Yusuf, Ismaila Akanni and Salaudeen, Mohammed Bashir and Agbonrofo, Hope (2021): Social and Economic Drivers of Stock Market Performance in Nigeria. Published in: Journal of Economic Impact , Vol. 3, No. 3 (15 November 2021): pp. 137-143.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_111086.pdf Download (334kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The study examines the effect of the social and economic indicators on the stock market performance in Nigeria between 1981 and 2019. The study employs secondary data from the World Bank and Central Bank of Nigeria using the ordinary least squares as the technique of estimation. Findings show that regarding the economic drivers, interest rate, exchange rate, and inflation rate negatively impact the stock market while only income exerts a positive impact. However, both income and interest rate are significant economic drivers of stock performance. Regarding social drivers, life expectancy, poverty, and population exert a positive impact on stock performance. Similarly, both life expectancy and population are significant social drivers of stock market performance in Nigeria. The study recommends that monetary authorities should be cautious in avoiding discretionary policies that might hike the exchange rate; otherwise, the flow of funds to the stock market will be derailed. Also, the fiscal authority should invest massively in safety nets programmes to enhance the capacity of the growing population and reduce poverty.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Social and Economic Drivers of Stock Market Performance in Nigeria |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Economic Drivers, Social Drivers, Stock Market, Nigeria. |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C1 - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G12 - Asset Pricing ; Trading Volume ; Bond Interest Rates |
Item ID: | 111086 |
Depositing User: | Dr Hope Agbonrofo |
Date Deposited: | 23 Dec 2021 13:53 |
Last Modified: | 23 Dec 2021 13:53 |
References: | Akinmade, B., Adedoyin, F. F., & Bekun, F. V. (2020). The impact of stock market manipulation on Nigeria’s economic performance. Journal of Economic Structures, 9(1), 1-28. Asongu, S. A. (2012). Government quality determinants of stock market performance in African countries. Journal of African Business, 13(3), 183-199. Ayadi, O. F., Ojo, A. T., Ayadi, M. F., & Adetula, D. T. (2015). Gender diversity in the governance of the Nigerian securities market. Corporate Governance,15(5), 734 - 746 Bhattacharyya, S. C. (2019). Energy economics: concepts, issues, markets and governance. Springer Nature. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-7468-4 Carp, L. (2012). Can stock market development boost economic growth? Empirical evidence from emerging markets in Central and Eastern Europe. Procedia Economics and Finance, 3, 438-444. CBN. Central Bank of Nigeria (2020) Annual Report and Statistical Bulletin for the Year Ended 31st December. Available at: http://www.cbn.gov.ng/documents/statbulletin.asp. Accessed 23/04/2021. Garza-Garcia, J. G., & Yue, Y. (2010). International Determinants of stock market performance in China: a cointegration approach. University of West of England: Working Paper, 3(10). Goh, T. S., Henry, H., & Albert, A. (2021). Determinants and prediction of the stock market during Covid-19: Evidence from Indonesia. The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics, and Business, 8(1), 1-6. Hajilee, M., & Al Nasser, O. M. (2014). Exchange rate volatility and stock market development in emerging economies. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 37(1), 163-180. Harris, R. D. (1997). Stock markets and development: A re-assessment. European Economic Review, 41(1), 139-146. Ibrahim, M., & Musah, A. (2014). An econometric analysis of the impact of macroeconomic fundamentals on stock market returns in Ghana.Research in Applied Econometrics, 6(2). Igoni, S., Ogiri, I. H., & Orlu, L. (2020). Perceived Macroeconomic Factors and Stock Market Capitalization: Experience from the Nigerian Economy Perspective. Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research, 7 (1), 105 - 114. Isola, W. A. & Mesagan, P. E. (2018). Monetary Policy and Small and Medium Enterprises’ Performance in Selected West African Countries. Romanian Economic Journal, 21(69), 14-23. Isola, W. A., & Mesagan, E. P. (2016). Determinants of pharmaceutical industry’s performance in Nigeria. Managing Global Transitions, 14(3), 267-282. Jahur, M. S., Quadir, S. N., & Khan, M. A. (2014). Determinants of stock market performance in Bangladesh. Indonesian Management and Accounting Research, 13(1), 16-28. Liu, X., & Sinclair, P. (2008). Does the linkage between stock market performance and economic growth vary across Greater China?. Applied Economics Letters, 15(7), 505-508. Manasseh, C. O., Mathew, T. E., & Ogbuabor, J. E. (2017). Investigating