Puah, Chin-Hong and Kueh, Jerome Swee-Hui and Lau, Evan (2007): THE IMPLICATIONS OF EMERGENCE OF CHINA TOWARDS ASEAN-5: FDI-GDP PERSPECTIVE.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_4550.pdf Download (209kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The relationship between Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Gross Domestic Products (GDP) had become the centre piece of recent researches in identifying the short run and long run implications between the two variables. Using the hypotheses of FDI led GDP and GDP led FDI as theoretical framework, this study intends to analyze the implications of the rise of China towards the ASEAN-5 countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand from the perspective of FDI and GDP. The cointegration and vector error correlation estimate test results showed that there is a significant positive long run relationship between FDI of China and GDP of ASEAN-5. However, we failed to detect any short run causal relationship among the variables under study.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Institution: | Universiti Malaysia Sarawak |
Original Title: | THE IMPLICATIONS OF EMERGENCE OF CHINA TOWARDS ASEAN-5: FDI-GDP PERSPECTIVE |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Foreign Direct Investment; Gross Domestic Product; ASEAN-5; China |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F10 - General |
Item ID: | 4550 |
Depositing User: | Evan Lau |
Date Deposited: | 20 Aug 2007 |
Last Modified: | 11 Oct 2019 18:04 |
References: | Abeysinghe, T., and Lu, D. (2003). China As an Economic Powerhouse: Implications on Its Neighbors. China Economic Review, 14, 164-85. ASEAN Secretariat, ASEAN Finance and Macroeconomic Surveillance Unit (FMSU) Database. ASEAN Secretariat, ASEAN Statistical Yearbook 2004. Basu, P., Chakraborty, C., and Reagle, D. (2003). Liberalization, FDI, and Growth in Developing Countries: A Panel Cointegration Approach. Economic Inquiry, 41, 510-516. Blomstrom, M., and Kokko, A. (1998). Multinational Corporations and Spillovers. Journal of Economic Survey, 12, 247-77. Blomstrom, M., Lipsey, R. E., and Zejan, M. (1994). What Explains Developing Country Growth? National Bureau of Economics Research (NBER), Working Paper No. 4132. Borensztein, E., de Gregorio, J., and Lee, J. W, (1998). How Does Foreign Investment Affect Economic Growth? Journal of International Economics, 45, 115-35. Chantasasawat, B., Fung, K.C., Hitomi, I., and Siu, A. (2004). Foreign Direct Investment in China and East Asia, unpublished manuscript, National University of Singapore, UC Santa Cruz and University of Hong Kong. Choe, J. I. (2003). Do Foreign Direct Investment and Gross Domestic Investment Promote Economic Growth? Review of Development Economics, 7, 44-57. De Mello, L. (1999). Foreign Direct Investment Led Growth: Evidence from Time-Series and Panel Data. Oxford Economic Papers, 51, 133-51. Dickey, D. A., and Fuller, W. A. (1979). Distribution of Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root. Journal of American Statistical Association, 74, 123-144. Dunning, J. (1993). Multinational Enterprises and the Global Economy. Harlow: Addison-Wesley. Dunning, J. (1997). The European Internal Market Programmed and Inbound Foreign Direct Investment. Journal of Common Market Studies, 35(2), 189–223. Engel, R., and Granger, C. (1987). Cointegration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation and Testing. Econometrica, 55, 251-276. Granger, C. (1969). Investigating Causal Relationship by Econometric Models and Cross Spectral Method. Econometrica, 37, 424-458. Herschede, F. (1991). Competition among ASEAN, China and the East Asian NICs: A Shift-Share Analysis. ASEAN Economic Bulletin, 7(3), 290-306. International Monetary Fund. International Financial Statistics, various issues. Washington, D.C.: IMF. Jaumotte, F. (2004). Foreign Direct Investment and Regional Trade Agreements: The Market Size Effect Revisited. International Monetary Fund, Working Paper No. 04/206. Johansen, S., (1988). Statistical Analysis of Cointegrating Vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamic and Control, 12, 231-254. Johansen, S., and Juselius, K. (1990). Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegrating with Applications for the Demand for Money. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52, 169-210. Lall, S. (2003). Assessing Industrial Competitiveness: How does Singapore fare? In: R. Rajan (Eds.), Sustaining Competitiveness in the New Global Economy: A Case Study of Singapore. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar for IPS. Liu, X., Burridge, P., and Sinclair, P. J. N. (2002). Relationship between Economic Growth, Foreign Direct Investment and Trade: Evidence from China. Applied Economics, 34, 1433-1440. MacKinnon, J. (1991). Critical Values for Cointegration Tests. In: R.F. Engle & C.W.J. Granger (Eds.), Long-run Economic Relationship: Readings in Cointegration. 267-276. New York: Oxford University Press. Masih, A. M. M., and Masih, R. (1996). Temporal Causality and the Dynamics of Different Categories of Crime and Their Socioeconomic Determinants: Evidence from Australia. Applied Economics, 28, 1093-1104. Niar-Reichert, U., and Weinhold, D. (2001). Causality Test for Cross-Country Panels: A New Look at FDI and Economic Growth in Developing Countries. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 63, 153-71. Osterwald-Lenum, M. (1992). A Note with Quantiles of the Asymptotic Distribution of the ML Cointegration Rank Test Statistics. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 54, 461-472. Rajan, R. (2003a). Implications of the Emergence of the PRC as an Economic Power for ASEAN: Threat, Opportunity, or Both? Unpublished report for the Asian Development Bank (April). Rajan, R. (2003b). Emergence of China as an Economic Power: What Does It Imply for Southeast Asia? Economic and Political Weekly, 38, 2639-2644. Rumbaugh, T., and Blancher, N. (2004). China: International Trade and WTO Accession. IMF Working Paper, No. 04/36. Srivastava, S., and Rajan, R. S. (2003). Implication of the Economics Rise of the PRC for ASEAN and India: Trade and Foreign Direct Investment. IPS Working Paper No.14. Tyers, R., Philips, P., and Findlay, C. (1987). ASEAN and China Export of Labor-Intensive Manufacturers. ASEAN Economic Bulletin, 3(3), 339-367. UNCTAD. World Investment Report, various issues. New York: UNCTAD. Xinhua News Agency, ASEAN Becomes China’s 4th Largest Trade Partner, May 5, 2005. Zebregs, H. (2004). Intra-Regional Trade in Asia. IMF Policy Discussion Paper, No.04/1. Zhang, K. H. (2001). Does Foreign Direct Investment Promote Economic Growth? Evidence from East Asia and Latin America. Contemporary Economic Policy, 19, 175-185. Zhang, Z., and Ow, C.H. (1996). Trade Interdependence and Direct Foreign Investment between ASEAN and China. World Development, 24(1), 155-170. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/4550 |