A Time Series Analysis of Foreign Aid and Income Inequality in Pakistan

Ali, Sharafat and Ahmad, Najid (2013): A Time Series Analysis of Foreign Aid and Income Inequality in Pakistan. Published in: Global Journal of Management and Business Research Economics and Commerce , Vol. 5, No. 13 (31 July 2013): pp. 11-20.

Abstract

Pakistan economy is one of those economies that has received a huge amount of foreign aid. Foreign aid has been considered to help capital-deficient economies to fulfill the desired levels of finances to generate growth, increase employment and income, and furthermore, it helps to alleviate poverty levels in the recipient economies. Present study focuses on the analysis of impact of foreign aid on income inequality in Pakistan. Since time series data is used for the analysis so the ADF and Phillip-Perron unit root test are applied to find out each of the time series to be stationary at its first difference. Johansen contegration test and vector error correction models are employed to examine the long run and short run impacts of growth, foreign aid, foreign direct investment, and labor force participation rate on income inequality, respectively. The cointegration test results confirm negative impact of economic growth on income inequality whereas foreign aid, foreign direct investment and labor force participation rate are concluded to have inequality increasing impacts. The results are statistically significant.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: foreign aid, growth rate, foreign direct investment, labor force, stationarity, cointegration, causality
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C22 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E1 - General Aggregative Models; F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F35 - Foreign Aid; O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O15 - Human Resources ; Human Development ; Income Distribution ; Migration

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