Fullerton, Thomas M., Jr. and Molina, Angel L., Jr. and Walke, Adam G. (2010): Tolls, Exchange Rates, and Northbound International Bridge Traffic from Mexico. Published in: Regional Science Policy & Practice , Vol. 5, No. 3 (11 July 2013): pp. 305-322.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_59586.pdf Download (246kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Although there have been a small number of empirical studies that analyze northbound border crossings between Mexico and the United States, very few examine the potential impacts of both tolls and exchange rates on the various traffic categories. This effort attempts to partially fill that gap in the applied economics literature by modeling northbound traffic flows at one of the largest regional economies along the border. Results indicate that business cycle fluctuations, variations in the real exchange rate, and changes in real toll tariffs all influence cross border traffic volumes. Tolls on northbound traffic into the United States are assessed by Mexico. The results also indicate that tolls can provide a reliable revenue stream for international bridge infrastructure finance in Mexico.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Tolls, Exchange Rates, and Northbound International Bridge Traffic from Mexico |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Tolls, Bridges, Mexico Border, Applied Econometrics |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling > C53 - Forecasting and Prediction Methods ; Simulation Methods F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F15 - Economic Integration R - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics > R4 - Transportation Economics > R41 - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion ; Travel Time ; Safety and Accidents ; Transportation Noise |
Item ID: | 59586 |
Depositing User: | Thomas Fullerton |
Date Deposited: | 01 Nov 2014 09:51 |
Last Modified: | 02 Oct 2019 14:42 |
References: | Ashley, R., C.W.J. Granger and R. Schmalensee. “Advertising and Aggregate Consumption: An Analysis of Causality.” Econometrica 48 (1980): 1149-1168. Ashur, S., J. Weissman, S. Perez, and A.J. Weissman. “Traffic Simulation at International Ports of Entry.” Transportation Research Record 1763 (2001): 48-56. Asteriou, D., and S.G. Hall. Applied Econometrics, 2nd Edition. New York, NY: Palgrave Macmillan, 2011. Brownstone, D., A. Ghosh, T.F. Golob, C. Kazimi, and D. Van Amelsfort. “Drivers’ Willingness-to-Pay to Reduce Travel Time: Evidence from the San Diego I-15 Congestion Pricing Project.” Transportation Research A 37 (2003): 373-387. Cervero, R. “Transit Pricing Research – A Review and Synthesis.” Transportation 17 (1990): 117-139. Charemza, W.W., and D.F. Deadman. New Directions in Econometric Practice, 2nd Edition. Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar, 1997. De Leon, M., T.M. Fullerton, Jr., and B.W. Kelley. “Tolls, Exchange Rates, and Borderplex International Bridge Traffic.” International Journal of Transport Economics 36 (2009): 223-259. Diamandis, P.F., G.P. Kouretas, and P. Tzanetos. “Modelling the Choice of Mode and Estimation of the Value of Travel time Savings for the Case of Rion–Antirion Suspension Bridge in Greece.” Annals of Regional Science 31 (1997): 473-489. Diebold, F.X. and R.S. Mariano. “Comparing Predictive Accuracy.” Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 13 (1995): 253-265. Flyvbjerg, B., M.K.S. Holm, and S.L. Buhl. “How (In) Accurate are Demand Forecasts? The Case of Transportation.” Journal of the American Planning Association 71 (2005): 131-146. Ferrari, P. “Road Network Toll Pricing and Social Welfare.” Transportation Research B, 36 (2002): 471-483. Fullerton, T.M., Jr. “Currency Movements and International Border Crossings.” International Journal of Public Administration 23 (2000): 1113-1123. Fullerton, T.M., Jr. “Specification of a Borderplex Econometric Forecasting Model.” International Regional Science Review 24 (2001): 245-260. Fullerton, T.M., Jr. “Bordeplex Bridge and Air Econometric Forecast Accuracy.” Journal of Transportation & Statistics 7 (2004): 7-21. Fullerton, T.M., Jr., and M.P. Barraza de Anda. “Borderplex Population Modeling.” Migraciones Internacionales 4 (Number 3, 2008): 91-104. Fullerton, T.M., Jr., and A.L. Molina, Jr. “Borderplex Economic Outlook: 2007-2009.” Business Report SR07-2. El Paso, TX: University of Texas at El Paso Border Region Modeling Project, 2007. Fullerton, T.M., Jr., and R. Tinajero. “Cross Border Business Cargo Vehicle Flows.” International Journal of Transport Economics 29 (2002): 201-213. Graham, D.J., and S. Glaister. “Road Traffic Demand Elasticity Estimates: A Review.” Transport Reviews 24 (2004): 261-274. Hirschman, I., C. McKnight, J. Pucher, R.E. Paaswell, and J. Berechman. “Bridge and Tunnel Toll Elasticities in New York.” Transportation 22 (1995): 97-113. Hoogendoorn, S.P., and P.H.L. Bovy. “Pedestrian Travel Behavior Modeling.” Networks & Spatial Economics 5 (2005): 193-216. Kolb, R.A. and H.O. Stekler. “Are Economic Forecasts Significantly Better than Naïve Predictions? An Appropriate Test.” International Journal of Forecasting 9 (1993): 117-120. Lin, F.B., and M.W. Lin. “Modeling Traffic Delays at Northern New York Border Crossings.” Journal of Transportation Engineering 127 (2001): 540-545. Loo, B.P.Y. “Tunnel Traffic and Toll Elasticities in Hong Kong: Some Recent Evidence for International Comparisons.” Environment and Planning A 35 (2003): 249-276. Matas, A., and J.L. Raymond. “Demand Elasticity on Tolled Motorways.” Journal of Transportation & Statistics 6 (2003): 91-108. Meese, R., and K. Rogoff. “Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Seventies: Do They Fit Out of Sample?” Journal of International Economics 14 (1983): 3-24. Minasian, J. “Indivisibility, Decreasing Cost, and Excess Capacity: The Bridge.” Journal of Law & Economics 22 (1979): 385-397. Mrkaic, M., and R. Pezdir. “Estimating Price Elasticities of Demand for Highway Transport Using High Frequency Data.” International Journal of Transport Economics 35 (2008): 217-230. Olszewski, P., and L.T. Xie. “Modelling the Effects of Road Pricing on Traffic in Singapore.” Transportation Research A 39 (2005): 755-772. Oum, T.H., W.G. Waters, and J.S. Yong. “Concepts of Price Elasticities of Transport Demand and Recent Empirical Estimates – An Interpretative Survey.” Journal of Transport Economics & Policy 26 (1992): 139-154. Pindyck, R.S., and D. L. Rubinfeld. Econometric Models and Economic Forecasts, 4th Edition. Boston, MA: Irwin McGraw-Hill, 1998. Podgorski, K.V., and K.M. Kockelman. “Public Perceptions of Toll Roads: A Survey of the Texas Perspective.” Transportation Research A 40 (2006): 888-902. Villegas, H., P.L. Gurian, J.M. Heyman, A. Mata, R. Falcone, E. Ostapowicz, S. Wilrigs, M. Petragnani, and E. Eisele. “Trade-offs between Security and Inspection Capacity – Policy Options for Land Border Ports of Entry.” Transportation Research Record 1942 (2006): 16-22. West, C.T. “Structural Regional Factors that Determine Absolute and Relative Accuracy of U.S. Regional Labor Market Forecasts.” Journal of Agricultural & Applied Economics 35 (Supplement, 2003): 121-35. Wuestefeld, N.H., and E.J. Regan. “Impact of Rate Increases on Toll Facilities.” Traffic Quarterly 35 (1981): 639-655. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/59586 |