Wilson, Bonnie and Heckelman, Jac (2021): Targeting Inflation Targeting: The Influence of Interest Groups. Published in: Public Choice , Vol. 189, (2021): pp. 533-554.
Preview |
PDF
IT_n_submit.pdf Download (287kB) | Preview |
Abstract
We examine whether sectional interest groups influence monetary policy goals in a manner consistent with their interests as distributive coalitions. In particular, we explore whether bank groups and labor groups are associated with the incidence of inflation targeting by the central bank. Controlling for a variety of economic and institutional factors, our main findings reveal that bank groups are associated with a higher probability that a country is an inflation targeter while labor groups are associated with a lower probability. The findings are conditional on the level of democracy and on aspects of central bank independence.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Targeting Inflation Targeting: The Influence of Interest Groups |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | monetary policy, inflation targeting, special interests |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E52 - Monetary Policy E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E58 - Central Banks and Their Policies P - Economic Systems > P1 - Capitalist Systems > P16 - Political Economy |
Item ID: | 118090 |
Depositing User: | Bonnie Wilson |
Date Deposited: | 28 Jul 2023 01:58 |
Last Modified: | 28 Jul 2023 01:58 |
References: | Abrams, B. and P. Iossifov. 2006. Does the Fed Contribute to a Political Business Cycle? Public Choice 129: 249 - 262. Alesina, A. 1987. Macroeconomic Policy in a Two-Party System as a Repeated Game. Quarterly Journal of Economics 102: 651-678. Anderson, G., W. Shughart, and R. Tollison. 1988. A Public Choice Theory of the Great Contraction. Public Choice 59(1): 3 - 23. Ayadi, R., S. Naceur, B. Casu, and B. Quinn. 2016. Does Basel Compliance Matter for Bank Performance? Journal of Financial Stability 23: 15 - 32. Ball, L. 1992. Why Does High Inflation Raise Inflation Uncertainty? Journal of Monetary Economics 29: 371 - 388. Belinga, V. and M. Doukali. 2019. The Moroccan New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Structural Econometric Analysis. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 9018. Belke, A. and N. Potrafke. 2012. Does Government Ideology Matter in Monetary Policy? A Panel Data Analysis for OECD Countries. Journal of International Money and Finance 31(5): 1126 - 1139. Bernanke, B. 2010. Central Bank Independence, Transparency, and Accountability. Speech of Chairman Ben S. Bernanke at the Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies International Conference, Bank of Japan, Tokyo, Japan. May 25, 2010. Bischoff, I. 2003. Determinants of the Increase in the Number of Interest Groups in Western Democracies: Theoretical Considerations and Evidence from 21 OECD Countries. Public Choice 114: 197-218. Blau, B. 2017. Lobbying, Political Connections and Emergency Lending by the Federal Reserve. Public Choice 172: 333 - 358. Chappell, H. and W. Keech. 1986. Party Differences in Macroeconomic Policies and Outcomes. American Economic Review 76: 71 - 74. Claessens, S., N. Coleman, and M. Donnelly. 2018. "Low-For-Long" Interest Rates and Banks' Interest Margins and Profitability: Cross-country Evidence. Journal of Financial Intermediation 35: 1 - 16. Coates, D., J.C. Heckelman, and B. Wilson. 2007. Determinants of Interest Group Formation. Public Choice 133: 377-391. Cukierman, A., S.Webb, and B. Neyapti. 1992. Measuring the Independence of Central Banks and Its Effect on Policy Outcomes. The World Bank Economic Review 6(3): 353-398. De Haan, J. and G. van't Hag. 1995. Variation in Central Bank Independence Across Countries: Some Provisional Empirical Evidence. Public Choice 85: 335-351. De Haan, J., C. Bodea, R. Hicks, and S. Eijffnger. 2018. Central Bank Independence Before and After the Crisis. Comparative Economic Studies. 60: 183-202. Demirguc-Kunt, A. and H. Huizinga. 1999. Determinants of Commercial Bank Interest Margins and Profitability: Some International Evidence. The World Bank Economic Review 13(2): 379 - 408 Drazen, A. 2000. Interest-rate and Borrowing Defense Against Speculative Attack. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 53(1): 303 - 348. Fernandez-Albertos, J. 2015. The Politics of Central Bank Independence. Annual Review of Political Science 18: 217 - 237. Friedman, M. 1977. Inflation and Unemployment Journal of Political Economy 85: 451 - 472. Gabillon, E. and D. Martimort. 2004. The Benefits of Central Bank's Political Independence. European Economic Review 48: 353 - 378. Garriga, A. 2016. Central Bank Independence in the World: A New Data Set. International Interactions: 849-868. Ghosh, A. 2016. Banking Sector Globalization and Bank Performance: A Comparative Analysis of Low Income Countries with Emerging Markets and Advanced Economies. Review of Development Finance 6: 58 - 70. Giesenow, F. and J. de Haan. 2019. The Influence of Government Ideology on Monetary Policy: New Cross-Country Evidence Based on Dynamic Heterogeneous Panels. Economics & Politics: 216 - 239. Golub, J. 1994. Does Inflation Uncertainty Increase with Inflation? Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Economic Review: 27 - 38. Grier, K. 1991. Congressional Oversight Committee Influence on US Monetary Policy. Journal of Monetary Economics 28: 201 - 220. Grier, K. 1996. Congressional Oversight Committee Influence on US Monetary Policy Revisited. Journal of Monetary Economics 38: 571 - 579. Hartmann, M. and H. Herwartz. 2012. Causal Relations Between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty - Cross Sectional Evidence in Favour of the Friedman-Ball Hypothesis. Economics Letters 115: 144 - 147. Heckelman, J.C. 2000. Consistent Estimates of the Impact of Special Interest Groups on Economic Growth. Public Choice 104: 319-327. Heckelman, J.C., and B. Wilson. 2014. Interest Groups and the "Rise and Decline of Growth." Southern Economic Journal 81: 435-456. Hess, G. and C. Shelton. 2016. Congress and the Federal Reserve. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 48(4): 603 - 633. Hibbs, D. 1977. Political Parties and Macroeconomic Policy. American Political Science Review 71: 1467 - 1487. Hibbs, D. 1979. The Mass Public and Macroeconomic Performance: The Dynamics of Public Opinion toward Unemployment and Inflation. American Journal of Political Research 9: 133-145. Hibbs, D. 1987. The Political Economy of Industrial Democracies. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. Hibbs, D. 1994. The Partisan Model of Macroeconomic Cycles: More Theory and Evidence for the United States. Economics and Politics 6: 1-23. Jawadi, F., W. Barnett, and Z. Ftiti. 2020. Causal Relationships Between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics. Knittel, C. 2006. The Adoption of State Electricity Regulation: The Role of Interest Groups. The Journal of Industrial Economics 54(2): 201 - 222. Kohlscheen, E., A. Pabon, and J. Contreras. Determinants of Bank Profitability in Emerging Markets. Bank of International Settlements Working Paper No. 686. Le, T. and T. Ngo. 2020. The Determinants of Bank Profitability: A Cross-Country Analysis. Central Bank Review 20(2): 65-73. Lucotte, Y. 2010. The Choice of Adopting Inflation Targeting in Emerging Economies: Do Domestic Institutions Matter? Working paper, hal-00539713. McChesney, F.S. 1987. Rent Extraction and Rent Creation in the Economic Theory of Regulation. Journal of Legal Studies 16: 101-118. Mishkin, F. 2011. Monetary Policy Strategy: Lessons from the Crisis. NBER Working Paper 16755. Cambridge (MA): National Bureau of Economic Research. Moretti, L., L. Onorante, and S. Saber. 2019. Phillips Curves in the Euro Area. European Central Bank Working Paper Series. Mueller, D. 2003. Public Choice III. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Mueller, D. and P. Murrell. 1986. Interest Groups and the Size of Government. Public Choice 48: 125 - 145. Mukherjee, B. and D.A. Singer. 2008. Monetary Institutions, Partisanship, and Inflation Targeting. International Organization 62: 323-358. Murrell, P. 1984. An Examination of the Factors Affecting the Formation of Interest Groups in OECD Countries. Public Choice 43: 151-171. Olson, M. 1965. The Logic of Collective Action. Cambridge: Harvard University Press. Olson, M. 1982. The Rise and Decline of Nations: Economic Growth, Staglation, and Social Rigidities. New Haven: Yale University Press. Petria, N., B. Capraru, and I. Ihnatov. 2015. Determinants of Banks' Profitability: Evidence from EU 27 Banking Systems. Procedia Economics and Finance 20: 518-524. Posen, A. 1993. Why Central Bank Independence Does Not Cause Low Inflation There is No Institutional Fix for Politics. In R. O'Brien (ed.), Finance and the International Economy. Oxford: Oxford University Press 7, 40 - 65. Potrafke, N. 2017. Partisan Politics: The Empirical Evidence from OECD Panel Studies. Journal of Comparative Economics 45: 712 - 750. Salter, A. and W. Luther. 2019. Adaptation and Central Banking. Public Choice. 180: 243 - 256. Samarina, A. and J. De Haan. 2014. Right on Target: Exploring the Factors Leading to Inflation Targeting Adoption. Contemporary Economic Policy 32(2): 372-389. Schwartz, A. 2009. Boundaries Between the Fed and the Treasury. Paper presented to the Shadow Open Market Committee Schwartz, A. 1995. Why Financial Stability Depends on Price Stability. Economic Affairs: 21- 25. Shughart II, W., R Tollison, and Z. Yan. 2002. Rent Seeking into the Income Distribution. Kyklos 56: 443-458. Singhal, M. 2008. Special interest Groups and the Allocation of Public Funds. Journal of Public Economics 92(3-4): 548 - 564. Svensson, L. 2000. Open-Economy Inflation Targeting. Journal of International Economics 50: 155-183. Wagner, R. 1986. Central Banking and the Fed: A Public Choice Perspective. Cato Journal 6(2): 519-543. Wandschneider, K. 2008. The Stability of the Interwar Gold Exchange Standard: Did Politics Matter? The Journal of Economic History 68(1): 151 - 181. Way, Christopher. 2000. Central Bank, Partisan Politics, and Macroeconomic Outcomes. Comparative Political Studies 33(2): 196-224. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/118090 |