Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Demographic Change and Political Polarization in the United States

Boxell, Levi (2018): Demographic Change and Political Polarization in the United States.

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Abstract

I construct an index of political polarization using seven previously proposed measures. I estimate the relative propensity for polarization across demographic groups in a regression framework and examine the extent to which demographic change can explain recent trends in polarization. Assuming fixed propensities for polarization, I estimate that 25 to 59 percent of the change in polarization between 1984 and 2016 can be attributed to demographic change in the United States.

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