BESSO, CHRISTOPHE RAOUL (2018): FINANCEMENT DES DEFICITS PUBLICS ET COMPORTEMENT DU SECTEUR FINANCIER EN ZONE CEMAC.
PDF
MPRA_paper_95365.pdf Download (1MB) |
Abstract
This paper has as objective to evaluate the impact of public deficits on domestic credit to the private sector in the CEMAC zone. The study is carried out over the period from 1985 to 2016, thanks to an autoregressive econometric model in panel data and distributed delays. The model estimates that, in the short term, domestic credit to the private sector is positively influenced by its past values, while for the other variables, the effects remain mixed. In the long term, the fiscal deficit positively influences the evolution of domestic credit to the private sector in the CEMAC zone because of the weak development of the financial markets.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | FINANCEMENT DES DEFICITS PUBLICS ET COMPORTEMENT DU SECTEUR FINANCIER EN ZONE CEMAC |
English Title: | Financing Fiscal deficit and private sector behavior in CEMAC countries |
Language: | French |
Keywords: | public deficit, credit to the private sector, ARDL panel |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C23 - Panel Data Models ; Spatio-temporal Models E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E6 - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook > E63 - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy ; Stabilization ; Treasury Policy |
Item ID: | 95365 |
Depositing User: | christophe raoul BESSO |
Date Deposited: | 30 Jul 2019 01:41 |
Last Modified: | 02 Oct 2019 10:40 |
References: | Aisen A. and Hauner D. (2008), “Budget deficits and Interest rates: a fresh Perspective”, IMF Working Paper Alesina A. et Perotti R. (1995), “Fiscal Expansion and Adjustments in OECD countries”, Economic Policy, A European Forum, Vol. 21, 1995, pp. 205-48. Barro, Robert J. (1974). Are Government Bonds Net Wealth?,Journal of Political Economy, 82, 1095-1117. Bernheim, B. D. (1989), “A Neoclassical Perspective on Budget Deficits” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 3,55-72. Biza R. A., Kapingura F. M., et Tsegaye A., (2015), “ Do Budget Deficits Crowd Out Private Investment? An Analysis of the South African Economy.”International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economics, vol 8, n°1 . Blejer M. I. et Khan M. S. (2010), “ GovernmentPolicy and Private Investment in developing Countries.” IMF Staff Papers. Caballero R. et Krishnamurthy (2004), “Fiscal Policy and Financial Depth.” National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper 10532. Edwards S., (2000), “Contagion.” The World Economy, 23(7), 873-900. FMI, Perspective Economique Régionale, Afrique Subsaharienne, 2016. FMI, Perspective Economique Régionale, Afrique Subsaharienne, 2017. Gale, W. and Orszag , P., (2004). Budget Deficits, National Saving, and Interest Rates, Brooking Papers on Economic Activity, 2(2004-2),101-210 Giavazzi F. et Pagano M., (1990), « Can Severe Fiscal Contractions Be expansionary ? » in NBER Macroéconomics Annual, ed. By O.Blanchard and S.Fischer, 1990. Giavazzi F. et Pagano M., (1996), «Non-Keynesian effets of Fiscal Policy, International Evidence and the Swedish Experience », NBER Reprints 2082,1996. Hemming R., Kell M.S. and Mahfouz S. (2002), “The Effectiveness of fiscal policy in Stimulating Economic Activity-A Review of the Literature.” IMF WP, 208;2002. Icaza V. E. et Lopez J. V. (2016), « regulations on bank’s sovereingn bond holdings : Assessing the impact of potentiel changes. » Spanish Economic and Financial outlook, Vol 5, n° 2 (march 2016). Iqbal N., Din M., and Ghani E. (2017),”the fiscal deficit and economic growth in Pakistan: new evidence”, The Lahore journal of economics, pp 53-72. Mwigeka S. (2016), “Do budget deficit crowds out private investment: a case of Tanzanian economy.” International Journal of business and management Vol.11. Panetta F. (2014) “On the special role of macroprudential policy in the euro area”, De Nederlandsche Bank Popov A.A. et Horen N.V. (2013), “The impact of sovereign debt exposure on bank Lendind: evidence from the european crisis.” De Nederlandsche Bank Paper N° 382. Saleh A. S. (2003), « The budget deficit and economic performance a survey », University of Wollongong. Shetta S. and Kamaly A. (2014), “Dies The Budget Deficit Crowd-out private credit from the banking sector? The case of Egypt.” Topics in middle eastern and African Economies, Vol.16, N°2, September 2014. Tugcu et Coban (2015) reviennent sur l’opposition des théories classiques et keynésiennes sur l’impact d’une politique budgétaire expansive sur l’investissement privé. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/95365 |