Kane, Richard (2012): Measures and Motivations: U.S. National Income and Product Estimates During the Great Depression and World War II.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_44336.pdf Download (119kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper explains the early U.S. Department of Commerce estimates of national income and product during the 1930s and 1940s, focusing on how both economic theory and the needs of policymakers influenced the methods and concepts used. The paper explores the debate between Simon Kuznets, author of Commerce’s first estimates of national income during the Great Depression, and Milton Gilbert, author of Commerce’s first estimates of gross national product (GNP) during World War II, over the meaning and measurement of the nation’s final product.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Measures and Motivations: U.S. National Income and Product Estimates During the Great Depression and World War II |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | gross national product; gross domestic product; final product; national income; nipas; national account; wartime planning; fiscal policy; wartime fiscal policy; inflationary gap; great depression; world war II; simon kuznets; milton gilbert; robert nathan; bureau of economic analysis; keynes; clark warburton; colin clark; richard stone; george jaszi |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E6 - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook > E62 - Fiscal Policy B - History of Economic Thought, Methodology, and Heterodox Approaches > B0 - General D - Microeconomics > D6 - Welfare Economics > D63 - Equity, Justice, Inequality, and Other Normative Criteria and Measurement C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C8 - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology ; Computer Programs > C82 - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data ; Data Access B - History of Economic Thought, Methodology, and Heterodox Approaches > B2 - History of Economic Thought since 1925 > B22 - Macroeconomics E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E0 - General > E01 - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth ; Environmental Accounts C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C1 - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General > C19 - Other B - History of Economic Thought, Methodology, and Heterodox Approaches > B4 - Economic Methodology > B40 - General |
Item ID: | 44336 |
Depositing User: | Richard Kane |
Date Deposited: | 11 Feb 2013 02:26 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 14:36 |
References: | Bangs, R.B. 1942. “The Changing Relation of Consumer Income and Expenditures,” Survey of Current Business, Vol. 22 (April): 8-12. Bureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce, U.S. Department of Commerce. 1936. National Income in the United States, 1929-35. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office. Carson, Carol S. 1975. “The History of the United States National Income and Product Accounts: The Development of an Analytical Tool,” Review of Income and Wealth, Series 21. URL Ref: http://www.roiw.org/1975/153.pdf. Central Statistical Office (U.K.). 1941. “An Analysis of the Sources of War Finance and an Estimate of the National Income and Expenditure in 1938 and 1940.” H.M. Stationary Office, Cmd. 6261 (April). Clark, Colin. 1937. National Income and Outlay. Macmillan & Company. London. Cone, Frederick M. 1938. “Revised Estimates of Monthly Income Payments in the United States, 1929-38." Survey of Current Business, Vol.18, No. 10: p15-18. Copeland, Morris A. 1937. “The Concept of National Income.” Studies in Income and Wealth series: Volume 1. Conference on Research in Income and Wealth, National Bureau of Economic Research, New York. Denison, Edward F. 1971.“Welfare Measurement and the GNP.” Survey of Current Business, Vol. 51, No. 01 (January): p13-16, 39. Friedman, Milton. 1942. “The Inflationary Gap: II Discussion of the Inflationary Gap.” The American Economic Review, Vol. 32, No. 2: 314-320. Fraumeni, Barbara. 2001. “Ruggles and Ruggles—A National Income Accounting Partnership.” Survey of Current Business, Vol. 81, No 4: p. 14. URL Ref: http://www.bea.gov/scb/pdf/BEAWIDE/2001/0401imrr.pdf Gilbert, Milton. 1942. “War Expenditures and National Production.” Survey of Current Business, Vol. 22, No. 03: p9-16. Gilbert, Milton. 1942. “National Income as Affected by the War.” Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 37, No. 218 (June): 186-198 Gilbert, Milton and R.B. Bangs. 1942. “Preliminary Estimates of Gross National Product.” Survey of Current Business, Vol. 22, No. 05: p9-13. Gilbert, Milton and George Jaszi. 1945. “The 1945 White Paper on National Income and Expenditure.” The Economic Journal, Vol. 55, No. 220 (December): p444-454. Gilbert, Milton and George Jaszi, Edward F. Denison, and Charles F. Schwartz. 1948. “Objectives of National Income Measurement: A Reply to Professor Kuznets.” