Cassidy, Traviss (2017): Do Intergovernmental Grants Improve Public Service Delivery in Developing Countries?
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_104250.pdf Download (8MB) | Preview |
Abstract
I exploit unusual policy variation in Indonesia to examine how local responses to intergovernmental grants depend on their persistence. A national reform produced permanent increases in the general grant that were larger for less densely populated districts. Hydrocarbon-rich districts experienced transitory shocks to shared resource revenue. Public service delivery strongly responded to the permanent shock, but not to the transitory shocks, consistent with districts providing lumpy public services as a function of lifetime fiscal resources. I provide supporting evidence for this mechanism and rule out other potential mechanisms. I discuss implications for decentralization policy and research on taxation and accountability.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Do Intergovernmental Grants Improve Public Service Delivery in Developing Countries? |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Intergovernmental grants, public goods, flypaper effect, resource curse |
Subjects: | H - Public Economics > H7 - State and Local Government ; Intergovernmental Relations > H72 - State and Local Budget and Expenditures H - Public Economics > H7 - State and Local Government ; Intergovernmental Relations > H75 - State and Local Government: Health ; Education ; Welfare ; Public Pensions H - Public Economics > H7 - State and Local Government ; Intergovernmental Relations > H77 - Intergovernmental Relations ; Federalism ; Secession O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O13 - Agriculture ; Natural Resources ; Energy ; Environment ; Other Primary Products Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q3 - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation > Q38 - Government Policy |
Item ID: | 104250 |
Depositing User: | Dr. Traviss Cassidy |
Date Deposited: | 02 Dec 2020 17:07 |
Last Modified: | 02 Dec 2020 17:08 |
References: | AGUSTINA, C. D., E. AHMAD, D. NUGROHO, AND H. SIAGIAN (2012): “Political Economy of Natural Resource Revenue Sharing in Indonesia,”Working Paper 55, Asia Research Centre. ALBOUY, D. (2012): “Evaluating the Efficiency and Equity of Federal Fiscal Equalization,” Journal of Public Economics, 96, 824–839. ARELLANO, M. AND S. BOND (1991): “Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations,” Review of Economic Studies, 58, 277–297. ARELLANO, M. AND O. BOVER (1995): “Another Look at the Instrumental Variable Estimation of Error-ComponentsModels,” Journal of Econometrics, 68, 29–51. AREZKI, R., F. VAN DER PLOEG, AND F. TOSCANI (2019): “The Shifting Natural Wealth of Nations: The Role of Market Orientation,” Journal of Development Economics, 138, 228– 245. BAICKER, K. (2005): “Extensive or Intensive Generosity? The Price and Income Effects of Federal Grants,” Review of Economics and Statistics, 87, 371–384. BAZZI, S. AND M. A. CLEMENS (2013): “Blunt Instruments: Avoiding Common Pitfalls in Identifying the Causes of Economic Growth,” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 5, 152–186. BAZZI, S. AND M. GUDGEON (2020): “The Political Boundaries of Ethnic Divisions,” American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, Forthcoming. BESFAMILLE, M., D. JORRAT, O. MANZANO, AND P. SANGUINETTI (2019): “How Do Subnational Governments React to Shocks to Revenue Sources? Evidence from Argentina,”Working Paper 522, IE-PUC. BLÖNDAL, J. R., I. HAWKESWORTH, AND H.-D. CHOI (2009): “Budgeting in Indonesia,” OECD Journal on Budgeting, 9, 49–79. BLUNDELL, R. AND S. BOND (1998): “Initial Conditions and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel DataModels,” Journal of Econometrics, 87, 115–143. BOND, S. (2002): “Dynamic Panel Data Models: A Guide to Micro Data Methods and Practice,”Working Paper CWP09/02, Cemmap, Institute for Fiscal Studies. BORGE, L.