Stern, David I. (2009): Interfuel Substitution: A Meta-Analysis.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_13734.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
As is the case with capital-energy substitution, interfuel substitutability has been of longstanding interest to the energy economics and policy community. However, no quantitative meta-analysis has yet been carried out of this literature. This paper fills this gap by analyzing a broad sample of studies of interfuel substitution in the industrial sector, manufacturing industry or subindustries, or macro-economy of a variety of developed and developing economies. Publication bias is controlled for by including the primary study sample size and the influence factor of the journal in the meta-regression. Results for the shadow elasticity of substitution between coal, oil, gas, and electricity for forty-five primary studies show that there are easy substitution possibilities between all the fuel pairs with the exception of gas and electricity. Model and data specification issues very significantly affect the estimates derived by each individual study. While publication bias does not seem to be present there is a relationship between sample size and the value of the elasticities with larger sample studies finding greater values of the elasticities.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Interfuel Substitution: A Meta-Analysis |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Meta-analysis; energy; substitution; elasticity; interfuel |
Subjects: | Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q4 - Energy > Q40 - General D - Microeconomics > D2 - Production and Organizations > D24 - Production ; Cost ; Capital ; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity ; Capacity |
Item ID: | 13734 |
Depositing User: | David I. Stern |
Date Deposited: | 04 Mar 2009 15:27 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 18:43 |
References: | Agostini, P., M. Botteon, and C. Carraro (1992). “A Carbon Tax to Reduce CO2 Emissions in Europe.” Energy Economics 14(4): 279-290. Andrikopoulos, A. A., J. A. Brox, and C. C. Paraskevopoulos (1989). “Interfuel and interfactor substitution in Ontario manufacturing, 1962-82.” Applied Economics 21(12): 1667-1681. Apostolakis, Bobby E. (1990). “Interfuel and energy-capital complementarity in manufacturing-industries.” Applied Energy 35(2): 83-107. Bacon, Robert (1992). “Measuring the possibilities of interfuel substitution.” Policy Research Working Paper Series 1031. Washington DC: The World Bank. Baker, Rose and Dan Jackson (2006). “Using journal impact factors to correct for the publication bias of medical studies.” Biometrics 62: 785–792. Begg, C. B. and J. A. Berlin (1988). “Publication bias: a problem in interpreting medical data.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society (Series A) 151: 419–445. Borges, A. M. and A. M. Pereira (1992). “Energy demand in Portuguese manufacturing - a 2-stage model.” Energy 17(1): 61-77. Bousquet, Alain and Norbert Ladoux (2006). “Flexible versus designated technologies and interfuel substitution.” Energy Economics 28: 426–443. Boys, Kathryn A. and Raymond J.G.M. Florax (2007). Meta-Regression Estimates for CGE Models: A Case Study for Input Substitution Elasticities in Production Agriculture, Selected Paper prepared for presentation at the American Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting, Portland, OR, July 29 – August 1, 2007. Broer, P. (2004). The elasticities of complementarity and substitution. Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper TI 2004-101/1. Buranakunaporn, Suthep and Edward Oczkowski (2007). “A dynamic econometric model of Thailand manufacturing energy demand.” Applied Economics 39(17): 2261-2267. Buse, Adolph (1973). “Goodness of fit in generalized least squares estimation.” American Statistician 27(3): 106-108. Chambers, Robert (1988). Applied Production Analysis. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Cho, Won G., Kiseok Nam, and José A. Pagan (2004). Economic growth and interfactor/interfuel substitution in Korea, Energy Economics 26: 31–50. Christopoulos, Dimitris K. (2000). “The demand for energy in Greek manufacturing.” Energy Economics 22(5): 569-586. Considine, Timothy J. (1989). “Separability, functional form and regulatory policy in models of interfuel substitution.” Energy Economics 11(2): 82-94. Duncan, Ronald C. and Hans P. Binswanger (1976). “Energy sources: substitutability and biases in Australia.” Australian Economic Papers 15(27): 289 – 301. Eltony, Mohamed Nagy (2008). “Estimating energy price elasticities for the non-oil manufacturing industries in Kuwait.” OPEC Review 32(2): 184-195. Fisher-Vanden, Karen, Gary H. Jefferson, Hongmei Liu, and Quan Tao (2004) What is driving China’s decline in energy intensity? Resource and Energy Economics 26: 77–97. Floros, N. and A. Vlachou (2005). “Energy demand and energy-related CO2 emissions in Greek manufacturing: Assessing the impact of a carbon tax.” Energy Economics 27(3): 387-413. Fuss, Melvyn A. (1977). “The demand for energy in Canadian manufacturing.” Journal of Econometrics, 5(1): 89-116. Greene, William H. (1993). Econometric Analysis. 2nd edition. New York: Macmillan. Griffin, James A. and Paul R. Gregory (1976). “An intercountry translog model of energy substitution responses.” American Economic Review 66: 845-857. Hall, Vivian B. (1983). “Industrial sector interfuel substitution following the first major oil shock.” Economics Letters 12(3-4): 377-382. Hall, Vivian B. (1986). “Major OECD country industrial sector interfuel substitution estimates, 1960–79.” Energy Economics: 8(2): 74-89. Halvorsen, R. (1977). “Energy substitution in U.S. manufacturing.” Review of Economics and Statistics 59(4): 381-388. Hang, L. and M. Tu (2007). “The impacts of energy prices on energy intensity: Evidence from China.” Energy Policy 35(5): 2978-2988. Harper, Carolyn. and Barry C. Field (1983). “Energy substitution in United-States manufacturing - a regional approach.” Southern Economic Journal 50(2): 385-395. Harvey, Andrew C. and Pablo Marshall (1991). “Inter-fuel substitution, technical change and the demand for energy in the UK economy.” Applied Economics 23: 1077-1086. Heston, Alan, Robert Summers and Bettina Aten (2006). Penn World Table Version 6.2. Center for International Comparisons of Production, Income and Prices at the University of Pennsylvania. Iqbal, Mahmood (1986). “Substitution of labor, capital and energy in the manufacturing sector of Pakistan.” Empirical Economics 11(2): 81-95. Jones, C. T. (1996). “A pooled dynamic analysis of interfuel substitution in industrial energy demand by the G-7 countries.” Applied Economics 28: 815-821. Jones, C.T. (1995). “A dynamic analysis of the interfuel substitution in US industrial energy demand.” J. Bus. Econ. Stat. 13: 459-465. Kim, B. C. and W. C. Labys (1988). “Application of the translog model of energy substitution to developing-countries - the case of Korea.” Energy Economics 10(4): 313-323. Koetse, Mark J., Henri L. F. de Groot, Raymond J.G.M. Florax (2008). “Capital-energy substitution and shifts in factor demand: A meta-analysis.” Energy Economics 30: 2236–2251. Klump, Rainier and Olivier de la Grandville (2000). “Economic growth and the elasticity of substitution: two theorems and some suggestions.” American Economic Review 90(1): 282-291. Lakshmanan, Tiruvarar R., William Anderson, and M. Jourbachi (1984). “Regional dimensions of factor and fuel substitution in U.S. manufacturing.” Regional Science and Urban Economics 14: 381-398. Leimu, R and J. Koricheva (2005). ‘What determines the citation frequency of ecological papers?” Trends in Ecology and Evolution 20(1): 28-32. Ma, Hengyun, Les Oxley, John Gibson, and Bonggeun Kim (2008). “China's energy economy: Technical change, factor demand and interfactor/interfuel substitution.” Energy Economics 30: 2167–2183. Magnus, J. R. and A. D. Woodland (1987). “Inter-fuel substitution in Dutch manufacturing.” Applied Economics 19(12): 1639-1664. Mahmud, Syed F. (2006). “The energy demand in the manufacturing sector of Pakistan: some further results.” Energy Economics 22: 641-648. McFadden, Daniel (1963). “Constant elasticity of substitution production functions.” Review of Economic Studies 31:73-83. Morana, Claudio (2000). “Modelling evolving long-run relationships: an application to the Italian energy market.” Scottish Journal of Political