Impact of monetary policy on financial stability in good times

Ozili, Peterson K (2025): Impact of monetary policy on financial stability in good times. Published in:

Abstract

Little attention has been paid to the role of central bank interest rate and monetary aggregates in influencing financial stability in good times. This study examines the impact of monetary policy on financial stability in good years. It focuses on the impact of three monetary policy tools on financial stability. The study used the median quantile regression method to analyze 22 countries during the 2011 to 2018 period – a period which isolates the shock from the COVID-19 pandemic and the shock from the global financial crisis. The financial stability indicator is the country-level bank nonperforming loans ratio. The monetary policy indicators are broad money growth, broad money to GDP ratio and the central bank interest rate, while controlling for the inflation rate, total unemployment rate, efficiency ratio, institutional governance quality and economic growth rate. The findings reveal that high central bank interest rates impair financial stability by increasing the bank nonperforming loans ratio in African countries and developing countries. In contrast, high central bank interest rates improve financial stability in developed countries and emerging market countries. Furthermore, higher broad money growth improves financial stability in European banks while broad money growth, broad money to GDP ratio and central bank interest rate do not have a significant effect on the NPL ratio of Asian banks.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: monetary policy, financial stability, nonperforming loans, interest rate, central bank, broad money, institutional quality, domestic private credit, economic growth, unemployment, inflation, efficiency, quantile regression
• Subjects: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E31 - Price Level ; Inflation ; Deflation; G - Financial Economics > G2 - Financial Institutions and Services > G21 - Banks ; Depository Institutions ; Micro Finance Institutions ; Mortgages; G - Financial Economics > G2 - Financial Institutions and Services > G23 - Non-bank Financial Institutions ; Financial Instruments ; Institutional Investors; G - Financial Economics > G2 - Financial Institutions and Services > G28 - Government Policy and Regulation

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