آسیب شناسی رشد اقتصادی

Mirjalili, Seyed hossein (2016): آسیب شناسی رشد اقتصادی. Published in: Economic Studies , Vol. 22, No. 14 (17 April 2016): pp. 1-31.

Abstract

Persistent underperformance in long-term economic growth remains a critical policy concern for many developing economies. This paper undertakes a review of three conventional analytical tools—cross-country growth regressions, growth accounting, and international benchmarking—arguing that their aggregated nature and structural assumptions often fail to identify economy-specific, binding growth constraints. As an alternative, it advances the Growth Diagnostics framework pioneered by Hausmann, Rodrik, and Velasco, which employs decision-tree logic to systematically isolate the most restrictive bottlenecks to private investment and entrepreneurial activity. The study synthesizes evidence from World Bank applications and country case studies (e.g., Mongolia, Brazil, Pakistan, and Nicaragua) to illustrate the framework’s practical relevance and limitations, including judgment-dependence, non-linear interactions among constraints, and static bias. Applying these insights to developing countries economic context and their Development Plan targets, the paper contends that adopting a Growth Diagnostics approach would enable policymakers to prioritize structural reforms, strengthen property rights and governance, improve financial intermediation, and more efficiently allocate scarce resources. Such targeted interventions are essential to achieving the high economic growth objective and fostering sustained, inclusive development.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Diagnosing Binding Constraints on Economic Growth
• Language: Persian
• Keywords: Economic growth diagnostics; Binding constraints; Decision-tree framework; Growth accounting; Cross-country regressions; Structural reforms; Investment climate
• Subjects: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E6 - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook > E65 - Studies of Particular Policy Episodes; O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity > O47 - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth ; Aggregate Productivity ; Cross-Country Output Convergence

References

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5. Rodrik, Danni,(2013),”The why and how of growth Diagnostics”, Institute for advanced study, in: www. sss. ias. Edu / files / pdfs /presentations/growth-diagnostics.pdf.

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