Стандартная модель международной торговли, теория игр и деиндустриализация российской экономики.

Spirin, Victor (2022): Стандартная модель международной торговли, теория игр и деиндустриализация российской экономики.

Abstract

In the modern (economic) world, it is generally accepted that all countries, in order to grow their prosperity as soon as possible, must follow the principles of free trade, open markets, and unhindered movement of goods and capital. What is it based on? On a completely sincere belief in the infallibility of international trade models, which since the beginning of the twentieth century have shown that free trade leads to an absolute optimization of the use of global resources, and due to this, an increase in production and consumption. This paper pursues the following goals. We will first explain to the reader what these models were, how they evolved, and why, under the conditions in which they were created, they did lead to overall economic growth. We will argue that the assumptions on which these models were built are completely inapplicable to the modern world, in which economic development is determined by the presence of high technology. And further, we will show that under more realistic and current assumptions, these same models lead to the opposite result for developing countries. Namely, to increase, not to reduce, the gap between technologically advanced and developing countries.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Standard Trade Model, Game Theory, and Deindustrialization of the Russian Economy
• Language: Russian
• Keywords: International Economics, Free Trade
• Subjects: F - International Economics > F6 - Economic Impacts of Globalization > F60 - General; F - International Economics > F6 - Economic Impacts of Globalization > F62 - Macroeconomic Impacts; F - International Economics > F6 - Economic Impacts of Globalization > F63 - Economic Development

References

Абсолютно безапелляционно этим пропитаны все учебники для студентов на курсах международной экономики, например Paul R. Krugman, Maurice Obstfeld, and Marc Melitz. International Economics: Theory and Policy. 11th Edition. Pearson, 2018. Pages 336-337. ISBN-13: 978-1292214993, ISBN-10: 1292214996

Ricardo, David (1817), On the Principles of Political Economy and Taxation (1 ed.), London: John Murray, ISBN 9783487409290.

Более формально принцип сравнительных преимуществ Рикардо в применении к развивающимся странам рассмотрен в Spirin V. Ricardo Through the Looking Glass: Misadventures of Comparative Advantage in Developing Economies, https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/110363/1/MPRA_paper_110363.pdf

Более формально приведённые ниже модели были рассмотрены в следующих публикациях: Spirin V. Specific Factors Model When Countries Have Different Technologies: Why Inefficient Industry is Better Than no Industry at All, https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/112937/ и Spirin V. Factor price divergence in Heckscher-Ohlin model when countries have different technologies: a simple numerical illustration. https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/115010/

См, например, Bertsekas, Dimitri P. (1982). Constrained Optimization and Lagrange Multiplier Methods. New York: Academic Press. ISBN 0-12-093480-9.

"АвтоВАЗ" перейдёт на импорт. Руководство предприятия поддерживает снижение пошлин на импортные автокомпоненты. http://www.rbsys.ru/print.php?page=842&option=media

Открытое письмо депутата Госдумы Председателю Правительства РФ https://svpressa.ru/economy/article/142529/ , 16 февраля 2016 года.

Генконструктор Иноземцев о двигателе ПД-14 https://tass.ru/armiya-i-opk/11958939

По данным Союза нефтегазопромышленников, если в советское время Уралмаш выпускал 365 комплектов бурового оборудования в год, то в последний период — 25–30. https://www.cdu.ru/tek_russia/articles/1/804/

Reinert, E. (2019). How Rich Countries Got Rich . . . and Why Poor Countries Stay Poor. Hachette Book Group, Inc.

Chang, Ha-Joon. Bad Samaritans: The Myth of Free Trade and the Secret History of Capitalism. Bloomsbury publishing, 2009. ISBN-10‏: ‎ 1596915986, ISBN-13: ‎ 978-1596915985.