Zheng, Xinye and Song, Feng and Yu, Yihua and Song, Shunfeng (2014): In Search of Fiscal Interactions: A Spatial Analysis of Chinese Provincial Infrastructure Spending. Forthcoming in: Review of Development Economics
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_61615.pdf Download (410kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Using a dataset for 31 Chinese provinces from 1998 to 2006, this paper provides a spatial Durbin panel analysis to test for fiscal interactions among China's provinces in their public spending on infrastructure. We find significant positive interactions across Chinese provincial governments. Further analysis attempting to distinguish between the possible sources of such fiscal interactions reveals evidence of expenditure competition instead of yardstick competition.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | In Search of Fiscal Interactions: A Spatial Analysis of Chinese Provincial Infrastructure Spending |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Infrastructure expenditure, Fiscal interactions, Spatial Durbin panel model, Two-stage least squares |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C23 - Panel Data Models ; Spatio-temporal Models H - Public Economics > H5 - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies > H54 - Infrastructures ; Other Public Investment and Capital Stock H - Public Economics > H7 - State and Local Government ; Intergovernmental Relations |
Item ID: | 61615 |
Depositing User: | Yihua Yu |
Date Deposited: | 28 Jan 2015 01:43 |
Last Modified: | 02 Oct 2019 18:39 |
References: | Albala-Bertrand, Jose and Emmanuel Mamatzakis, “The Impact of Public Infrastructure on the Productivity of the Chilean Economy,” Review of Development Economics 8(2004): 266–278. Anselin, Luc, Julie Le Gallo, and Jayet Jayet, “Spatial Panel Econometrics,” in Laszlo Matyas and Patrick Sevestre (eds), The Econometrics of Panel Data, Fundamentals and Recent Developments in Theory and Practice. Dordrecht: Kluwer (2006). Arraiz, Irani, David Drukker, Harry Kelejian, and Ingmar Prucha, “A Spatial Cliff-Ord-type Model with Heteroskedastic Innovations: Small and Large Sample Results,” Journal of Regional Science 50 (2010): 592–614. Aschauer, David, “Is Public Expenditure Productive?” Journal of Monetary Economics 23 (1989a): 177–200. ______, “Does Public Capital Crowd out Private Capital?” Journal of Monetary Economics 24 (1989b): 171–188. Baicker, Ketz, “The Spillover Effects of State Spending,” Journal of Public Economics 89 (2005): 529–544. Blundell, Richard, and Stephen Bond, “Initial Conditions and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel Data Models,” Journal of Econometrics 87 (1998): 115–143. Bom, Pedro, and Jenny Ligthart, “What Have We Learned from the Three Decades of Research on The Productivity of Public Capital?” Journal of Economic Surveys. 28 (2014): 889–916. Branstetter, Lee, and Robert Feenstra, “Trade and Foreign Direct Investment in China: A Political Economy Approach,” Journal of International Economics 22 (2002): 335–358. Bruce, Donald, Deborah Carroll, John Deskins, and Jonathan Rork, “Road or Ruin? A Spatial Analysis of State Highway Spending,” Public Budget and Finance 27 (2007): 65–85. Brueckner, Jan, “Strategic Interaction among Governments: An Overview of Empirical Studies,” International Regional Science Review 26 (2003): 175–188. Buckley, Peter, Jeremy Clegg, Adam Cross, Xin Liu, Hinrich Voss, and Ping Zheng, “The Determinants of Chinese Outward Foreign Direct Investment,” Journal of International Business Studies 38 (2007): 499–518. Case, Anne, James Hines, and Harvey Rosen, “Budget Spillovers and Fiscal