Shamiri, Ahmed (2008): Volatility Transmission: What Does Asia-Pacific Markets Expect?
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_13706.pdf Download (192kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the international information transmission of return and volatility spillovers from the US and Japan and the rest of the Asia-Pacific markets using daily stock market return data covering the last 14 years. In the majority of the markets under scrutiny, we provide evidence of direct volatility spillovers, running mainly from the Japanese and US markets and pointing to more rapid information transmission during the recent years. First, the volatility of the Asia-Pacific markets is becoming influenced more by the US market for the recent years. Secondly, for international investors to get profits from the returns of Asia-Pacific securities, it is necessary to pay attention to the US market directly. Third, Korea, Singapore and Hong Kong are among the most Asia-Pacific markets vulnerable to shocks from US investors due to the large ratio of portfolio holding.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Volatility Transmission: What Does Asia-Pacific Markets Expect? |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | GARCH-BEKK; volatility spillovers; multivariate GARCH |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C0 - General > C01 - Econometrics |
Item ID: | 13706 |
Depositing User: | Ali Shamiri |
Date Deposited: | 02 Mar 2009 13:31 |
Last Modified: | 03 Oct 2019 07:28 |
References: | Connolly, R.A., Wang, F.A., 2003, On stock market return co-movements: Macroeconomic news, dispersion of beliefs, and contagion. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 11(1), 23-43. Demirguc-Kunt, A., Detragiache, E., 1999, Financial Liberalization and Financial Fragility. In Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics, World Bank, Washington DC 303-31. Engle, R.F., Kroner, K.F., 1995, Multivariate Simultaneous Generalized ARCH. Econometric Theory 11 (1), 122–150. Kaminsky, G., Sergio, S., 2002, Short-Run Pain, Long-Run Gain: The Effects of Financial Liberalization. World Bank Working Paper, Washington, DC. Karolyi, G.A., 1995, A multivariate GARCH model of international transmissions of stock returns and volatility: the case of the United States and Canada. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 13 (1), 11–25. Kim, S.J., 2003, The spillover effects of US and Japanese public information news in advanced Asia-Pacific stock markets. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 11, 611-630. Kim, S.W., Rogers J.H., 1995, International stock price spillovers and market liberalization: Evidence from Korea, Japan, and the United States. Journal of Empirical Finance 2, 117-133. Miyakoshi, T., 2003, Spillovers of stock return volatility to Asian equity markets from Japan and US. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money 13, 383-399. Ng, A., 2000, Volatility spillover effects from Japan and the US to the Pacific-Basin. Journal of International Money and Finance 19, 207–233. Sachs, J., Tornell, A., Velasco, A., 1996, The Collapse of the Mexican Peso, What Have We Learned? Brookings Papers on Economic Activity. Wei, K.C.J., Liu, Y.J., Yang, C.C., Chaung, G.S., 1995, Volatility and price change spillover effects across the developed and emerging markets. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 3, 113–136. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/13706 |