Singh, Anshul (2013): Do the FDI, Economic growth and Trade affect each other for India: An ARDL Approach.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_51447.pdf Download (565kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper examines the dynamic causal relationships between foreign direct investment (FDI), trade and economic growth in India by applying the bounds testing (ARDL) approach to cointegration for the period from 1970 to 2012. The bounds tests suggest that the variables of interest are bound together in the long-run when GDP per capita is the dependent variable. The empirical findings confirm that there is bi-directional Granger causality between FDI and trade, unidirectional Granger causality running from FDI to economic growth and from economic growth to capital investment but there is no Granger causality from economic growth to FDI and capital investment to per capita GDP.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Do the FDI, Economic growth and Trade affect each other for India: An ARDL Approach |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | FDI, trade openness, economic growth, ARDL cointegration, ECM, India |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C22 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F13 - Trade Policy ; International Trade Organizations F - International Economics > F2 - International Factor Movements and International Business > F21 - International Investment ; Long-Term Capital Movements |
Item ID: | 51447 |
Depositing User: | Mr. Anshul Kumar Singh |
Date Deposited: | 15 Nov 2013 06:57 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 17:50 |
References: | Carkovic, Maria and Levine, Ross. “Does Foreign Direct Investment Accelerate Economic Growth?” in Theodore H. Moran, Edward D. Graham, and Magnus Blomström, eds., Does Foreign Direct Investment Promote Development? Washington, DC: Institute for International Economics, 2005, pp. 195-220 D. Kwiatkowski, P. C. B. Phillips, P. Schmidt, and Y. Shin (1992): Testing the Null Hypothesis of Stationarity against the Alternative of a Unit Root. Journal of Econometrics 54, 159–178. Findlay, Ronald, 1978. "Some Aspects of Technology Transfer and Direct Foreign Investment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 68(2), pages 275-79, May. Francisco Rodriguez & Dani Rodrik, 2001. "Trade Policy and Economic Growth: A Skeptic's Guide to the Cross-National Evidence," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Volume 15, pages 261-338 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. Frankel, J.A. and D. Romer, 1999. “Does trade cause growth?” American Economic Review, 89: 379-99. Frimpong, Joseph Magnus & Oteng-Abayie, Eric Fosu, 2006. "Bounds testing approach: an examination of foreign direct investment, trade, and growth relationships," MPRA Paper 352, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 09 Oct 2006. Grossman, Gene M., and Elhanan Helpman. 1991a. “Quality Ladders in the Theory of Growth.” Review of Economic Studies, 58(1): 43-61. Grossman, Gene M., and Elhanan Helpman. 1991b. “Endogenous Product Cycles.” Economic Journal, 101(408): 1229-1241. Grossman, Gene M. & Helpman, Elhanan, 1991. "Trade, knowledge spillovers, and growth," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 35(2-3), pages 517-526, April. Helpman, Elhanan, 1984. "A Simple Theory of International Trade with Multinational Corporations," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 92(3), pages 451-71, June. Kwan, Andy C C & Wu, Yangru & Zhang, Junxi, 1999. " Fixed Investment and Economic Growth in China," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 32(1), pages 67-79. Lucas, Robert E. 1988. “On the Mechanics of Economic Development.” Journal of Monetary Economics, 22(1): 3-42. Makki, S.S and Somwaru, A., 2004. „Impact of foreign direct investment and trade on economic growth: Evidence from developing countries‟ American Journal of Agriculture Economics, 86(3)(August 2004):795-801. Paul R. Krugman, 1985. "Increasing Returns and the Theory of International Trade," NBER Working Papers 1752, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. Pesaran, M. and Shin, Y. (1999), “An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modeling Approach to cointegration Analysis” in S. Strom, (ed) Econometrics and Economic Theory in the 20th Century: The Ragnar Frisch centennial Symposium, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. Pesaran, M.H., Shin, Y. and Smith, R.J. 2001. “Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationship.” Journal of Applied Economics 16: 289-326. Phillips, P.C.B and P. Perron (1988), "Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression", Biometrika, 75, 335–346 Rivera-Batiz, Luis A., and Paul M. Romer. 1991b. “International Trade with Endogenous Technological Change.” European Economic Review, 35(4): 971-1004. Rodrik, Dani, 1995. "Trade Strategy, Investment and Exports: Another Look at East Asia," CEPR Discussion Papers 1305, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. Romer, P., 1990. Endogenous technological change. Journal of Political Economy 98, 71–102. Wei, Y. and Liu, X. (2001) Foreign Direct Investment in China: Determinants and Impact, Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd. (IBNS 1 84064 494X) Young, Alwyn. 1991. “Learning by Doing and the Dynamics Effects of International Trade.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(2): 369-405. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/51447 |