Policy Interdependence,” Journal of Public Economics 52 (1993): 285–307. Chen, Ye, Hongbin Li, and Li-An Zhou, “Relative Performance Evaluation and the Turnover of Provincial Leaders in China,” Economics Letters 88 (2005): 421–425. Chou, Kuang-hann, Chien-Hsun Chen, and Chao-Cheng Mai, “The Impact of Third-country Effects and Economic Integration on China’s Outward FDI,” Economic Modelling 28 (2011): 2154–2163. Coughlin, Cletus, and Eran Segev, “Foreign Direct Investment in China: A Spatial Econometric Study,” World Economy 23 (2000): 1–23. Debarsy, Nicolas, and Cem Ertur, “Testing for Spatial Autocorrelation in a Fixed Effects Panel Data Model,” Regional Science and Urban Economics 40 (2010): 453–470. Defever, Fabrice, “Functional Fragmentation and the Location of Multinational Firms in the Enlarged Europe,” Regional Science and Urban Economics 36 (2006): 658–677. De Haan, Jakob, Jan Sturm, and Bernd Sikken, “Government Capital Formation: Explaining the Decline,” Weltwirtschaftliches Archive 132 (1996): 55–74. Démurger, Sylvie, “Infrastructure Development and Economic Growth: An Explanation for Regional Disparities in China?” Journal of Comparative Economics 29 (2001): 95–117. Elhorst, Paul, “Applied Spatial Econometrics: Raising the Bar,” Spatial Economic Analysis 5 (2010): 9–28. _____, “Matlab Software for Spatial Panels,” International Regional Science Review 37 (2014): 389–405. Elhorst, Paul, Eelco Zandberg, and Jakob De Haan, “The Impact of Interaction Effects among Neighbouring Countries on Financial Liberalization and Reform: A Dynamic Spatial Panel Data Approach,” Spatial Economic Analysis 8 (2013): 293–313. Fan, Shenggen, and Xiaobo Zhang, “Infrastructure and Regional Economic Development in Rural China,” China Economic Review 15 (2004): 203–214. Garretsen, Harry, and Jolanda Peeters, “FDI and the Relevance of Spatial Linkages: Do Third-country Effects Matter for Dutch FDI?” Review of World Economics 145 (2009): 319–338. Ghosh, Arghya, and Kieron Meagher, “Political Economy of Infrastructure Investment: A Spatial Approach,” North American Econometric Society Summer Meetings, Brown University (2004). Guimaraes, Paulo, Octavio Figueiredo, and Douglas Woodward, “Agglomeration and the Location of Foreign Direct Investment in Portugal,” Journal of Urban Economics 47 (2000): 115–135. Han, Chirok, and Peter Phillips, “GMM Estimation for Dynamic Panels with Fixed Effects and Strong Instruments Are Unity,” Econometric Theory 26 (2010):119–151. He, Canfei, “Information Costs, Agglomeration Economies and the Location of Foreign Direct Investment in China,” Regional Studies 36 (2002): 1029–1036. IBC (International Benchmarking Clearinghouse), “Benchmarking”. Presentation overheads from the International Benchmarking Clearinghouse, 1996, p. 20. Kappeler, Andreas, Albert Solé-Ollé, Andreas Stephan, and Timo Välilä, “Does Fiscal Decentralization Foster Regional Investment in Productive Infrastructure?” European Journal of Political Economy 31 (2013): 15–25. Kelejian, Harry, and Ingmar Prucha, “A Generalized Spatial Two-stage Least Squares Procedure Estimating a Spatial Autoregressive Model with Autoregressive Disturbances,” Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics 17 (1998): 99–121. Kukenova, Madina, and Jose-Antonio Monteiro, “Spatial Dynamic Panel Model and System GMM: A Monte Carlo Investigation,” MPRA Paper 11569, University Library of Munich, Germany (2009). Lee, Lung-fei, and Jihai Yu, “Some Recent Developments in Spatial Panel Data Models,” Regional Science and Urban Economics 40 (2010): 255–271. ______, “Efficient GMM Estimation of Spatial Dynamic Panel Data Models with Fixed Effects,” Journal