Economy 47(1): 72 – 93. Mountain, Dean C. and Cheng Hsiao (1989). “A combined structural and flexible functional approach for modelling energy substitution.” Journal of the American Statistical Association 84: 76-87. Mountain, Dean C., B. Stipdonk, and C. Warren (1989). “Technological innovation and a changing energy mix – a parametric and flexible approach to modelling Ontario manufacturing.” Energy Journal 10(4): 139-158. Murtaugh, Paul A. (2002) “Journal quality, effect size, and publication bias in meta-analysis.” Ecology 83(4): 1162-1166. Murty, M. N. (1986). “Interfuel substitution and derived demand for inputs in the manufacturing sector of India.” Journal of Quantitative Economics 2(1): 119-135. Nelson, Jon P. and Peter E. Kennedy (2008). The Use (and Abuse) of Meta-Analysis in Environmental and Natural Resource Economics: An Assessment, Department of Economics, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA. Perkins, F. C. (1994). “A dynamic analysis of Japanese energy policies: Their impact on fuel switching and conservation.” Energy Policy 22(7): 595-607. Pindyck, Robert S. (1979). “Interfuel substitution and the industrial demand for energy: an international comparison.” Review of Economics and Statistics 61(2): 169-179. Renou-Maissant, Patricia (1999). “Interfuel competition in the industrial sector of seven OECD countries.” Energy Policy 27(2): 99-110. Serletis, Apostolos and Asghar Shahmoradi (2008). “Semi-nonparametric estimates of interfuel substitution in U.S. energy demand.” Energy Economics 30: 2123–2133. Shin, Euisoon (1981). “Inter-Energy Substitution in Korea, 1962-1975.” Journal of Economic Development 6(1): 33-46. Stanley, Thomas D. (2001). “Wheat from chaff: Meta-analysis as quantitative literature review.” Journal of Economic Perspectives. 15(3): 131-150. Stanley, Thomas D. (2005). “Beyond publication bias.” Journal of Economic Surveys. 19(3): 309-345. Stern, David I. (1994). “Accuracy of the translog function.” Applied Economics Letters 1: 172-174. Stern, David I. (1997) “Limits to substitution and irreversibility in production and consumption: a neoclassical interpretation of ecological economics.” Ecological Economics 21: 197-215. Stern, David I. (2008a). “Derivation of the Hicks elasticity of substitution from the input distance function.” Munich Personal RePEc Archive 12414. Stern, David I. (2008b). “Elasticities of substitution and complementarity.” Munich Personal RePEc Archive 12454. Taheri, Abbas A. (1994). “Oil Shocks and the dynamics of substitution adjustments of industrial fuels in the United-States.” Applied Economics 26(8): 751-756. Taheri, Abbas A. and R. Stevenson (2002) Energy price, environmental policy, and technological bias.” Energy Journal 23(4): 85-107. Truong, Truong P. (1985). “Interfuel and Inter-Factor Substitution in NSW Manufacturing-Industry.” Economic Record 61(174): 644-653. Turnovsky, Michelle, Michael Folie, and Alistair Ulph, (1982). “Factor substitutability in Australian manufacturing with emphasis on energy inputs.” Economic Record 58(160): 61-72. Urga, Giovanni (1999). “An application of dynamic specifications of factor demand equations to interfuel substitution in US industrial energy demand.” Economic Modelling 16(4): 503-513. Urga, Giovanni and Chris Walters (2003). “Dynamic translog and linear logit models: a factor demand analysis of interfuel substitution in US industrial energy demand.” Energy Economics 25(1): 1-21. Uri, N. D. (1979). “Energy substitution in the UK 1948-64.” Energy Economics 1(4): 241-244. Uri, Noel D. (1979). “Energy demand and interfuel substitution in India.” European Economic Review 12(2): 181-190. Uri, Noel D. (1982). “Energy demand and interfuel substitution in the United Kingdom.” Socio-Economic Planning Sciences 16(4): 157-162. Vlachou, A. and E. J. Samouilidis (1986). “Interfuel substitution: Results from several sectors of the Greek economy.” Energy Economics 8(1): 39-45. Westoby, Richard (1984). “Models of interfuel substitution in the UK.” Journal of Economic Studies: 11(1): 27-39. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/13734 |
Available Versions of this Item
- Interfuel Substitution: A Meta-Analysis. (deposited 04 Mar 2009 15:27) [Currently Displayed]