-E., P. PARMER, AND R. TORVIK (2015): “Local Natural Resource Curse?” Journal of Public Economics, 131, 101–114. BROLLO, F., T. NANNICINI, R. PEROTTI, AND G. TABELLINI (2013): “The Political Resource Curse,” American Economic Review, 103, 1759–1796. BURGESS, R., M. HANSEN, B. A. OLKEN, P. POTAPOV, AND S. SIEBER (2012): “The Political Economy of Deforestation in the Tropics,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 127, 1707– 1754. CAMERON, A. C., J. B. GELBACH, AND D. L. MILLER (2011): “Robust InferenceWithMultiway Clustering,” Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 29, 238–249. CASCIO, E. U., N. GORDON, AND S. REBER (2013): “Local Responses to Federal Grants: Evidence from the Introduction of Title I in the South,” American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 5, 126–159. CASELLI, F. AND G. MICHAELS (2013): “DoOilWindfalls Improve Living Standards? Evidence from Brazil,” American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 5, 208–238. CASSIDY, T. (2019): “The Long-Run Effects of Oil Wealth on Development: Evidence from PetroleumGeology,” Economic Journal, 129, 2745–2778. CHRISTELIS, D., D. GEORGARAKOS, T. JAPPELLI, L. PISTAFERRI, AND M. VAN ROOIJ (2020): “Asymmetric Consumption Effects of Transitory Income Shocks,” Economic Journal, 129, 2322–2341. CUST, J. AND T. HARDING (2019): “Institutions and the Location of Oil Exploration,” Journal of the European Economic Association, 18, 1321–1350. CUST, J. AND C. VIALE (2016): “Is There Evidence for a Subnational Resource Curse?” Policy paper, Natural Resource Governance Institute. DAHLBERG, M., E. MÖRK, J. RATTSØ, AND H. ÅGREN (2008): “Using a Discontinuous Grant Rule to Identify the Effect of Grants on Local Taxes and Spending,” Journal of Public Economics, 92, 2320–2335. DAHLBY, B. AND E. FEREDE (2016): “The Stimulative Effects of Intergovernmental Grants and the Marginal Cost of Public Funds,” International Tax and Public Finance, 23, 114– 139. FERRAZ, C. AND F. FINAN (2008): “Exposing Corrupt Politicians: The Effects of Brazil’s Publicly Released Audits on Local Elections,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 123, 703– 745. ———(2011): “Electoral Accountability and Corruption: Evidence from the Audits of Local Governments,” American Economic Review, 101, 1274–1311. FITRANI, F., B. HOFMAN, AND K. KAISER (2005): “Unity in Diversity? The Creation of New Local Governments in a Decentralising Indonesia,” Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, 41, 57–79. GADENNE, L. (2017): “Tax Me, But Spend Wisely? Sources of Public Finance and Government Accountability,” American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 9, 274–314. GADENNE, L. ANDM. SINGHAL (2014): “Decentralization inDeveloping Economies,” Annual Review of Economics, 6, 581–604. GENNARI, E. AND G. MESSINA (2014): “How Sticky are Local Expenditures in Italy? Assessing the Relevance of the Flypaper Effect through Municipal Data,” International Tax and Public Finance, 21, 324–344. GORDON, N. (2004): “Do Federal Grants Boost School Spending? Evidence from Title I,” Journal of Public Economics, 88, 1771–1792. HARRIS, R. D. F. AND E. TZAVALIS (1999): “Inference forUnit Roots inDynamic Panels where the Time Dimension is Fixed,” Journal of Econometrics, 91, 201–226. HELM, I. AND J. STUHLER (2020): “The Dynamic Response ofMunicipal Budgets to Revenue Shocks,”Working paper, Universidad Carlos III deMadrid. HINES, J. R. AND R. H. THALER (1995): “The Flypaper Effect,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 9, 217–226. HOLM, S. (1979): “A Simple Sequentially Rejective Multiple Test Procedure,” Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, 6, 65–70. HOLTZ-EAKIN, D., W. NEWEY, AND H. S. ROSEN (1988): “Estimating Vector Autoregressions with Panel Data,” Econometrica, 56, 1371–1395. INMAN, R. P. (2008): “The Flypaper Effect,”Working Paper 14579, NBER. JORDÀ, S. (2005): “Estimation and Inference of Impulse Responses by Local Projections,” American Economic Review, 95, 161–182. KHAN, A. AND J. K. THOMAS (2008): “Idiosyncratic Shocks and the Role of Nonconvexities in Plant and Aggregate Investment Dynamics,” Econometrica, 76, 395–436. KLEIBERGEN, F. AND R. PAAP (2006): “Generalized Reduced Rank Tests Using the Singular Value Decomposition,” Journal of Econometrics, 133, 97–126. KNIGHT, B. (2002): “Endogenous Federal Grants and Crowd-Out of State Government Spending: Theory and Evidence from the Federal Highway Aid Program,” American Economic Review, 92, 71–92. LEDUC, S. AND D. WILSON (2017): “Are State Governments Roadblocks to Federal Stimulus? Evidence on the Flypaper Effect of Highway Grants in the 2009 Recovery Act,” American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 9, 253–292. LELAND, H. E. (1968): “Saving and Uncertainty: The Precautionary Demand for Saving,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 82, 465–473. LEWIS, B. D. AND A. OOSTERMAN (2009): “The Impact of