Chong, Zhi Zheng and Lau, Siew Yee (2023): Unconditional cash transfers and child schooling: a meta-analysis.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_120837.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
There is growing rigorous evidence on the schooling impacts of unconditional cash transfers, but only few have systematically reviewed the literature. This paper fills the gap through applying a meta-regression analysis to 38 studies of 22 programmes in 18 countries. We find that unconditional cash transfers improve both student enrolment and attendance, and the result is robust to the exclusion of studies with a high risk of bias. We also find statistically significant heterogeneity in effect sizes across studies. The effect on enrolment is larger for setting where average monthly labour income in the economy is lower and for secondary school students. However, we do not find other moderators in this paper, namely transfer size, whether the programme is pilot, and poverty head headcount ratio, explain the variation in effect sizes. Our paper highlights the need of more evaluations on the schooling impacts of unconditional cash transfers and how tweaks in programme design could make a difference.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Unconditional cash transfers and child schooling: a meta-analysis |
English Title: | Unconditional cash transfers and child schooling: a meta-analysis |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Cash transfer programmes, unconditional cash transfers, education, impact evaluation, systematic review, meta-analysis |
Subjects: | D - Microeconomics > D0 - General > D04 - Microeconomic Policy: Formulation, Implementation, and Evaluation D - Microeconomics > D1 - Household Behavior and Family Economics > D10 - General I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I2 - Education and Research Institutions > I20 - General |
Item ID: | 120837 |
Depositing User: | Mr Zhi Zheng Chong |
Date Deposited: | 15 May 2024 09:31 |
Last Modified: | 15 May 2024 09:31 |
References: | Adato M. and Bassett L. (2009). Social protection to support vulnerable children and families: the potential of cash transfers to protect education, health and nutrition, AIDS Care, 21(1), 60-75. Akresh R., de Walque D., Kazianga H. (2016). Evidence from a Randomized Evaluation of the Household Welfare Impacts of Conditional and Unconditional Cash Transfers Given to Mothers or Fathers. Policy Research Working Paper; No. 7730. World Bank, Washington, DC. Attanasio O., Fitzsimons E., and Gomez A. et al. (2010). Children’s Schooling and Work in the Presence of a Conditional Cash Transfer Program in Rural Colombia. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 58(2), 181-210. Baland J. and Robinson J. (2000). Is Child Labor Inefficient? Journal of Political Economy, 108(4), 663-679. Baird S., Ferreira F. and Özler B. et al. (2014) Conditional, unconditional and everything in between: a systematic review of the effects of cash transfer programmes on schooling outcomes. Journal of Development Effectiveness, 6(1), 1-43. Baird S., McIntosh C., and Özler B. (2011). Cash or Condition? Evidence from a Cash Transfer Experiment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 126(4), 1709-1753. Barrera-Osorio F., Bertrand M., and Linden L. (2008). Conditional Cash Transfers in Education Design Features, Peer and Sibling Effects Evidence from a Randomized Experiment in Colombia. NBER Working Papers 13890, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. Bastagli F., Hagen-Zanker J., and Harman L. et al. (2016). Cash transfers: what does the evidence say? A rigorous review of programme impact and the role of design and implementation features. London: Overseas Development Institute. Bastagli F., Hagen-Zanker J., and Harman L. et al. (2018). The Impact of Cash Transfers: A Review of the Evidence from Low- and Middle-income Countries. Journal of Social Policy, 48(03), 569-594. Basu K. and Van P. H. (1998). The Economics of Child Labor. The American Economic Review, 88(3), 412–427. Becker G. (1962). Investment in Human Capital: A Theoretical Analysis. Journal of Political Economy, 70(5, Part 2), 9-49. Ben-Porath Y. (1967). The Production of Human Capital and the Life Cycle of Earnings. Journal of Political Economy, 75(4, Part 1), 352-365. Benhassine N., Devoto F., and Duflo E. et al. (2015). Turning a Shove into a Nudge? A “Labeled Cash Transfer” for Education. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 7(3), 86-125. Bergolo M. and Galván E. (2018). Intra-household Behavioral Responses to Cash Transfer Programs: Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design. World Development, 103, 100-118. Burch J. and Ciapponi A. (2020). In low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), what are the effects of unconditional cash transfers (UCTs) on health service use, health outcomes, and social determinants of health?. Cochrane Clinical Answers. Canavire-Bacarreza G., Chong A., and Ríos-Avila F. et al. (2020). Will elders provide for their grandchildren? Unconditional cash transfers and educational expenditures in Bolivia. Review of Development Economics, 24(2), 424-447. Churchill A.S, Iqbal N., and Nawaz S. et al. (2021) Unconditional cash transfers, child labour and education: theory and evidence. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 186, 437-457. Coetzee M. (2013). Finding the Benefits: Estimating the Impact of The South African Child Support Grant. South African Journal of Economics, 81(3), 427-450. Covarrubias K., Davis B., and Winters P. (2012). From protection to production: productive impacts of the Malawi Social Cash Transfer scheme. Journal of Development Effectiveness, 4(1), 50-77. de Carvalho Filho I. (2012). Household Income as a Determinant of Child Labor and School Enrollment in Brazil: Evidence from a Social Security Reform. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 60(2), 399-435. DerSimonian R. and Laird N. (1986). Meta-analysis in clinical trials. Controlled Clinical Trials, 7(3), 177-188. Ferreira F. H., Filmer D., and Schady N. (2017). Own and sibling effects of conditional cash transfer programs: Theory and evidence from Cambodia. Research on Economic Inequality, 259–298. Filmer D. and Schady N. (2011). Does more cash in conditional cash transfer programs always lead to larger impacts on school attendance?. Journal of Development Economics, 96(1), 150-157. Fiszbein A., Schady N., Ferreira, F.H. et al. (2009). Conditional Cash Transfers: Reducing Present and Future Poverty. World Bank Policy Research Report. Washington, DC: World Bank. Freeland N. (2007). Superfluous, Pernicious, Atrocious and Abominable? The Case Against Conditional Cash Transfers. IDS Bulletin, 38(3), 75-78. Gaarder M., Glassman A., and Todd J. (2010). Conditional cash transfers and health: unpacking the causal chain. Journal of Development Effectiveness, 2(1), 6-50. Garcia S. and Saavedra J. (2017). Educational Impacts and Cost-Effectiveness of Conditional Cash Transfer Programs in Developing Countries: A Meta-Analysis. Review of Educational Research, 87(5), 921-965. Garoma D., Abraha Y., and Gebrie S. et al. (2017). Impact of conditional cash transfers on child nutritional outcomes among sub-Saharan African countries. JBI Database of Systematic Reviews and Implementation Reports, 15(9), 2295-2299. Glassman, A., Duran, D., Fleisher, L. et al. (2013). Impact of conditional cash transfers on maternal and newborn health. Journal of health, population, and nutrition, 31(4 Suppl 2), 48–66. Glewwe P. and Kremer M. (2006). ‘Schools, Teachers, and Education Outcomes in Developing Countries’, in Hanushek, E.A. and Welch, F. (vol. 2) Handbook of the Economics of Education. Amsterdam: Elsevier, pp 945-1017. Hagen-Zanker J., Mccord A., and Holmes R. et al. (2011). Systematic Review of the Impact of Employment Guarantee Schemes and Cash Transfers on the Poor, ODI Systematic Review. London: Overseas Development Institute. Handa S., Natali L., Seidenfeld D., and Tembo G. (2016). The impact of Zambia’s unconditional child grant on schooling and work: results from a large-scale social experiment. Journal of Development Effectiveness, 8(3), 346-367. Hanlon J., Barrientos A., and Hulme D. (2010). Just Give Money to the Poor: The Development Revolution from the Global South. Sterling: Kumarian Press. Haushofer J. and Shapiro J. (2016). The Short-term Impact of Unconditional Cash Transfers to the Poor: Experimental Evidence from Kenya. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(4), 1973-2042. He Z., Fang X., and Rose N. et al. (2021). Rural minimum living standard guarantee (rural Dibao) program boosts children's education outcomes in rural China. China Agricultural Economic Review, 13(1), 54-77. Hedges L., Tipton E., and Johnson M. (2010). Robust variance estimation in meta-regression with dependent effect size estimates. Research Synthesis Methods, 1(1), 39-65. Higgins J. and Thompson S. (2002). Quantifying heterogeneity in a meta-analysis. Statistics in Medicine, 21(11), 1539-1558. Kabeer N. and Waddington H. (2015). Economic impacts of conditional cash transfer programmes: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Journal of Development Effectiveness, 7(3), 290-303. Kilburn K., Handa S., and Angeles G. et al. (2017). Short-term impacts of an unconditional cash transfer program on child schooling: Experimental evidence from Malawi. Economics of Education Review, 59, 63-80. Liberati A., Altman D., and Tetzlaff J. et al. (2009). The PRISMA statement for reporting systematic reviews and meta-analyses of studies that evaluate healthcare interventions: explanation and elaboration. BMJ 339, 