Abdul Karim, Bakri and Abdul Majid, M. Shabri and Abdul Karim, Samsul Ariffin (2009): Financial Integration between Indonesia and Its Major Trading Partners.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_17277.pdf Download (228kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This study examines stock market integration among the emerging stock market of Indonesia and its major trading partners (Japan, the US, Singapore and China). We employ the newly proposed autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration and recent weekly stock market data spanning from July 1998 to December 2007. The results indicate the Indonesian stock market is cointegrated with the stock markets of the US, Japan, Singapore and China. Thus, this implies that the opportunities for international investors to gain benefits from international portfolio diversification in those markets are limited. In addition, any development in Japan, the US, Singapore and China markets should be considered by the Indonesian government in making policies regarding to the stock market of Indonesia.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Financial Integration between Indonesia and Its Major Trading Partners |
English Title: | Financial Integration between Indonesia and Its Major Trading Partners |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Stock Market Integration; Portfolio Diversification; Trading Partners |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models ; Multiple Variables > C32 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes ; State Space Models F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F15 - Economic Integration |
Item ID: | 17277 |
Depositing User: | Bakri Abdul Karim |
Date Deposited: | 15 Sep 2009 00:07 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 22:15 |
References: | Aggarwal, R. and Mougoue, M. (1996). Cointegration among Asian currencies: evidence of the increasing influence of the Japanese Yen, Japan and the World Economy, Vol. 8 No. 3, pp. 291-308. Akaike, H. (1974). A new look at the statistics model identification, IEEE Transactions on Automic Control AC, Vol. 19, pp. 716-723. Arshanapalli, B., Doukas, J. and Lang, L. (1995). Pre and post-October 1987 stock market linkages between US and Asian markets, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Vol. 3, pp. 57–73. Azman-Saini, W.N.W., Azali, M., Habibullah, M.S. and Matthews, K.G. (2002). Financial Integration and the ASEAN-5 Equity Markets, Applied Economics, Vol. 34, pp. 2283-2288. Bracker, K., Dockling, D.S. and Koch, P.D. (1999). Economy determinants of evolution in international stock market integration, Journal of Empirical Finance, Vol. 6, pp.1-27. Chen, N.F. and Zhang, F. (1997). Correlation, trades and stock returns of the Pacific-Basin markets, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Vol. 5, pp. 559-557. Cheung, Y.L. and Mak, S.C. (1992). A study of the international transmission of stock market fluctuation between the developed markets and the Asian-Pacific markets, Applied Financial Economics, Vol. 2, pp. 43-47. Chowdhury, M.B. (2005). Trade reforms and economic integration in South Asia; SAARC to SAPTA, Applied Econometrics and International Development, Vol. 5 No. 4, pp. 23-40. Click, R.W. and Plummer, M.G. (2005). Stock market integration in ASEAN after the Asian financial crisis, Journal of Asian Economics, Vol. 16, pp. 5-28. Daly, K.J. (2003). Southeast Asian stock market linkages: Evidence from pre- and post-October 1987, ASEAN Economic Bulletin, Vol. 20, pp. 73-85. Engle, R.F. and Granger, C.W.J. (1987). Cointegration and error correction: representation, estimation, and testing, Econometrica, Vol. 55, pp. 251-276. Fosu, E. and Magnus, F. J. (2006). Bounds testing approach to cointegration: an examination of foreign direct investment trade and growth relationships, American Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol. 3, pp. 2079-2085. Francis, I., Kim, S. and Yoon, J.H. (2002). International stock market linkages: evidence from the Asian financial crisis, Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Vol. 1, pp.1-29. Goldstein, M. and Michael, M. (1993). The integration of world capital markets, IMF Working Paper, International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC. Gregory, A.W. and Hansen, B.E. (1996). Residual-based tests for cointegration in model with regime shifts, Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 70 No. 1, pp. 99-126. Grubel, H. (1968). International diversified portfolio: welfare gains and capital flows, American Economic Review, Vol. 58, pp. 1299-1314. Hung, B.W. and Cheung, Y. (1995). Interdependence of Asian emerging equity markets, Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, Vol. 22 No. 2, pp. 281-288. Ibrahim, M.H. (2003). Macroeconomic forces and capital market integration: a VAR analysis for Malaysia, Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Vol. 8 No.1, pp. 19-40. Ibrahim, M.H. (2005). International linkages of stock prices: the case of Indonesia, Management Research News, Vol. 28 No. 4, pp. 93-115. Janakiramanan, S. and Lamba, A.S. (1998). An empirical examination of linkages between Pacific-Basin Stock Markets, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Vol. 8, pp. 155-173. Johansen, S. (1988). Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors, Journal of Economics Dynamic and Control, Vol. 12, pp. 231-254. Johansen, S. and Juselius, K. (1990). Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on cointegration with applications to the demand for money, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 52, pp. 169-210. Kearney, C. and Lucey, B.M. (2004). International equity market integration: Theory, evidence and implications, International Review of Financial Analysis, Vol. 13, pp. 571- 583. Kwan, C.H. (2001). Yen Bloc: Towards Economic Integration in Asia. Brooking Institution Press, Washington D.C. Laurenceson, J. and Chai, J.C.H. (2003). Financial Reform and Economic Development in China, Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar. Levy, H. and Sarnat, M. (1970). International diversification of investment portfolios, American Economic Review, Vol. 60, pp. 668-675. Majid, M.S.A, Meera, A.K.M. and Omar, M.A. (2008). Interdependence of ASEAN-5 stock markets from the US and Japan, Global Economic Review, Vol. 37 No. 2, pp. 201-225. Masih, A.M.M. and Masih, R. (1999). Are Asian stock market fluctuations due mainly to intra-regional contagion effects? Evidence based on Asian emerging stock markets, Pacific- Basin Finance Journal, Vol. 7, pp. 251–82. McCauley, R.N., Fung, S-S., and Gadanecz, B. (2002). Integrating the finances of East Asia, BIS Quarterly Review, pp. 83-96. McKinnon, R. and Schnabl, G. (2003). Synchronised business cycles in East Asia and fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate, World Economy, Vol. 26, pp. 1067-1088. Narayan, P., Smyth, R. & Nandha, M. (2004) “Interdependence and dynamic linkages between the emerging stock markets of South Asia”, Journal of Accounting and Finance Vol. 44, pp. 419-439. Ng, T.H. (2002). Stock market linkages in South-East Asia, Asian Economic Journal, Vol. 16, pp. 353-377. Okunev, J., and Wilson, P.J. (1997). Using nonlinear test to examine integration between real estate and stock markets, Real Estate Economics, Vol. 25, pp. 487-503. Palac-MicMiken, E.D. (1997). An examination of ASEAN stock markets: a cointegration approach, ASEAN Economic Bulletin, Vol. 13, pp. 299-311. Pesaran, M.H. & Shin, Y. (1995). An autoregressive distributed lag modelling approach to cointegration analysis, DAE Working Paper No. 9514, Department of Applied Economics, University of Cambridge. Pesaran, M.H. and Shin, Y. (1998). Generalized impulse response analysis in linear multivariate models, Economics Letters, Vol. 58, pp. 17–29. Pesaran, M.H., Shin, Y. and Smith, R. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships, Journal of Applied Econometric, Vol. 16, pp. 289–326. Plummer, M.G. and Click, R. (2005). Bond market development and integration in ASEAN, International Journal of Finance and Economics, Vol. 10 No. 2, pp. 133-142. Roca, E.D., Selvanathan, E.A. and Shepherd, W.F. (1998). Are the ASEAN equity markets interdependent, ASEAN Economic Bulletin, Vol. 15, 109– 120. Roll, R. (1995). An empirical survey of Indonesian equities 1985-1992, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Vol. 3, pp. 159-192. Solnik, B.H. (1974), Why not diversify internationally, Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 30, pp. 48-54. Taylor, M.P. and Tonks, I. (1989). The Internationalization of Stock Markets and the Abolition of U.K. Exchange Control, Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 71, pp. 332-336. Yang, J., Kolari, J.W. and Min, I. (2003). Stock market integration and financial crisis: the case of Asia, Applied Financial Economics, Vol. 13, pp. 477-486. Yu, I-W., Fung, L. and Tam, C-S. (2007). Assessing bond market integration in Asia, Working Paper 10/2007, Hong Kong Monetary Authority. HK, 21 June. Yusof, R.M. and Majid, M.S.A. (2006). Who moves the Malaysian stock market – the US or Japan? Empirical evidence from the pre-, during, and post-1997 Asian financial crisis, Gadjah Mada International Journal of Business, Vol. 8, pp. 367-406. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/17277 |