Petranov, Stefan and Georgieva, Liliana and Ivcheva, Radostina (2022): Институционалните условия за членство в еврозоната и защо пътят е по-важен от неговата цел. Published in: Chapter in Book: The challenges for the Bulgarian economy on its way to membership in the euro area, eds Zlatinov, D., M. Nenova, S. Raleva No. Publishing house: Sofia University St. Kliment Ohridski (1 October 2022)
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Abstract
The conditions for Bulgaria's admission to the Eurozone are examined in detail, emphasizing and analyzing the presence of different conditions - those that are formally described and are related to objective quantitative criteria and those that are not formalized and are related to the functioning of the Bulgarian institutions. Very often in public debates, formal criteria are discussed, and informal criteria remain in the background. The chapter seeks answers to the following questions. Is it possible that Bulgaria will meet resistance to joining the Eurozone, because of such informal criteria? Is the set date of 1 January 2024 for the adoption of the euro realistic? Is it possible that the period of participation in ERM II, before admission to the Eurozone, will turn out to be significantly longer than expected? Is there a risk of such a scenario materializing, and should attempts be made to control and reduce such risk, if it exists? The presentation is based on a comparative analysis between Bulgaria and other EU countries.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Институционалните условия за членство в еврозоната и защо пътят е по-важен от неговата цел |
English Title: | The institutional conditions for eurozone membership and why the path is more important than the destination |
Language: | Bulgarian |
Keywords: | Eurozone, Bulgaria, ERM II, conditions for admission to the Eurozone |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F5 - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy > F55 - International Institutional Arrangements G - Financial Economics > G0 - General > G00 - General H - Public Economics > H0 - General |
Item ID: | 115892 |
Depositing User: | Prof. Stefan Petranov |
Date Deposited: | 05 Jan 2023 06:16 |
Last Modified: | 05 Jan 2023 06:16 |
References: | Величков, Н. (2020) Реална и струкрутна конвергенция на България към Еврозоната. – В: Икономически предизвикателства: криза, шокове, преструктуриране, политики. УНСС. Рангелова, Р., Бобева, Д., Златинов, Д. (2021). Икономически растеж и конвергенция в Европейския съюз. Издателство на БАН. Buti, M., Turrini, А. (2015) Three waves of convergence= Can Eurozone countries start growing together again? Vox EU, CEPR. Dorrucci, Е, Fidora,M., Gartner, C., Zumer, T. (2020) The European exchange rate mecanism (ERM II) as a preparatory phase on the path toward euro adoption – The case of Bulgaria and Croatia. ECB Economic Bulletin, Issue 8. European Central Bank (2020) Convergence report. European Commission (2020) Convergence report. Kelmanson, B, Kirabaeva, K., Medina, L., Mircheva, B. & Weiss, J. (2019) Explaining the shadow economy in Europe: size, causes and policy options. - IMF Working Paper, No. 19/278. Medina, L., Schneider, F. (2018) Shadow economies around the world: What did we learn over the last 20 years? - IMF Working Paper, WP 18/17. Petranov, S., Zlatinov, D., Velushev, M., Georgieva, L., Ivcheva, R. (2022a) Sreadow economy and production factors: results from an empirical analysis with a panel data set. Economic Studies, Issue 2. Petranov, S., Zlatinov, D., Atanasov, I. (2022b) The shadow economy in Bulgaria during the period 2006-2019. Economic Studies, Issue 5. Raleva, S. (2022) Structural convergence with Eurozone: A comparative analysis of Bulgaria and Romania. Proceedings of 65th International Scientific Conference on Economic and Social Development. Raleva, S. (2020) Bulgarian GDP expenditure structure growth impact and convergence with Eurozone - Yearbook of UNWE (1). |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/115892 |