the nexus between institutional quality and stock market development in Nigeria: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Approach. African Development Review, 29(2), 272-292. Mesagan, E. P. (2021). Efficiency of Financial Integration, Foreign Direct Investment and Output Growth: Policy Options for Pollution Abatement in Africa. Economic Issues, 26(1), 1-19. Mesagan, E. P. (2021). Environmental Sustainability in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Case of Production and Consumption Activities. Journal of the Knowledge Economy, https://doi.org/10.1007/s13132-021-00842-6 Mesagan, E. P., Kushimo, D. K. & Umar, D. I. (2021). Do Fluctuations in Exchange Rate Hinder Non-Oil Export? An Analysis of Agriculture and Manufacturing in Nigeria. SN Business & Economics, https://doi.org/10.1007/s43546-021-00156-4. Mesagan, E. P., Olunkwa, N. C. & Yusuf, I. A. (2018). Financial Development and Manufacturing Performance: The Nigerian Case. Studies in Business and Economics, 13(1), 97-111. Mesagan, E. P., Vo, X. V. & Amadi, I. P. (2021). Symmetric and Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility: The Capital Market and Financial Sector in Nigeria. Journal of Public Affairs, e2776. https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.2776. Mesagan, P. E. & Amadi, N. A. (2017). The Efficiency Market Theory: A Case of Commercial Banks Stocks in Nigeria. Ovidius University Annals Economic Sciences Series, 17(2), 583-587. Mesagan, P. E. & Bello, O. M. (2018). Core Infrastructures and Industrial Performance in Africa: Do Institutions Matter? International Review of Economics. 65(4), 539-562. Mesagan, P. E. & Ezeji, A. C. (2016). The Role of Social and Economic Infrastructure in Manufacturing Sector Performance in Nigeria. Babcock Journal of Economics, Banking and Finance, 5, 101-119. Mesagan, P. E. & Olunkwa, N. C. (2020). Heterogeneous Analysis of Energy Consumption, Financial Development and Pollution in Africa: Is Regulatory Quality Important? Utilities Policy, 74, 101328. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jup.2021.101328 Mesagan, P. E., Ogbuji, A. I., Alimi, O. I. & Odeleye, T. A. (2019). Growth Effects of Financial Market Instruments: the Ghanaian Experience. Forum Scientiae Oeconomia, 7(4), 67-82. Ogbuji, I. A., Mesagan, E. P., & Alimi, Y. O. (2020). The Dynamic Linkage between Money Market, Capital Market and Economic Growth in Ghana: New Lessons Relearned. Econometric Research in Finance, 5, 59-78. Okodua, H., & Ewetan, O. O. (2013). Stock market performance and sustainable economic growth in Nigeria: A bounds testing co-integration approach. Journal of Sustainable Development, 6(8). Olunkwa, C. N., Adenuga, J. I., Salaudeen, M. B., & Mesagan, E. P. (2021). The Demographic Effects of Covid-19: Any Hope for Working Populations? BizEcons Quarterly, 15(1), 3-12. Osamwonyi, I. O., & Evbayiro-Osagie, E. I. (2012). The relationship between macroeconomic variables and stock market index in Nigeria. Journal of Economics, 3(1), 55-63. Osisanwo, B. G., & Atanda, A. A. (2012). Determinants of stock market returns in Nigeria: A time series analysis. African Journal of Scientific Research, 9(1). Oskooe, S. A. (2010). Emerging stock market performance and economic growth. American Journal of Applied Sciences, 7(2), 265. Patel, S. (2012). The effect of macroeconomic determinants on the performance of the Indian stock market. NMIMS Management Review, 22. Pradhan, R. P., Arvin, M. B., Nair, M., & Bennett, S. E. (2020). Unveiling the causal relationships among banking competition, stock and insurance market development, and economic growth in Europe. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 55, 74-87. Prats Albentosa, M. A., & Sandoval, B. (2016). Stock market and economic growth in Eastern Europe (No. 2016-35). Economics Discussion Papers. Ruyong, T. (1999). An empirical research on the relationship between China’s financial development and economic growth. Economic Research Journal, 10(2), 18 – 37. Shi, Y., Ahmed, K., & Paramati, S. R. (2021). Determinants of stock market development and price volatility in ASEAN plus three countries: The role of institutional quality. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 26(1), 560-572. Tsaurai, K. (2018). What are the determinants of stock market development in emerging markets?. Academy of Accounting and Financial Studies Journal, 22(2), 1-11. World Development Indicators (2020). The World Bank, Databank. Available online at: http://databank.worldbank.org/data/reports.aspx?source=world-development-indicators. Accessed June 19th, 2020. Yusuf, I. A., Mesagan, E. P. & Amadi, A. N. (2020). Effect of Financial Deepening on Stock Market Returns: The Case of Military and Democratic Post-SAP Regimes in Nigeria. BizEcons Quarterly, 6, 3-21. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/111086 |