Úttekt á efnahagsspám Þjóðhagsstofnunar fyrir árin 1981-2002

Olafsdottir, Katrin (2006): Úttekt á efnahagsspám Þjóðhagsstofnunar fyrir árin 1981-2002.

Abstract

The National Economic Institute in Iceland was a government institute responsible for producing and publishing a national economic forecast. The institute was closed in 2002. This paper measures the accuracy of the institute's forecasts from 1981-2002. The paper measures the accuracy of the GDP forecast, private consumption, investment, imports and exports of goods and services.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: The accuracy of the National Economic Institute‘s forecasts 1981-2002
• Language: Icelandic
• Keywords: Economic forecast, forecast error, root mean square error,
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling > C53 - Forecasting and Prediction Methods ; Simulation Methods; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E0 - General > E01 - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth ; Environmental Accounts; F - International Economics > F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance > F47 - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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