LI, Hao and Wang, Gaowang (2025): Revisiting China's gradualistic economic approach and financial market.
![]() |
PDF
MPRA_paper_124455.pdf Download (281kB) |
Abstract
We develop a model economy with active financial markets, in which the policymaker's adoption of a gradualistic approach is a Bayesian Nash equilibrium. In addition to its financing role, the financial market also creates a channel for information revelation, encouraging the policymaker to take small policy steps. Smaller policy steps lead to more precise information about the productivity shock. Acquiring more information - both on the extensive margin and the intensive margin - provides sufficient incentives for the policymaker to consistently follow the gradualistic approach. This result holds robust for both exogenous and endogenous information models.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Revisiting China's gradualistic economic approach and financial market |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | the gradualistic approach; active financial markets; information acquisition; endogenous information |
Subjects: | G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O2 - Development Planning and Policy |
Item ID: | 124455 |
Depositing User: | Gaowang Wang |
Date Deposited: | 01 May 2025 16:51 |
Last Modified: | 01 May 2025 16:51 |
References: | Benhabib, J., Liu, X., Wang, P., 2019. Financial markets, the real economy, and self-fulfulling uncertainties. Journal of Finance 74(3), 1503-1557. Brunnermeier, M.K., Sockin, M., Xiong, W., 2017. China's gradualistic economic approach and financial markets. American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings 107(5), 608-613. Chen, K., Zha, T., 2024. China's macroeconomic development: the role of gradualist reforms. NBER working paper 31395. Goldstein, I., Ozdenoren, E., Yuan, K., 2013. Trading frenzies and their impact on real investment. Journal of Financial Economics 109, 566-582. Goldstein, I., Yang, L., 2019. Good disclosure, bad disclosure. Journal of Financial Economics 131, 118-138. Grossman, S., 1976. On the efficiency of competitive stock markets where traders have diverse information. Journal of Finance 31, 573-585. Grossman, S., Stiglitz, J.E., 1980. On the impossibility of informationally efficient markets. American Economic Review 70(3), 393-408. Hayek, F., 1945. The use of knowledge in society. American Economic Review 35, 519-530. He, Z., Xiong, W., 2012. Rollover risk and credit risk. Journal of Finance 67, 391-430. Hellwig, M., 1980. On the aggregation of information in competitive markets. Journal of Economic Theory 22, 477-498. Kyle, A., 1985. Continuous auctions and insider trading. Econometrica 53, 1315-1335. Merton, R., 1973. On the pricing of corporate debt: The risk structure of interest rates. Journal of Finance 29, 449-470. Sockin, M., Xiong, W., 2015. Information frictions and commodity markets. Journal of Finance 70, 2063-2098. Vives, X., 1988. Aggregation of information in large Cournot markets. Econometrica 56, 851-876. Vives, X., 2008. Information and learning in markets: the impact of market microstructure. Princeton University Press, Princeton and Oxford. Vives, X., 2014. On the possibility of informationally efficient markets. Journal of European Economic Association 12(5), 1200-1239. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/124455 |