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Banking Sector Concentration, Credit Supply Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations

Alfarano, Simone and Blanco-Arroyo, Omar (2022): Banking Sector Concentration, Credit Supply Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations.

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Abstract

This paper studies whether the raise in concentration experienced by the Spanish banking sector has lead to the increase of bank-specific credit supply shocks contribution to aggregate credit supply. We decompose aggregate credit volatility and find that (i) the Spanish banking sector is granular, (ii) the direct effect of bank-specific shocks accounts for the overwhelming majority of the variation in aggregate volatility, contrary to the manufacturing sector, and (iii) the raise in concentration translated into an increase of bank-specific shocks contribution to aggregate volatility.

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