Dennery, Charles (2019): Dampened expectations in the Phillips Curve: a note. Published in: Economics Letters , Vol. 184, (November 2019)
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_98189.pdf Download (298kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Dampened inflation expectations have a significant impact on the New Keynesian Phillips Curve. This dampening not only flattens the long run Phillips Curve, but it can also lead to a bias in the estimation of its short run slope. It also affects the response of a small NK model to demand shocks, and affects the optimal monetary policy: in particular, the price targeting result of the Ramsey policy is violated when there is dampening.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Dampened expectations in the Phillips Curve: a note |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Anchored expectations, Phillips Curve, Ramsey policy |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E31 - Price Level ; Inflation ; Deflation E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E52 - Monetary Policy |
Item ID: | 98189 |
Depositing User: | Dr Charles Dennery |
Date Deposited: | 21 Jan 2020 14:23 |
Last Modified: | 21 Jan 2020 14:23 |
References: | [1] Bilbiie, F., Ghironi, F., and Fujiwara, I. (2014). Optimal Monetary Policy with Endogenous Product Variety. Journal of Monetary Economics, 64:1–20. [2] Bilbiie, F., Ghironi, F., and Melitz, M. (2007). Monetary Policy and Business Cycles with Endogenous Entry and Product Variety. NBER WP 13199. [3] Blanchard, O. (2016). The US Phillips Curve: Back to the 60s? Peterson Institute for International Economics. [4] Coibion, O., Gorodnichenko, Y., and Kamdar, R. (2018). The Formation of Expectations, Inflation, and the Phillips Curve. Journal of Economic Literature, 56(4):1447–91. [5] Del Negro, M., Giannoni, M., and Patterson, C. (2015). The Forward Guidance Puzzle. New York Fed Staff Reports 574. [6] Gabaix, X. (2018). A Behavioral New Keynesian Model. mimeo. [7] Gali, J. (2008). Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle: An Introduction to the New Keynesian Framework and Its Applications. Princeton University Press. [8] Gali, J. (2011). The Return of the Wage Phillips Curve. Journal of the European Economic Association, 9(3):436–461. [9] Gali, J. and Gertler, M. (1999). Inflation dynamics: A structural econometric analysis. Journal of Monetary Economics, 44(2):195 – 222. [10] Lepetit, A. (2018). The optimal rate of inflation with discount factor heterogeneity. Unpublished draft, FRSB. [11] McKay, A., Nakamura, E., and Steinsson, J. (2016). The Power of Forward Guidance Revisited. American Economic Review, 106(10):3133–58. [12] McKay, A., Nakamura, E., and Steinsson, J. (2017). The Discounted Euler Equation: A Note. Economica, 84(336):820–831. [13] Snower, D. and Tesfaselassie, M. (2017). Job Turnover, Trend Growth, and the Long-Run Phillips Curve. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 21(4):835–861. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/98189 |