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A távol-keleti kapcsolatok logisztikája és a Duna lehetséges szerepe

Fleischer, Tamás (2008): A távol-keleti kapcsolatok logisztikája és a Duna lehetséges szerepe. Published in: Műhelytanulmányok (Magyar Tudományos Akadémia, Világgazdasági Kutatóintézet) , Vol. 78, (2008): pp. 1-18.

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The paper distinguishes three main maritime and five continental transport corridors between Europe and the Far-East. The maritime connections need 25-40 days, the terrestrial ones 15-20 days. Naturally the corridors can also be combined. As for the future development of the goods transportation here the paper distinguishes three possible scenarios. (1) The time-factor becomes more important, and with that also the role of the terrestrial rail connection. This case highlights the role of the rail connection also within the European section of the transport. (2) The time-factor becomes more important, and the navigation is able to follow this change with innovations. A possible use of the Arctic Ocean path would basically rearrange the transport corridors and distances both towards Europe and America. (3) The global environmental factors become more important, and transport costs and emissions make unacceptable present worldwide division of labour. The cost between human work decreases. In such scenario the role of newly shaped transport corridors is smaller, and the remaining, still significant traffic would use the existing corridors just improved in quality. Paradoxically just this scenario built on the decrease of the traffic gives chance the Danube to serve as an European transport corridor of the Far-Eastern transport.

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