EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE OF THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS CONSTRAINED GROWTH IN CUBA. THE EFFECTS OF COMERCIAL REGIMES SINCE 1960.

Fugarolas Álvarez-Ude, Guadalupe and Mañalich Gálvez, Isis and Matesanz Gómez, David (2008): EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE OF THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS CONSTRAINED GROWTH IN CUBA. THE EFFECTS OF COMERCIAL REGIMES SINCE 1960.

Abstract

This paper seeks to investigate whether the balance of payments has been a key determinant of the Cuban long-term economic growth during different commercial policy regimes spanning over the period 1960 to 2004. We focus here on built the impact of terms of trade movements into a specification of Thirlwall’s hypothesis. Cointegration multivariate tests for non-stationary series reveal that economic growth, exports of goods and services and terms of trade are driven by a common stochastic trend and finding support for an economic growth path constrained by the country own external demand position

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: Cuba, Thirlwall’s model and cointegration
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models ; Multiple Variables > C32 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes ; State Space Models; C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C22 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes; F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F31 - Foreign Exchange; F - International Economics > F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance > F43 - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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