Ruiz-Buforn, Alba and Alfarano, Simone and Camacho-Cuena, Eva (2019): Price distortions and public information: theory, experiments and simulations.
PDF
MPRA_paper_93288.pdf Download (766kB) |
Abstract
This paper studies the effects on the asset price of the introduction of a public signal in the presence of asymmetric private information in a decentralized market. We introduce an artificial market model populated by boundedly rational agents with heterogeneous levels of reasoning: sophisticated and naive traders. The model captures the main impacts of public information analyzed in the laboratory experiments reported by Ruiz-Buforn et al. (2019). Public information, when correct, coordinates market activity, improving price convergence to the fundamentals. By contrast, unwarranted public information pushes prices away from fundamentals. This strong influence of public information on prices is primarily driven by its common knowledge property.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Price distortions and public information: theory, experiments and simulations |
English Title: | Price distortions and public information: theory, experiments and simulations |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Public information; asset markets; asymmetric information |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C9 - Design of Experiments > C90 - General D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty > D80 - General D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty > D82 - Asymmetric and Private Information ; Mechanism Design G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G10 - General |
Item ID: | 93288 |
Depositing User: | Dr. Alba Ruiz-Buforn |
Date Deposited: | 15 Apr 2019 08:02 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 11:43 |
References: | Allen, F., Morris, S., and Shin, H. S. (2006). Beauty contests and iterated expectations in asset markets. Review of Financial Studies, 19(3):719-752. Camerer, C. and Weigelt, K. (1991). Information mirages in experimental asset markets. Journal of Business, 64:463-493. Camerer, C. F., Ho, T.-H., and Chong, J.-K. (2004). A cognitive hierarchy model of games. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 119(3):861-898. Corgnet, B., DeSantis, M., and Porter, D. (2015). Revisiting information aggregation in asset markets: reflective learning & market efficiency. ESI Working Papers. Duffie, D. (2012). Dark markets: Asset pricing and information transmission in over-the-counter markets. Princeton University Press. Duffie, D., Gârleanu, N., and Pedersen, L. H. (2005). Over-the-counter markets. Econometrica, 73(6):1815-1847. Duffie, D., Malamud, S., and Manso, G. (2015). Reprint of: Information percolation in segmented markets. Journal of Economic Theory, 158:838-869. Duffie, D. and Manso, G. (2007). Information percolation in large markets. The American Economic Review, 97(2):203-209. Grossman, S. J. and Stiglitz, J. E. (1980). On the impossibility of informationally efficient markets. The American Economic Review, 70:393-408. Hayek, F. A. (1945). The use of knowledge in society. The American Economic Review, 35(4):519-530. Morris, S. and Shin, H. S. (2002). Social value of public information. The American Economic Review, 92(5):1521-1534. Morris, S. and Shin, H. S. (2005). Central bank transparency and the signal value of prices. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2005(2):1-66. Plott, C. R. and Sunder, S. (1982). Efficiency of experimental security markets with insider information: an application of rational-expectations models. The Journal of Political Economy, 90(4):663-698. Plott, C. R. and Sunder, S. (1988). Rational expectations and the aggregation of diverse information in laboratory security markets. Econometrica, 56:1085-1118. Ruiz-Buforn, A., Alfarano, S., and Camacho-Cuena, E. (2019). Higher-order beliefs and overweighting of public information in a laboratory financial market. Working Papers 2019, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain). Ruiz-Buforn, A., Alfarano, S., Camacho-Cuena, E., and Morone, A. (2018). Crowding out effect and traders' overreliance on public information in financial markets: a lesson from the lab. MPRA Paper 88866, University Library of Munich, Germany. Shiller, R. J. (2002). Irrational exuberance in the media. The Right to Tell, page 83. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/93288 |