“Attitudes to Leadership and Voting: Finding the Efficient Frontier”

Davis, Brent (2016): “Attitudes to Leadership and Voting: Finding the Efficient Frontier”.

Abstract

Winning elections is essentially a matter of translating the attitudes of voters into votes. Although this proposition may sound simple, the reality is considerably more challenging.

Despite vast scholarship over many years we know very little, if anything, about the efficiency with which the inputs (voter attitudes) to the political process are converted into outputs (vote support).

Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) provides a statistical method to measure the efficiency with which inputs are converted into outputs.

The results of the DEA analysis and associated modelling find marked differences in the political efficiency of recent Australian political leaders.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: campaigns; election; politimetric modelling; Data Envelopment Analysis; voter behaviour; political marketing; Australian elections
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C1 - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General; C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C1 - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General > C13 - Estimation: General; C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling; C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling > C51 - Model Construction and Estimation; C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling > C53 - Forecasting and Prediction Methods ; Simulation Methods; C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling > C54 - Quantitative Policy Modeling; H - Public Economics > H1 - Structure and Scope of Government; H - Public Economics > H1 - Structure and Scope of Government > H11 - Structure, Scope, and Performance of Government; K - Law and Economics > K0 - General

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