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 30, No. 3: 179-195. Jaszi, George. 1946. “The Concept of National Income and National Product with Special Reference to Government Transactions.” Harvard Depository, Thesis call number: HU90.4984. Jaszi, George. 1951. “National Income: Status and Prospect as Seen by an Estimator.” Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 46, No. 255 (September): pps 345-357. Jaszi, George. 1986. “An Economic Accountant’s Audit.” The American Economic Review, Vol. 76, No. 2 (May): pps. 411-418. Jaszi, George and John W. Kendrick. 1951. “Estimates of GNP in Constant Dollars, 1929-49.” Survey of Current Business, Vol. 31, No. 1 (January): pps. 6-11. Katz, Arnold. 2002. “A Tribute to Robert Nathan.” Survey of Current Business, Vol.82, No. 2: p. 8. URL Ref: http://www.bea.gov/scb/pdf/2002/02%20February/0202Tribute.pdf Keynes, John M. 1940. How to Pay for the War: a Radical Plan for the Chancellor of the Exchequer. Macmillan and Co., Limited. St. Martin’s Street, London. Keynes, John M. 1940. “The Concept of National Income: A Supplementary Note.” The Economic Journal, Vol. 50, No. 197 (March): 60-65. King, W.I. 1930. The National Income and its Purchasing Power, National Bureau of Economic Research. New York. Kuznets, Simon. 1933.”National Income.” Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences, Vol. 11. Kuznets, Simon. 1934. “Gross Capital Formations, 1919-1933.” Bulletin of the National Bureau of Economic Research 52 (November). Kuznets, Simon. 1937. “National Income and Capital Formations, 1919-1935.” National Bureau of Economic Research. New York Kuznets, Simon. 1937. “Discussion for: The Concept of National Income” by M.A. Copeland. Studies in Income and Wealth series: Volume 1. Conference on Research in Income and Wealth, National Bureau of Economic Research, New York. Kuznets, Simon. 1941. National Income and Its Composition, 1919-1938: Volume 1. National Bureau of Economic Research, New York. Kuznets, Simon. 1945. National Product in Wartime. National Bureau of Economic Research, New York. Kuznets, Simon. 1948. “Discussion of the New Department of Commerce Income Series, National income: A New Version.” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 30, No. 3: p151-179. Kuznets, Simon. 1973. “Concluding Remarks.” The Measurement of Economic and Social Performance, Studies in Income and Wealth Series, by Conference on Research in Income and Wealth, Vol. 38, Columbia University Press: 579-592. Livingston, S. Morris. 1943. “Postwar Manpower and its Capacity to Produce.” Survey of Current Business, Vol. 23, No. 4: p 10-16. Livingston, S. Morris. 1943. “Wartime Savings and Postwar Markets.” Survey of Current Business, Vol. 23, No. 9: p 12-18. Marcuss, Rosemary and Richard Kane. 2007. “U.S. National Income and Product Statistics: Born of the Great Depression and World War II.” Survey of Current Business, Vol. 87, No. 02 (February): 32-46. URL Ref: http://bea.gov/scb/pdf/2007/02%20February/0207_history_article.pdf Nordhaus, William D. and James Tobin. 1973. “Is Growth Obsolete?” Studies in Income and Wealth series: Volume 38. Conference on Research in Income and Wealth, National Bureau of Economic Research. Columbia University Press, New York. Office of Business Economics, U.S. Department of Commerce. 1947. National Income and Product Statistics of the United States, 1929-46. A supplement to the Survey of Current Business. Office of Business Economics, U.S. Department of Commerce. 1951. National Income and Product of the United States, 1929-50. U.S. Government Printing Office. Office of Business Economics, U.S. Department of Commerce. 1958. “Real National Output by Quarters: A New Major Economic Indicator.” Survey of Current Business, Vol. 38, No, 12 (December): pps. 10-15, 24. Office of Business Economics, U.S. Department of Commerce. 1958. U.S. Income and Output. A supplement to the Survey of Current Business. Roosevelt, Franklin D. 1941 “Budget Message of the President.” New York Times (January 9):p.12. Salant, Walter S. 1942. “The Inflationary Gap I: Meaning and Significance for Policy Making.” The American Economic Review, Vol. 32, No. 2: p308-314. Stone, Richard. 1947. “Definition and Measurement of the National Income and Related Totals.” Appendix to: Measurement of National Income and Construction of Social Accounts, UN, Geneva, 1947. U.S. Congress, Senate.1926. “National Income and Wealth,” a report by the Federal Trade Commission, S. Doc. 126, 69th Congress, 1st session. U.S. Congress, Senate. 1932. Resolution 220. 72nd Congress, 1st Session. June 8. U.S. Congress, Senate.1934. “National Income, 1929-32,” a report of the Bureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce, S. Doc. 124, 73rd Congress, 2nd session. Warburton, Clark. 1934. “Value of Gross National Product and its Components, 1919-29.” Journal of the American Statistical Association 29 (December). Weiler, E.T. 1943. “Wartime Savings and Postwar Inflation.” Survey of Current Business, Vol. 23, No. 7: p 13-18. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/44336 |