Arayssi, Mahmoud (2014): Nominal Income and Inflation Targeting.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_62066.pdf Download (571kB) | Preview |
Abstract
In this paper a macro- economic model in the area of monetary policy game theory is extended to one-sided dismissal rules concerning observed nominal output and inflation targets for the central banker. These rules specify firing the central banker if some observed policy targets have been exceeded. Such rules are shown to reduce inflationary bias if the central banker perceives her reappointment chances as being strong and is preferred to discretionary monetary policy. Various policy targets are considered and it is shown that nominal output targeting may be preferred to inflation targeting under certain conditions.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Nominal Income and Inflation Targeting |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Monetary Policy; Game Theory; Nominal Output Targeting; Inflation Targeting; Full Discretion; Dismissal Rule. |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E58 - Central Banks and Their Policies G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G18 - Government Policy and Regulation |
Item ID: | 62066 |
Depositing User: | Prof. Mahmoud Arayssi |
Date Deposited: | 12 Jun 2015 08:23 |
Last Modified: | 30 Sep 2019 17:06 |
References: | Arayssi, Mahmoud, 1996, Strategic Discipline in Monetary Policy With Private Information and Supply Shocks. Indiana University.Ph.D. Dissertation. Barro, R. ,1986, Reputation in a Model of Monetary Policy with Incomplete Information, Journal of Monetary Economics 17, 1-20. Barro, Robert and Gordon, David, 1983, Rules, Discretion and Reputation in a Model of Monetary Game. Journal of Monetary Economics 12, 101-22. Canzoneri, Matthew ,1985, Monetary Policy Game and the Role of Private Information. American Economic Review 75, 1056-70. Fackler, J.S. and McMillin, D.W., 2011, Inflation Forecast Targeting: An Alternative Approach to Estimating the Inflation-Output Variability Tradeoff, Southern Economic Journal 78, 424-51. Garfinkel, Michelle and Oh, Seonghwan , 1993, Strategic Discipline in Monetary Policy with Private Information: Optimal Targeting Horizons. American Economic Review 83, 99-117. Goodfriend, Marvin, 2005, Inflation Targeting in the United States? in The Inflation-Targeting Debate. Ben S. Bernanke and Michael Woodford, eds. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 311-37. Huang, Kevin X.D. &Meng, Qinglai&Xue, Jianpo, 2009.Is forward-looking inflation targeting destabilizing? The role of policy's response to current output under endogenous investment,Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 33, 409-430. Kydland , Finn, and Prescott, Edward , 1977, Rules rather than Discretion: the Inconsistence of Optimal Plans. Journal of Political Economy 85, 473-490. Libich, Jan, 2008,An Explicit Inflation Target as a Commitment Device,Journal of Macroeconomics 30, 43-68. Lohmann, Susanne , 1992, Optimal Commitment in Monetary Policy: Credibility versus Flexibility. American Economic Review82, 273-286. Mishkin, F.S., 2011, Monetary Policy Strategy: Lessons from the Crisis, NBER Working Paper No. 16755. Niskanen, William, 2009, Monetary policy and financial regulation. Cato Handbook for Policymakers,7th ed., 337-384. Rogoff, K., 1985, The Optimal Degree of Commitment to an intermediate Monetary Target, Quarterly Journal of Economics 100, 1169-1190. Svensson, Lars E.O., 1997, Inflation Forecast Targeting: Implementing and Monitoring Inflation Targets. European Economic Review41 , 1111-1146. Svensson, Lars E. O., 2003, What is Wrong with Taylor Rules? Using Judgment in Monetary Policy Through Targeting Rules.Journal of Economic Literature 41, 426-77. Svensson, Lars E.O., 2009, Transparency under Flexible Inflation Targeting: Experiences and Challenges.SverigesRiksbank Economic Review 1, 5-44 Vestin, D., 2006, Price-Level Targeting versus Inflation Targeting, Journal of Monetary Economics, 53, 1361-76. Walsh, C., 1993. Optimal contracts for independent central bankers: private information, performance measures and reappointment,Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory 93-02, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. Walsh, C., 1995, Is New Zealand's Reserve Bank Act of 1989 an Optimal Central Bank Contract?, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 27, 1179-91 Walsh, C., 2007, Optimal Economic Transparency, International Journal of Central Banking 3 ,5-36. Walsh, C., 2011, The Future of Inflation Targeting, The Economic Record 87, 23-36. Woodford, M., 2012, Inflation Targeting and Financial Stability, NBER Working Paper No. 17967. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/62066 |