Knack, Stephen (1998): Drivers Wanted: Motor Voter and the Election of 1996. Published in: PS: Political Science and Politics , Vol. 32, No. 2 (June 1999): pp. 237-243.
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Abstract
The first presidential election following implementation of the National Voter Registration Act of 1993 was also the first in the lifetimes of most Americans in which a minority of the voting-age population bothered to vote. While that outcome must be a source of embarrassment to many reform advocates, this study has shown that the turnout decline was in fact substantially slowed by registration reform. Moreover, the full effects of the key “motor voter” innovation have yet to be felt in at least two-thirds of the states, representing more than three quarters of the voting-age population. Similarly, the disproportionately large turnout decline among the young would have been even more extreme in the absence of reform, based on evidence obtained in this study. Little evidence of other progressive effects--by race, education, income, or mobility status--is found however.
Finally, although partisan identification and presidential voting moved in the Democrats’ direction between 1992 and 1996, registration reform appears to have slightly favored the Republicans. The shift toward Democratic ID and voting was largest in the states with the least reform, while the largest shift away from Democratic ID occurred in the states with the most extensive reform.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Drivers Wanted: Motor Voter and the Election of 1996 |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Voting, Elections |
Subjects: | D - Microeconomics > D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making > D72 - Political Processes: Rent-Seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior |
Item ID: | 24983 |
Depositing User: | Stephen Knack |
Date Deposited: | 14 Sep 2010 16:38 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 04:40 |
References: | Casper, Lynne and Loretta Bass. 1998. Voting and Registration in the Election of November 1996. Current Population Reports, P20-504. Washington, DC: U.S. Bureau of the Census. Federal Election Commission. 1997. “The Impact of the National Voter Registration Act of 1993 on the Administration of Federal Elections” (June). Washington, DC: Federal Election Commission. Fenster, Mark J. 1994. "The Impact of Allowing Day of Registration Voting on Turnout in U.S. Elections from 1960 to 1992." American Politics Quarterly, 22(1): 74-87. Groarke, Margaret. 1997. “An Early Assessment of the National Voter Registration Act.” Presented at the American Political Science Association annual meetings, August, Washington DC. Highton, Benjamin and Raymond E. Wolfinger. 1995. Anticipating the Effects of the National Voter Registration Act of 1993.” Presented at the American Political Science Association annual meetings, September, Chicago IL. Human SERVE. 1996. “The Impact of the National Voter Registration Act, January 1995-June 1996: The First Eighteen Months” (October). New York: Human SERVE. Knack, Stephen. 1995. “Does Motor Voter Work? Evidence From State Level Data.” Journal of Politics, 57: 796-811. Knack, Stephen and James White. 1998. “Did States’ Motor Voter Programs Help the Democrats?” American Politics Quarterly, 26(3): 344-65. Martinez, Michael and David Hill (forthcoming). “Did Motor Voter Work?” American Politics Quarterly. Rhine, Staci L. 1995. “Registration Reform and Turnout Change in the American States.” American Politics Quarterly, 23: 409-26. Voter News Service. 1997. Voter News Service General Election Exit Polls, 1996 [computer file]. ICPSR version. New York, NY: Voter News Service [producer]. Ann Arbor, MI: ICPSR [distributor]. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/24983 |