2700-2700. Manley J., Gitter S., and Slavchevska V. (2013). How Effective are Cash Transfers at Improving Nutritional Status?. World Development, 48, 133-155. Matt G.E., Brewer A.L. and Sklar M. (2010). ‘External validity’, in Peterson P., Baker E., and McGaw B. (ed.) International Encyclopaedia of Education (3rd ed., Vol. 6,). Oxford: Elsevier, 521-527. Mincer J.A. (1974). ‘The Human Capital Earnings Function’, in Mincer J.A. (ed.) Schooling, Experience, and Earnings. National Bureau of Economic Research, 83-96. Mostert C. and Castello J.V. (2020). Long run educational and spillover effects of unconditional cash transfers: Evidence from South Africa. Economics & Human Biology, 36, 100817. Nijkamp P. and Poot J. (2004). Meta-analysis of the effect of fiscal policies on long-run growth. European Journal of Political Economy, 20(1), 91-124. Onwuchekwa C., Verdonck K., and Marchal B. (2021). Systematic Review on the Impact of Conditional Cash Transfers on Child Health Service Utilisation and Child Health in Sub-Saharan Africa. Frontiers in Public Health, 9. Owusu-Addo E., Renzaho A., and Smith B. (2018). The impact of cash transfers on social determinants of health and health inequalities in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review. Health Policy and Planning, 33(5), 675-696. Ӧzler B. (2020). How Should We Design Cash Transfer Programs?. World Bank, Washington, D.C. Parker S. and Vogl T. (2018). Do Conditional Cash Transfers Improve Economic Outcomes in the Next Generation? Evidence from Mexico. NBER Working Papers 24303, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. Parker S., Rubalcava L., and Teruel G. (2008). ‘Evaluating Conditional Schooling and Health Programs’, in Schultz T. P. and Strauss J. A. (ed.) Handbook of Development Economics (3rd ed., Vol. 4). Oxford: Elsevier, 3963-4035. Pega F., Liu S., and Walter S. et al. (2017). Unconditional cash transfers for reducing poverty and vulnerabilities: effect on use of health services and health outcomes in low- and middle-income countries. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, 2020(4). Petticrew M., and Roberts H. (2006). Systematic reviews in the social sciences: A practical guide. Malden, USA: Blackwell Publishing. Ponczek V. (2011). Income and bargaining effects on education and health in Brazil. Journal of Development Economics, 94(2), 242-253. Robertson L., Mushati P., and Eaton J. et al. (2013). Effects of unconditional and conditional cash transfers on child health and development in Zimbabwe: a cluster-randomised trial. The Lancet, 381(9874), 1283-1292. Rodrik D. (2008). The New Development Economics: We shall experiment, but how shall we learn? SSRN Electronic Journal. Siddiqi A., Rajaram A., and Miller S. (2018). Do cash transfer programmes yield better health in the first year of life? A systematic review linking low-income/middle-income and high-income contexts. Archives of Disease in Childhood, 103(10), 920-926. Skoufias E. and Parker S. (2001). Conditional Cash Transfers and Their Impact on Child Work and Schooling: Evidence from the PROGRESA Program in Mexico. Economía, 2(1), 45-86. Snilstveit B., Stevenson J., Phillips D., Vojtkova M. et al. (2015). Interventions for improving learning outcomes and access to education in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review: International Initiative for Impact Evaluation. London: International Initiative for Impact Evaluation (3ie). Todd P. and Wolpin K. (2006). Assessing the Impact of a School Subsidy Program in Mexico: Using a Social Experiment to Validate a Dynamic Behavioral Model of Child Schooling and Fertility. The American Economic Review, 96(5), 1384-1417. UNESCO Institute for Statistics (2021). ‘Bulk Data Download Service’, UIS Developer Portal. Available from: https://apiportal.uis.unesco.org/bdds (accessed 9 December 2021). Veras Soares F., Perez Ribas R., and Issamu Hirata G. (2010). Impact evaluation of a rural conditional cash transfer programme on outcomes beyond health and education. Journal of Development Effectiveness, 2(1), 138-157. World Bank (2015). The State of Social Safety Nets 2015. Washington, D.C.: World Bank Group. World Bank (2018). The State of Social Safety Nets 2018. Washington, D.C.: World Bank Group. Yoong J., Rabinovich L., and Diepeveen S. (2012). The impact of economic resource transfers to women versus men: a systematic review. Technical report. London: EPPI-Centre, Social Science Research Unit, Institute of Education, University of London. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/120837 |
Available Versions of this Item
-
A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Educational Effects of Unconditional Cash Transfers. (deposited 26 Jun 2023 13:19)
- Unconditional cash transfers and child schooling: a meta-analysis. (deposited 15 May 2024 09:31) [Currently Displayed]