Hohberger, Stefan and Priftis, Romanos and Vogel, Lukas (2017): The Macroeconomic Effects of Quantitative Easing in the Euro Area: Evidence from an Estimated DSGE Model.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_78955.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper analyses the macroeconomic effects of the ECB's quantitative easing programme using an open-economy DSGE model estimated with Bayesian techniques. Using data on government debt stocks and yields across maturities we identify the parameter governing portfolio adjustment in the private sector. Shock decompositions suggest a positive contribution of ECB QE to EA year-on-year output growth and inflation of up to 0.4 and 0.5 pp in the standard linearised version of the model. Allowing for an occasionally binding zero-bound constraint by using piecewise linear solution techniques raises the positive impact up to 1.0 and 0.7 pp, respectively.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | The Macroeconomic Effects of Quantitative Easing in the Euro Area: Evidence from an Estimated DSGE Model |
English Title: | The Macroeconomic Effects of Quantitative Easing in the Euro Area: Evidence from an Estimated DSGE Model |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | E44, E52, E53, F41 |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E4 - Money and Interest Rates > E44 - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E52 - Monetary Policy F - International Economics > F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance > F41 - Open Economy Macroeconomics |
Item ID: | 78955 |
Depositing User: | Lukas Vogel |
Date Deposited: | 07 May 2017 06:51 |
Last Modified: | 02 Oct 2019 05:31 |
References: | Adjemian, S., H. Bastani, M. Juillard, F. Karamé, F. Mihoubi, G. Perendia, J. Pfeifer, M. Ratto, S. Villemot (2011): "Dynare: Reference Manual - Version 4," Dynare Working Papers 1, CEPREMAP. Altavilla, C., G. Carboni, R. Motto (2015): "Asset purchase programmes and financial markets: lessons from the euro area," ECB Working Paper 1864. Andrade, Ph., J. Breckenfelder, F. De Fiore, P. Karadi, O. Tristani (2016): "The ECB's asset purchase programme: an early assessment," ECB Working Paper 1956. Andrés, J., D. López-Salido, E. Nelson (2004): "Tobin's imperfect asset substitution in optimizing general equilibrium," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 36, 665-690. Bluwstein, K., F. Canova (2016): "Beggar-thy-neighbor? The International Effects of ECB's Unconventional Monetary Policies," International Journal of Central Banking, 12(3), 69-121. Carlstrom, Ch., T. Fuerst, M. Paustian (2017): "Targeting Long Rates in a Model with Segmented Markets," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 9(1), 205-242. Chen, H., V. Cúrdia, A. Ferrero (2012): "The Macroeconomic Effects of Large‐scale Asset Purchase Programmes," Economic Journal 122(564), F289-F315. Claeys, G., A. Leandro (2016): "The European Central Bank's Quantitative Easing programme: Limits and risks," Bruegel Policy Contribution, Issue 2016/04, February 2016. De Graeve, F., K. Theodoridis (2016): "Forward guidance, quantitative easing, or both?" National Bank of Belgium Working Paper 305. De Santis, R. (2016): "Impact of the asset purchase programme on euro area government bond yields using market news," ECB Working Paper 1939. Falagiarda, M. (2013): "Evaluating Quantitative Easing: a DSGE approach," MPRA Paper 49457, University Library of Munich. Gertler, M, P. Karadi (2013): "QE 1 vs. 2 vs. 3.: A Framework for Analyzing Large-Scale Asset Purchases as a Monetary Policy Tool," International Journal of Central Banking 9(1), 5-53. Giovannini, M, M. Ratto (2017): "Latent variables and real-time forecasting in DSGE models with occasionally binding constraints: Can nonlinearity improve our understanding of the Great Recession?" mimeo. Guerrieri, L., M. Iacoviello (2015): "OccBin: A toolkit for solving dynamic models with occasionally binding constraints easily," Journal of Monetary Economics 70, 22-38. Harrison, R. (2012): "Asset purchase policy at the effective lower bound for interest rates," Bank of England Working Paper 444. Kollmann, R., B. Pataracchia, R. Raciborski, M. Ratto, W. Roeger, L. Vogel (2016): "The post-crisis slump in the Euro Area and the US: Evidence from an estimated three-region DSGE model," European Economic Review 88(C), 21-41. Krishnamurthy, A., A. Vissing-Jorgensen (2011): "The Effects of Quantitative Easing on Interest Rates: Channels and Implications for Policy," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 43, 215-287. Liu, P., H. Mumtaz, K. Theodoridis, F. Zanetti (2015): "Changing macroeconomic dynamics at the zero lower bound," mimeo. Neal, R. (2003): "Slice sampling," The Annals of Statistics 31, 705-767. Planas, Ch., M. Ratto, A. Rossi (2015): "Slice sampling in Bayesian estimation of DSGE models," European Commission Joint Research Centre, available online: http://www.dynare.org/DynareConference2015/papers/Ratto_Planas_Rossi.pdf. Priftis, R., L. Vogel (2016): "The Portfolio Balance Mechanism and QE in the Euro Area," Manchester School 84(S1), 84-105. Ratto, M., W. Roeger, J. in 't Veld (2009): QUEST III: An estimated open-economy DSGE model of the euro area with fiscal and monetary policy, Economic Modelling 26, 222-233. Sahuc, J.-G. (2016): "The ECB’s asset purchase programme: A model-based evaluation," Economics Letters 145(C), 136-140. Tillman, P., J. Luedering (2016) "Monetary Policy on Twitter and its Effect on Asset Prices: Evidence from Computational Text Analysis," mimeo. Woodford, M. (2001): "Fiscal requirements for price stability," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 33, 669-728. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/78955 |