Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Asset prices regime-switching and the role of inflation targeting monetary policy

Chatziantoniou, Ioannis and Filis, George and Floros, Christos (2015): Asset prices regime-switching and the role of inflation targeting monetary policy. Forthcoming in: Global Finance Journal (forthcoming) No. Accepted for publication on the 16th of December 2015

[img]
Preview
PDF
MPRA_paper_68666.pdf

Download (476kB) | Preview

Abstract

This paper provides the empirical framework to assess whether UK monetary policy shocks induce both the UK housing market and the UK stock market to remain at a high-volatility (risk) environment. The Markov regime switching modelling approach is employed in order to identify two distinct environments for each market; namely, a high-risk environment and a low-risk environment, while a probit model is employed in order to test whether monetary policy shocks provide this predictive information regarding the current state of both markets under consideration. Our findings indicate that monetary policy shocks do indeed have predictive power on the stock market. In addition, in both asset markets there is a key role for inflation. Results are important especially within the framework of the inflation targeting monetary policy regime.

UB_LMU-Logo
MPRA is a RePEc service hosted by
the Munich University Library in Germany.