Hysteresis in unemployment: evidence from sector-specific unemployment in Turkey

Barışık, Salih and Cevik, Emrah Ismail (2009): Hysteresis in unemployment: evidence from sector-specific unemployment in Turkey. Published in: The Empirical Economics Letters , Vol. 9, No. 3 (2009): pp. 255-260.

Abstract

High levels of inflation and unemployment have been experienced together in the world after 1970’s. Efforts of decreasing inflation have been achieved in the world after 1990’s. The fact that there has been no evidence the unemployment rate beginning to decrease despite the increasing growth rates in the USA and Europe countries recalls hysteresis effect. This phenomenon observed in Turkey after 1994 and 2001 crises. This paper examines hysteresis effect in sector-specific unemployment in Turkey. We apply conventional unit root tests and Zivot-Andrews structural break test to determine the presence of hysteresis effect. Hysteresis effect is only found in Manufacturing and Finance sectors.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: Hysteresis, Structural Break, Unemployment
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C1 - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General > C12 - Hypothesis Testing: General; C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models ; Multiple Variables > C32 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes ; State Space Models; J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J6 - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers > J64 - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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