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Projection des taux de fécondité de la population algérienne à l’horizon 2050

FLICI, Farid (2016): Projection des taux de fécondité de la population algérienne à l’horizon 2050.

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Abstract

This paper aims at forecasting the fertility age pattern of the Algerian population up to 2050. To this end, we use the Lee-Carter model in his fertility-adapted version. The used data is issued from the publications of the Office of National Statistics for the period from 1964 to 2014. Missing data were estimated with an S-logistic function.

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