Un modelo IS/LM con economía ilegal y lavado de dinero

Slim, Sadri (2013): Un modelo IS/LM con economía ilegal y lavado de dinero.

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to present an extended version of the IS/LM model, with illegal economy and money laundering in a closed economy, which allows an macroeconomic analysis of the effects of this presence on short-term equilibrium. Without disregarding the FATF´s money laundering typology, we propose to differentiate the money laundering activities by the degree of crime organization. Thus, in a closed economy, we suppose two money laundering channels, through consumption and investment, which are reflecting the reintegration of the illegal money by individual criminals and by the organized crime. It is shown that the multiplier effect of the illegal economic activities is always negative on formal GDP, while the effect on the interest rate depends on the structure of the considered economy.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Modeling illegal economy and money laundering: an IS/LM framework
• Language: Spanish
• Keywords: Money Laundering; ISLM Model; Multiplier effects; Informal Economy
• Subjects: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E1 - General Aggregative Models > E12 - Keynes ; Keynesian ; Post-Keynesian; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E26 - Informal Economy ; Underground Economy; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E4 - Money and Interest Rates; O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O17 - Formal and Informal Sectors ; Shadow Economy ; Institutional Arrangements

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