Decentralization on Subnational Government Fiscal Slack in Indonesia,” Public Budgeting and Finance, 29, 27–47. LITSCHIG, S. AND K. M. MORRISON (2013): “The Impact of Intergovernmental Transfers on Education Outcomes and Poverty Reduction,” American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 5, 206–240. LIU, C. AND G. MA (2016): “Taxation without Representation: Local Fiscal Response to Intergovernmental Transfers in China,” International Tax and Public Finance, 23, 854– 874. LUNDQVIST, H. (2015): “Granting Public or Private Consumption? Effects of Grants on Local Public Spending and Income Taxes,” International Tax and Public Finance, 22, 41–72. LUTZ, B. (2010): “Taxation with Representation: Intergovernmental Grants in a Plebiscite Democracy,” Review of Economics and Statistics, 92, 316–332. MARTÍNEZ, L. R. (2020): “Sources of Revenue and Government Performance: Evidence from Colombia,”Working paper, University of Chicago. MARTÍNEZ-BRAVO, M., P. MUKHERJEE, AND A. STEGMANN (2017): “The Non-Democratic Roots of Elite Capture: Evidence from Soeharto Mayors in Indonesia,” Econometrica, 85, 1991–2010. MONTEIRO, J. AND C. FERRAZ (2014): “Learning to Punish: ResourceWindfalls and Political Accountability in Brazil,”Working paper, PUC-Rio. NATURAL RESOURCE GOVERNANCE INSTITUTE (2016): “Natural Resource Revenue Sharing,” Technical report, Natural Resource Governance Institute. NICKELL, S. (1981): “Biases in DynamicModels with Fixed Effects,” Econometrica, 49, 1417– 1426. OBSTFELD, M. AND K. ROGOFF (1996): Foundations of International Macroeconomics, Cambridge, MA:MIT Press, first ed. OLKEN, B. (2007): “Monitoring Corruption: Evidence froma Field Experiment in Indonesia,” Journal of Political Economy, 115, 200–249. OLSSON, O. AND M. VALSECCHI (2015): “Resource Windfalls and Local Government Behavior: Evidence froma Policy Reformin Indonesia,”Working Paper 635, SWOPEC. REINIKKA, R. AND J. SVENSSON (2004): “Local Capture: Evidence froma CentralGovernment Transfer Program in Uganda,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 119, 679–705. ROODMAN, D. (2009): “A Note on the Theme of Too Many Instruments,” Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 71, 135–158. RYSTAD ENERGY (2016): “UCube Database,” https://www.rystadenergy.com/Products/ EnP-Solutions/UCube, accessed September 18, 2016. SANDERSON, E. AND F. WINDMEIJER (2016): “A Weak Instrument F-test in Linear IV Models withMultiple Endogenous Variables,” Journal of Econometrics, 190, 212–221. SHAH, A. (2006): “A Practitioner’s Guide to Intergovernmental Fiscal Transfers,” Policy ResearchWorking Paper 4039,World Bank. SHAH, A., R. QIBTHIYYAH, AND A. DITA (2012): “General Purpose Central-Provincial-Local Transfers (DAU) in Indonesia: From Gap Filling to Ensuring Fair Access to Essential Public Services for All,”Working paper,World Bank. SJAHRIR, B. S., K. KIS-KATOS, AND G. G. SHULZE (2013): “Political Budget Cycles in Indonesia at the District Level,” Economic Letters, 120, 342–345. UNFPA INDONESIA (2014): “Midwifery Consultancy Report,” Technical report, United Nations Population Fund. UNITED NATIONS (2009): International Guidelines on Decentralization and Access to Basic Services for All, Nairobi: UN-HABITAT. VAN DER PLOEG, F. (2011): “Natural Resources: Curse or Blessing?” Journal of Economic Literature, 49, 366–420. VAN DER PLOEG, F. AND A. J. VENABLES (2013): “Absorbing a Windfall of Foreign Exchange: Dutch Disease Dynamics,” Journal of Development Economics, 103, 229–243. VEGH, C. A. AND G. VULETIN (2015): “Unsticking the Flypaper Effect in anUncertainWorld,” Journal of Public Economics, 131, 142–155. WORLD BANK (1999): World Development Report 1999/2000: Entering the 21st Century - The Changing Development Landscape,World Bank. ———(2007): “Spending for Development: Making theMost of Indonesia’s Opportunities,” Technical report,World Bank, Jakarta. ——— (2010): “Village Capacity in Maintaining Infrastructure: Evidence from Rural Indonesia,” Technical report,World Bank, Jakarta. ZELDES, S. P. (1989): “Consumption and Liquidity Constraints: An Empirical Investigation,” Journal of Political Economy, 97, 305–346. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/104250 |
Available Versions of this Item
-
How Forward-Looking Are Local Governments? Evidence from Indonesia. (deposited 25 Dec 2019 22:22)
- Do Intergovernmental Grants Improve Public Service Delivery in Developing Countries? (deposited 02 Dec 2020 17:07) [Currently Displayed]