Munich Personal RePEc Archive

An economic growth model: Evaluating the interaction of market consumption with GDP growth rate in Afghanistan

Azimi, Mohammad Naim (2016): An economic growth model: Evaluating the interaction of market consumption with GDP growth rate in Afghanistan. Published in: ZENITH International Journal of Business Economics & Management Research , Vol. 6, No. 2 (1 February 2016): pp. 13-19.

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Abstract

In this paper, we argue that the market consumption is one of the major and significant elements of Gross Domestic Product driver in Afghanistan for which the competeting null hypothesis that consumption drives the GDP growth is tested. The statistical analysis based on Semi-long regression economic growth model shows a significant corresponding probability value of 0.000 which shows that consumption drives GDP growth while the coefficient exhibits 0.1534 or 15.34% growth of GDP driven by consumption throughout the period 2001 to 2014. Further statistical analysis obtained from the Breusch-Godfrey and Breusch – Pegan-Godfrey LM tests for investigating the existence of any serial correlation within the series support us to reject the null hypothesis that there is no serial correlation within the series. On the other hand, the Jarque-Bera test of normality shows a p-value of 0.3099 which is significant and further documents that the residuals are random and normally distributed within the series.

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