SAIBU, Olufemi Muibi (2012): An analysis of causal nexus between foreign direct investment, exchange rate and financial market development in Nigeria (1970 to 2009). Published in: African Journal of Economic and Sustainable Development (AJESD) , Vol. No 1, No. Volume 1 (January 2012): pp. 95-101.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_42429.pdf Download (188kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The study investigated the causal relationship between FDI, exchange rate and financial market development using quarterly data from Nigeria. This was with a view to determine whether there existed any significant causal nexus was from FDI exchange rate to financial market development or the other way round in Nigeria. The study adopted Vector Error Correction mechanism. Exchange rate was included with a view to determining whether macroeconomic instability adversely affected financial market development in Nigeria. The results show that FDI had no significant causal effect on financial market development while there are bidirectional causality between financial market development and exchange rate. In addition, a further analysis of effects of FDI and exchange rate on financial market development showed that both FDI and exchange rate had negative effects on financial market development; thus implying that FDI and macroeconomic instability adversely affect the development and provision of financial services in Nigeria.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | An analysis of causal nexus between foreign direct investment, exchange rate and financial market development in Nigeria (1970 to 2009) |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Financial Narket Development, FDI, Exchange rate |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F2 - International Factor Movements and International Business > F21 - International Investment ; Long-Term Capital Movements E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E4 - Money and Interest Rates > E44 - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F31 - Foreign Exchange |
Item ID: | 42429 |
Depositing User: | Dr Olufemi SAIBU |
Date Deposited: | 06 Mar 2013 21:41 |
Last Modified: | 04 Oct 2019 19:54 |
References: | Adam A. M. and George T. (2008), Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Stock Market Development:Ghana .Evidence, Munich Personal RePEc Archieve (MPRA) paper no: 11261, posted 26, October 08:36. Adelegan, J. O. (2000). “Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth In Nigeria: A Seemingly Unrelated Model”. African Review of Money, Finance and Banking, Supplementary Issue of “Savings And Development” (2000).Pp.5-25. Milan, Italy. Akinlo, A. E. (2004). “Foreign Direct Investment and Growth In Nigeria: An Empirical Investigation”. Journal of Policy Modeling. 26: 627-39. Athukorala, P. and S. Chand (2000), “Trade Orientation and Productivity Gains from International Production: A Study of Overseas Operation of United States TNCs”. Transnational Corporations, 9(2), 1-27. Ayanwale, A. B. And A. S. Bamire. (2001). The Influence of Fdi on Firm Level Productivity of Nigeria’s Agro/Agro-Allied Sector. Final Report Presented To The African Economic Research Consortium, Nairobi. Beck, Thorsten, Asli Demirguc-Kunt, and Ross Levine, (1999), “A New Database on Financial Development and Structure,” World Bank Working Paper 2146, Washington: The World Bank Bekaert, Geert, Campbell Harvey and Christian Lundblad, (2001), “Emerging Equity Markets and Economic Development,” Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 66, pp. 465-504. Catalan, M., G. Impavido, and A. R. Musalem, (2000). Contractual Savings of Stock Market Development: Which Leads? Policy Research Working Paper 2421. Demirguc-Kunt, A. and R. Levine (1996), ‘Stock Market Development and Financial Intermediaries: Stylized Facts’, World Bank Economic Review, 10(2): 291–321. De-Mello, L. R. Jr. (1999), “Foreign Direct Investment-Led Growth: Evidence from Time Series and Panel Data,” Oxford Economic Papers, 51(1), 133- 51. Hausmann, R. and E. Fernández-Arias, (2000a). “Is FDI a Safer Form of Financing?”Inter American Development Bank Working Paper 416, April. Hausmann, R. and E. Fernández-Arias, (2000b). “Foreign Direct Investment: Good Cholesterol?” Inter American Development Bank Working Paper 417, April Henry, B. Peter, (2000). “Do Stock Market Liberalizations Cause Investment Booms?” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 58(1-2) pp. 301-334 IMF (2008) International Monetary Fund’s International Financial statistics Online Version September Washington DC IMF (1993) International Monetary Fund’s Balance of Payment manual: fifth edition (BPM5), Washington DC Jerome, A. and J. Ogunkola. (2004).”Foreign Direct Investment in Nigeria: Magnitude, Direction, and Prospects”. Paper Presented To The African Economic Research Consortium Special Seminar Series. Nairobi, April. Johansen, S. and Juselius, K., (1990), “Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration with Application to the Demand for Money”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 52, 169- 210. Johansen, S., (1991), “Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegrating Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models”, Econometrica 59, 1551-1580. King, R. G and R. Levine. (1993) “Finance and Growth: Schumpeter Might Be Right”. The Quarterly Journal Of Economics, MIT Press, Vol. 108(3), Pp717-737. Levine, R. (1991). “Stock Markets, Growth, and Tax Policy.” Journal of Finance, Vol. XLVI: 1445-1465. Levine, R., and S Zervos. (1998). “Stock Markets, Banks and Economic Growth”. American Economic Review 88(2), Pp 537-58. Liu, X, Wang, C. and Y. Wei (2001), “Causal Links between Foreign Direct Investment and Trade in China,” China Economic Review, 12, 190-202. Narula, R. and J.H. Dunning (2000), “Industrial Development, Globalization and Multinational Enterprises: New Realities for Developing Countries,” Oxford Development Studies, 28(2), 141-67. Perotti, E. and P. van Oijen, (2000). Privatization, Political Risk, and Stock Market Development in Emerging Markets, mimeo, University of Amsterdam. 10: 291-321. Pesaran, H and Y. Shin (1997) “Generalized Impulse Response Analysis in Linear Multivariate Models”, Economics Letters, 58, 17-29. Yartey, C. A. and C. K. Adjasi, (2007), “Stock Market Development in Sub- Saharan Africa: Critical Issues and Challenges” IMF Working Paper 07/209. Washington DC: International Monetary Fund. Yartey, C. A., (2008),“The Determinants of Stock Market Development in Emerging Economies: Is South Africa Different” IMF Working Paper 08/38.Washington DC: International Monetary Fund. Zhang, K. H. (2001), “Does Foreign Direct Investment Promote Economic Growth? Evidence from East Asia and Latin America,” Contemporary Economic Policy, 19(2), 175-85 (2001b), “How Does Foreign Direct Investment Affect Economic Growth in China,” Economics of Transition, 9(3), 679-93. Zhang, K. H. And S. Song (2000), “Promoting Export: The Role of Inward FDI in China,” China Economic Review, 11(4), 385-496.Economic Review, 12, 82-99. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/42429 |