Gu, Xin and Cui, Tingfei and Hu, Yingquan (2016): 新常态下商业银行和企业两部门杠杆联动的微观机制和宏观效应.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_49491.pdf Download (995kB) | Preview |
Abstract
本文通过构建一个具备微观基础的局部均衡模型,研究了企业和商业银行两部门杠杆联动与资本市场信贷风险溢价之间的动态关系。研究结果发现上述两者之间存在正相关性。这一结果丰富了当前新凯恩斯主义货币经济对信贷风险溢价的内涵,将金融杠杆纳入微观动态研究框架内。在宏观层面上,企业和商业银行两部门杠杆联动一方面会减弱企业投资动力,另一方面又会导致银行“惜贷”,导致“债务-通缩”加速。由此本文建议宏观政策制定者应着重从企业和金融两部门关注当前“去杠杆”进程,在保持相对宽松的货币政策前提下,辅以预期管理,为经济转型造成良好的宏观环境。
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | 新常态下商业银行和企业两部门杠杆联动的微观机制和宏观效应 |
English Title: | Micromechanism and Macro effect of Leverage Dynamics between Commercial Banks and Enterprises under New Norm |
Language: | Chinese |
Keywords: | 信贷风险溢价;杠杆;债务-通缩;局部均衡 |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E6 - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook |
Item ID: | 49491 |
Depositing User: | Unnamed user with email richard.gu26@gmail.com |
Date Deposited: | 16 Nov 2016 10:01 |
Last Modified: | 27 Sep 2019 14:35 |
References: | \begin{enumerate} \item Bradley, M. , Jarrell, A.G. and Kim, H.E. 1984, “On the evidence of an optimal capital structure: theory and evidence”, \emph{The Journal of Finance} , Vol. 39 No. 3, pp. 857-878. \item Barber, M.B. and Lyon, D.J. 1997, “Firm size, book-to-market ratio and security returns: a holdout sample of financial firms”, \emph{The Journal of Finance} , Vol. 52 No. 2, pp. 875-883. \item DeAngelo, H. and Masulis, W.R. (1980), “Optimal capital structure under corporate and personal taxation”, \emph{Journal of Financial Economics} , Vol. 8 No. 1, pp. 3-29. \item Faccio, M. , Larry, H.P. and Young, L. (2001), “Debt and corporate governance”, available at: \url{ftp://ns1.ystp.ac.ir/YSTP/1/1/ROOT/DATA/PDF/unclassified/FACCIO_PAPER_DEBT.PDF} (accessed 11 January 2014). \item Frank, Z.M. and Goyal, K.V. (2003), “Testing the packing order theory of capital structure”, \emph{Journal of Financial Economics} , Vol. 67 No. 2, pp. 217-248. \item Frank, Z.M. and Goyal, K.V. (2009), “Capital structure decisions: which factors are reliably important?”, \emph{Financial Management} , Vol. 38 No. 1, pp. 1-39. \item Davis, E.P. and Stone, M.R. (2004), “Corporate financial structure and financial stability”, \emph{Journal of Financial Stability}, Vol. 1 No. 1, pp. 65-91. \item de Bandt, O. , Bruneau, C. and Amri, W.E.I. (2008), “Stress testing and corporate finance”, \emph{Journal of Financial Stability}, Vol. 4 No. 3, pp. 258-274. \item Graham, J.R. and Harvey, C.R. (2001), “The theory and practice of corporate finance: evidence from the field”, \emph{Journal of Financial Economics}, Vol. 60 Nos 2/3, pp. 187-243. \item Mackay, P. and Phillips, G.M. (2005), “How does industry affect firm financial structure?”, \emph{Review of Financial Studies}, Vol. 18 No. 4, pp. 1433-1466. \item Modigliani, F. and Miller, M.H. (1958), “The cost of capital, corporation finance and the theory of investment”, \emph{American Economic Review}, Vol. 48 No. 3, pp. 261-297. \item Miller, M. (1977), “Debt and taxes”, \emph{Journal of Finance}, Vol. 32 No. 2, pp. 261-275. \item Myers, S.C. (1977), “Determinants of corporate borrowing”, \emph{Journal of Financial Economics}, Vol. 5 No. 2, pp. 147-175. \item Myers, S.C. and Majluf, N.S. (1984), “Corporate financing and investment decisions when firms have information that investors do not have”, \emph{Journal of Finance}, Vol. 39 No. 2, pp. 575-592. \item Taggart, R.A. (1977), “A model of corporate financing decisions”, \emph{Journal of Finance}, Vol. 32 No. 5, pp. 1467-1484. \item Titman, S. and Wessels, R. (1988), “The determinants of capital structure choice”, \emph{Journal of Finance}, Vol. 43 No. 1, pp. 1-19. \item Wald, J.L. (1999), “How firm characteristics affect capital structure: an international comparison”, \emph{Journal of Financial Research}, Vol. 22 No. 2, pp. 161-187. \item Welch, L. (2004), “Capital structure and stock returns”, \emph{Journal of Political Economy}, Vol. 112 No. 1, pp. 106-132. \item 郭树华、郑宇轩、文伟扬:《中国影子银行的流动性创造、杠杆率与金融稳定性研究》,《金融发展研究》,2015年第11期. \item 黄莲琴、屈耀辉:《经营负债杠杆与金融负债杠杆效应的差异性检验》,《会计研究》,2010年9月. \item 李佩珈、梁婧:《杠杆率、债务风险与金融稳定——基于理论和中国经济杠杆率的实证分析》,《博士后征文》,2015年4月. \item 刘青云:《我国商业银行杠杆顺周期效应研究》,《财经问题研究》,2015年第5期. \item 刘信群、刘江涛:《杠杆率、流动性与经营绩效——中国上市银行2004-2011年面板数据分析》,《国际金融研究》,2013年第3期. \item 马如飞、王燕:《杠杆、债务期限结构与企业投资——来自中国上市公司的证据》,《经济与管理研究》,2012 年第8期. \item 盛天翔,:《对实体经济杠杆率问题的再思考》,《国际金融》,2015年第12期. \item 吴国平:《中国商业银行杠杆率的顺周期性分析》,《金融论坛》,2015年第6期. \item 肖琦:《流动性、杠杆率与金融稳定》,《金融发展研究》,2010年第十期. \item 项后军、陈简豪、杨华:《银行杠杆的顺周期行为与流动性关系问题研究》,《数量经济技术经济研究》,2015 年第8期. \item 许一涌:《我国非金融企业杠杆率问题研究》,《金融与经济》,2014年10月. \item 袁鲲、饶素凡:《银行资本、风险承担与杠杆率约束——基于中国上市银行的实证研究(2003-2012)》,《国际金融研究》,2014年8月. \item 郑庆寰、牛玮璐:《我国商业银行杠杆率顺周期性及影响因素研究》,《现代管理科学》,2014年第1 期. \item 周显异、李洋:《杠杆风险与企业绩效——来自中国上市公司的实证研究》,《金融与经济》,2016年第4期. \end{enumerate} |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/49491 |