Productivité agricole, intégration et transformation structurelle de l’économie marocaine

Chatri, Abdellatif and Maarouf, Abdelwahab and Ezzahid, Elhaj (2015): Productivité agricole, intégration et transformation structurelle de l’économie marocaine.

Abstract

This paper aims to verify how the performance of the agricultural sector affects the process of structural transformation of the Moroccan economy. It analyzes the dynamics of productivity in two ways. First, the speed of convergence of agricultural productivity to the level recorded by other sectors of the economy. The second, the decomposition of the change in aggregate productivity into the structural changes or reallocation effect and the within or intra effect. Furthermore, the paper uses the Input-Output methodology for measuring the degree of integration of the Moroccan economy and seeing if there was or not emergence of new leading sectors.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Agricultural productivity, integration and structural transformation of the Moroccan economy
• Language: French
• Keywords: Agriculture, Input-Output Analysis, Morocco, productivity, structural transformation.
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling; C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C6 - Mathematical Methods ; Programming Models ; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling > C67 - Input-Output Models; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E23 - Production; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E24 - Employment ; Unemployment ; Wages ; Intergenerational Income Distribution ; Aggregate Human Capital ; Aggregate Labor Productivity; O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O10 - General; O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O13 - Agriculture ; Natural Resources ; Energy ; Environment ; Other Primary Products; O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity > O47 - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth ; Aggregate Productivity ; Cross-Country Output Convergence

References

Acemoglu, D. and Guerrieri.V, (2008), “Capital Deepening and Non–Balanced Economic Growth” Journal of Political Economy, 116,: 467–498.

ADB (African Development Bank), (2013), “Economic Outlook 2013 Special Thematic Edition: Structural Transformation and Natural Resources”:1-198.

Antipa, P.( 2007) “Décomposition de la productivité et dynamiques sectorielles’’, Bulletin de la Banque de France, n° 164,: 37-46.

BAD, GM, et MCC (Banque Africaine du développement, Gouvernement du Maroc et Millenium Challenge Corporation), (2015), “Diagnostic de croissance du Maroc: analyse des contraintes à une croissance large et inclusive”,: 1-250

Banque mondiale (2008)., Rapport sur “le développement dans le monde: l’agriculture au service du développement”, Banque mondiale, Washington.

Bartelsman, E. J., and Doms.M? (2000), “Understanding Productivity: Lessons from Longitudinal Microdata” Journal of Economic Literature, 38(3): 569-594.

Baumol, W. J., B. Blackman, S. A. and Wolff, E. N. (1989), “Productivity and American Leadership’’, Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press.

Benin, S., Pratt, A. N., Wood, S and Guo.Z (2011), “Trends and Spatial Patterns in Agricultural Productivity in Africa”, 1961–2010, ReSAKSS, Annual trend and outlook report

Briones R. and Felipe J., (2013) “Agriculture and Structural Transformation in Developing Asia: Review and Outlook”, ADB Economics Working Paper Series, No. 363: 30 pages.

Buera, F. J. and Kaboski J. P. (2009), “Can Traditional Theories of Structural Change Fit The Data?,” Journal of the European Economic Association, 7: 469–477.

Bureau of Economic Analysis. (2000) “Using Input-Output Analysis to Measure U.S. Economic Structural Change Over a 24 Year Period”WP2000-01: 1-23

Chatri, A., Maarouf, A. et Zouiri, L. (2012), “Le Maroc face à la crise Euro: canaux de transmission et enjeux”, Revue juridique, politique et économique du Maroc

Chenery, H.B. and Watanabe, T (1958), “International Comparisons of the Structure of Production”, Econometrica, 26 (4), October:487-521.

CNUCED, “Vers une transformation structurelle et durable des économies africaines’’, Rapport 2012.

Dercon, S. (2009), “Rural Poverty: Old Challenges in New Contexts”. The World Bank Research Observer 24(1): 1–28.

