Analyse des impacts de la tension Russie-Ukraine à Madagascar

Andrianady, Josué R. and Rajaonarison, Njakanasandratra R. and Rasolofomanana, Gherzino H. (2022): Analyse des impacts de la tension Russie-Ukraine à Madagascar.

Abstract

The objective of this work is to analyze the impacts of the war between Russia and Ukraine on the Malagasy economy. The main channel of transmission of the shock resulting from this tension is the variation in the price of oil, which will generate a deterioration in the balance of payments and a general increase in the price of raw materials in the energy sector and the transport of goods, which remains dependent on oil. In response, diversifying the sources of imports of essential goods and commodities such as energy and food seems attractive in the short term by strengthening intra-African trade. In the longer term, the energy transition is no longer an option but a necessity, as the country has the necessary potential in this area. Nevertheless, the path remains perilous in the sense that it requires significant capital.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Impacts analysis of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in Madagascar
• Language: French
• Keywords: Russia-Ukraine conflict, international economy, Madagascar
• Subjects: F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F16 - Trade and Labor Market Interactions; G - Financial Economics > G0 - General > G00 - General

References

A. A. Ali et al (2022). Les répercussions économiques de la guerre en Ukraine pour l'Afrique et le Maroc, Policy brief, POLICY CENTER FOR THE NEW SOUTH.

Banky Foiben'i Madagascar (2021). Rapport Annuel 2021, Banque Centrale de Madagascar: Direction de la Documentation et des Centrales d'Information, Madagascar.

D. Hanna et M. Haddad (2022). Infographic : Russia, Ukriane and the Global Wheat Supply, in ``Al Jazeera,, , 17 February 2022. Groupe de la Banque Africaine de Développement (2021). Rapport annuel 2021.

J. Gourdon et A. A. Ubeda (2022). Conflit Russie- Ukraine : quelles conséquences sur les économies africaines?, Fondation pour les Etudes et Recherches sur le Développement International (Ferdi). S. J. Ndongmo (2022).

Les ménages africians aux prises avec les effets de la guerre Ukraine, Derporate, esuli, profuge, Rivista telematica di studi sulla memoria femminile.

World Bank (2022). Global Economic Prospects, Global outlook, World Bank.