demographic Economics > J11 - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

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