Dietzenbacher, E. Albino, V. and Silvana. K(2005) “The fallacy of using US-type input-output tables”, Mimeo (paper presented at the 15th International Conference on Input-Output Techniques).: 1-15

Ezzahid E. et A. El Alaoui, (2014), “Economic Growth and Jobs Creation in Morocco: Overall and Sectors' Analysis”, http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/57841/ MPRA Paper No. 57841

Ezzahid, E. Chatri A. (2015), “Imports content, value added generation and structural change in Morocco” Munich Personal RePEc Archive MPRA, No. 63512,Avril 2015, pp :1-22 http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/63512/1/MPRA_paper_63512.pdf

Gardner, Bruce L. (2002) “American Agriculture in the Twentieth Century: How it Flourished and What it Cost’’. Cambridge, MA, and London, England:Harvard University Press,

Gaston N. and Nelson D. (2004) “Structural Change and the Labor-market Effects of Globalization’’. Review of International Economics, Volume 12: 769-792.

Ghanem, H (2015), “Agriculture and rural development for inclusive growth and food security in Morocco”,Global Economy & Development, working paper 82, pp 1-28

Gollin, S., Parente. L, and Rogerson. R, (2002), “The Role of Agriculture in Development,” American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, 92: 160–164.

Hausmann, R., et al. (2011), “The Atlas of Economic Complexity – Mapping Paths to Prosperity”, Puritan Books, New Hampshire,

Hayami Yujiro and Ruttan Vernon. W., (1971) “Agricultural development: an international perspective’’. Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins Press: 367 pages

Johnston, B. F. and Mellor, J. W. (1961) “The Role of Agriculture in Economic Development”,The American Economic Review, Vol. 51, n°4,: 566-593

Krüger J. J., (2008) “Productivity and structural change: A review of the literature’’. Journal of Economic Surveys Vol. 22, n°2: 330–363.

Kuznets, S. (1973), “Modern economic growth: findings and reflections’’. American Economic Review, Vol. 63: 247–258.

Matsuyama, K. (1992), “Agricultural productivity, comparative advantage, and economic growth‘’, Review of Economic Studies, 59: 375–388.

McMillan, M, (2012) “Global Patterns of Structural Change. in Patterns of Growth and Structural Transformation in Africa : Trends and Lessons for Future Development Strategies’’ ; International Food Policy Research Institute, Thematic Research Note 02,.

McMillan, M. and Rodrik. D, (2011) “Globalization, structural change, and productivity growth”, NBER Working Paper no. 17143: 1-54

Miller, R., E. and Blair,P. D. (2009), “Input-Output Analysis: Foundations and Extensions‘’, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press,.

Ouraich I. and Tyner W. E., (2014) “Climate change impacts on Moroccan agriculture and the whole economy: an analysis of the impacts of the Plan Maroc Vert in Morocco’’, WIDER Working Paper 2014/083.

Pasinetti, Luigi L. (1993), “Structural Economic Dynamics: A Theory of the Economic Consequences of Human Learning’’. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press

Punzo, L. F. (2001), “Cycles Growth and Structural Change”, 1ère Edition, Routledge,: 288 Pages.

Reis, H. And Rua, A. (2006) “An input-output analysis: linkages vs leakages ”, Banco de Portugal, Working Papers,n° 17,: 1-31

Rodrik, D., (2007) “Industrial Development: Some Stylized Facts and Policy Directions’’. In UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs. Industrial Development for the 21st Century: Sustainable Development Perspectives. New York: United Nations.

Rodrik, D. (2012),“Unconditional convergence in manufacturing”, Revised version, Harvard University,:1-45 Saviotti, P.P. and Pyka, A, (2004), “Economic development by the creation of new sectors’’. Journal of Evolutionary Economics 14,: 1–35.

Schultz .T.W (1953) “The Economic Organization of Agriculture’’, The American Economic Review Vol. 43, No. 5: 999-1001

Sonis, M, Hewings, G. J. D. and Guo, J. (1996) “Sources of Structural Change in Input-Output Systems: A Field of Influence Approach”, Economic Systems Research, Vol. 8, n°1: 15-32

Tiffin, R. and Irz.X (2006) “Is agriculture the engine of growth? ” Agricultural Economics, 35: 79-89.

Timmer, P.C. (2009) “A World without Agriculture: The structural Transformation in Historical Perspectives’’. The AEI Press, Washington, DC : American Enterprise Institute,: 83 pages.

Timmer, P.C. (2007) “The Structural Transformation and the Changing Role of Agriculture in Economic Development: Empirics and Implications’’, American Enterprise Institute,:1-146

Tsakok, I. and Gardner, B. (2007), “Agriculture in economic development: Primary engine of growth or chicken and egg?” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 89(5): 1145-51.