Hossain, Monzur (2005): Financial Deregulations, Conflict of Interest and Banking Crisis in Japan: A Decision-theoretic-GARCH Approach to Analyze the Management Behavior.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_24858.pdf Download (212kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper proposes an empirical model framework to analyze the management behavior that is crucial at the outset of financial deregulations and/or crisis. In a learning model setting, the proposed framework shows that management efficiency is a function of conditional hateroschedasticity of profitability (productivity), and it can be estimated by the GARCH model of Bollerslev (1986). Application of the GARCH model in analyzing management behavior enables to consider information theory explicitly, and it has been found effective in explaining causality of the Japanese banking crisis. Moreover, the paper also shows how to explain the sources of variations in the behavior of the bank management.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Financial Deregulations, Conflict of Interest and Banking Crisis in Japan: A Decision-theoretic-GARCH Approach to Analyze the Management Behavior |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Financial deregulation, conflict of interest, banking crisis, Japan |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E4 - Money and Interest Rates > E44 - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy G - Financial Economics > G2 - Financial Institutions and Services > G21 - Banks ; Depository Institutions ; Micro Finance Institutions ; Mortgages |
Item ID: | 24858 |
Depositing User: | Monzur Hossain |
Date Deposited: | 10 Sep 2010 17:22 |
Last Modified: | 27 Sep 2019 04:47 |
References: | Aoki, M. and Patrick, H. (eds., 1994) The Japanese Main Bank System: Its relevance for developing and tansforming economies, Clarendon Press Oxford. Canova, F. (1995) Vector Autoregressive Models: Specificataion, Estimation, Inference and Forecasting, In H. Pesaran and M. Wickens ed. Handbook of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 1: Macroeconomics, Blackwell, pp. 73-138. Caprio Gerand, Folkert Landan and Lane Timothy D. (1994) Building Sound Finance in Emerging Market Economics, Proceeding of a conference held in Washington D.C., June 10-11, 1993, IMF. Cargill, Thomas F. and Shoichi Royama (1988) The transition of finance in Japan and the U.S., Stanford CA, Hoover Press. Cargill, Thomas, 2000. What caused Japan’s banking crisis? In Takeo Hoshi and Hugh Patrick, eds. Crisis and Change in the Japanese Financial System. Kluwer Academic Publisher, 37-58. Caves R. and M. Uekusa (1976) Industrial organization in Japan, Brookings Institution. Cox, D. R. (1972). Regression models and life tables (with discussion). J. R. Statist. Soc. B,34, 187-220. Flood, Robert and Nancy Marion (1998) Perspective on the Recent Currency Crisis Literature, NBER working paper No. 6360, January 1998. Ford, G. and Weston, R. (2002) Bank risk and return in the Asia pacific region: a cross country analysis, Ninth Global Finance Conference Proceedings, 2002. Ford, J. L. et al. (2003) Bank Behavior and the Channel of Monetary Policy in Japan, 1965- 999, The Japanese Economic Review, Vol. 54, No. 3, September 2003. Hoshi T., and A. Kashyap, (1999) The Japanese banking crisis: Where did it come from and how will it end? NBER Working Paper No. 7250, July 1999. Hoshi, Takeo, 2001. What happened to Japanese banks? Monetary and Economic Studies, February, Bank of Japan. Hossain, Monzur (2004) Did the asset price bubble matter for Japanese banking crisis? A paper presented at the 9th International Convention of the East Asian Economic Association, November 13-14, 2004, Hong Kong. ------------- (2005) Can Japan avert any future banking crisis? Applied Economics Letters (forthcoming). Hossain, Monzur. and Shahiduzzaman, Md. (2002) Development of Non Bank Financial Institutions to Strengthen the Financial System of Bangladesh, Bank Parikrama, A Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. XXVII, No. 1, March. Hutchison, Michael and Kathleen McDill (1998) Are all banking crisis alike? The Japanese experience in international comparison, International Center for the Study of East Asian Development. International Monetary Fund (2000) The Japanese Banking Crisis of the 1990s: Sources and Lessons, IMF working paper, January 2000. Ito T. (1992) The Japanese Economy, MIT Press. Jovanovic, B. and Yaw Nyarko (1995) A Bayesian Learning Model Fitted to a Variety of Empirical Learning Curves, Brookings Papers: Microeconomics 1995. Masaharu Harazaki et al. (2004) Do large shareholders monitor or collude with banks in Japan? ADBI Research Paper Series, August 2004. Okabe, M. (2001) Are cross-shareholding of Japanese corporations dissolving? Evolution and implications, Nissan Occasional Paper Series No. 33. Okina K. et al. (2001) The Asset Price Bubble and Monetary Policy: Japan’s Experience in the Late 1980s and the Lessons, Monetary and Economic Studies (Special Edition), February 2001. Rhodes, J. R. (2003) Japan’s Economic Stagnation: Interrogating the Monetary Policy Suspects, Pan-Pacific Conference 2003, May 23-30, 2003, Shanghai, PRC. Sims, C. A. (1980) Macroeconomics and Reality,Econometrica, Vol. 48, pp. 1-48. ------ (1986) Are Forecasting Models Usable for Policy Analysis? Federal Reserve Bank of Minnepolis Quarterly Review (Winter, 1986), 3-16. ------- (1992) Interpreting the Macroeconomic Time-series Facts: The Effects of Monetary Policy, European Economic Review, Vol. 36, pp. 975-1011. Song, I. (1998) Korean Banks’ Responses to the Strengthening of Capital Adequacy Requirements; Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Working Paper, PB98-01, March. Suzuki, Y.(1980) Money and Banking in Contemporary Japan, Yale University Press. Suzuki, Y. (1987) The Japanese Financial System, Clarendon Press, Oxford. Ueda, Kazuo, 2000. ‘Causes of Japan’s banking problems in the 1990s’ In Takeo Hoshi and Hugh Patrick, eds. Crisis and Change in the Japanese Financial System. Kluwer Academic Publisher, pp. 59-81. Wallich, H. and Wallich, M. (1976) Banking and Finance, Chapter 4 of the book “ Asia’s New Giant- How the Japanese Economy Works”, eds. Patrick H. and Rosovosky, H. The Brookings Institution. Yoshino, N. (2000) Japan’s Financial System, Asian Financial Crisis in Economic Issues in Contemporary Japan: Money, Banking and Foreign Investment, by Yoshino, N., Kuhara, M.,Lacktorin, M. and Kopp, R.; YUHIKAKU. Yoshino, N. and Sakakibara E. (2002) The current state of the Japanese economy and remedies, Asian Economic Papers, MIT press. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/24858 |