of Econometrics 180(2014): 174–197. LeSage, James, and Kelley Pace, Introduction to Spatial Econometrics. London: CRC Press/Taylor & Francis Group (2009). Lucas, Robert, “On the Determinants of Direct Investment: Evidence from East and South Asia,” World Development 21 (1993): 391–406. Manski, Charles, “Identification of Endogenous Social Effects: The Reflection Problem,” Review of Economic Studies 60 (1993): 531–542. Mehrotra, Aron, and Timo Välilä, “Public Investment in Europe: Evolution and Determinants in Perspective,” Fiscal Studies 27 (2006): 443–471. Mur, Jesus, and Ana Angulo, “Model Selection Strategies in A Spatial Setting: Some Additional Results,” Regional Science and Urban Economics 39 (2009): 200–213. NBS (National Bureau of Statistics), China Statistical Yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press (various years). NBS (National Bureau of Statistics), Comprehensive Statistical Data and Materials on 60 Years of New China. Beijing: China Statistics Press (2010). Noorbakhsh, Farhad, and Alberto Paloni, “Human Capital and FDI Inflows to Developing Countries,” World Development 29 (2001): 1593–1610. Painter, Gary, and Kwi-Hee Bae, “The Changing Determinants of State Expenditure in the United States: 1965–1992,” Public Finance and Management 1 (2001): 370–392. Pereira, Alfredo, and Jorge Andraz, “Public Investment in Transportation Infrastructure and Economic Performance in Portugal,” Review of Development Economics 9(2005): 177–196. Pereira, Alfredo, and Oriol Roca Sagales, “Public Capital Formation and Regional Development in Spain,” Review of Development Economics 3 (1999): 281–294. Poelhekke, Steven, and Frederick Van der Ploeg, “Foreign Direct Investment and Urban Concentrations: Unbundling Spatial Lags,” Journal of Regional Science 49 (2009): 749–775. Randolph, Susan, Zeljko Bogetic, and Dennis Hefley, “Determinants of Public Expenditure on Infrastructure: Transportation and Communication,” Policy Research Working Paper Series, 1661. World Bank, Washington DC (1996). Revelli, Federico, “On Spatial Public Finance Empirics,” International Tax and Public Economics 12 (2005): 475–492. _____, “Performance Rating and Yardstick Competition in Social Service Provision,” Journal of Pubic Economics 90 (2006): 459–475. Rioja, Felix, “The Penalties of Inefficient Infrastructure,” Review of Development Economics 7(2003): 127–131. Tao, Ran, Xi Lu, Fubin Su, and Hui Wang, “China’s Transition and Development Model under Evolving Regional Competition Patterns,” Economic Research Journal 7 (2009): 21–33 (in Chinese). Vijverberg, Wim, Feng-cheng Fu, and Chu-ping Vijverberg, “Public Infrastructure as a Determinant of Productive Performance in China,” Journal of Productivity Analysis 36 (2011): 91–111. Vuchelen, Jef, and Stijn Caekelbergh, “Explaining Public Investment in Western Europe,” Applied Economics 42 (2010): 1783–1796. Xu, Cheng-Gang, “The Fundamental Institutions of China’s Reforms and Development,” Journal of Economic Literature 49 (2011): 1076–1151. Yu, Yihua, Li Zhang, Fanghua Li, and Xinye Zheng, “On the Determinants of Public Infrastructure Spending in Chinese Cities: A Spatial Econometric Perspective,” Social Science Journal 48 (2011): 458–467. ____, “Strategic Interaction and the Determinants of Public Health Expenditures in China: A Spatial Panel Perspective,” Annals of Regional Science 50(2013): 203–271. Zheng, Xinye, Yihua Yu, Jing Wang, and Huihui Deng, “Identifying the Determinants and Spatial Nexus of Provincial Carbon Intensity in China: a Dynamic Spatial Panel Approach,” Regional Environmental Change 14 (2014): 1651–1661. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/61615 |